The2018 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. IncumbentRepublican GovernorKim Reynolds ran for election to a full term, facingDemocratic businessmanFred Hubbell ,Libertarian Jake Porter, and independent candidate Gary Siegwarth.
On election day, Reynolds won 50.3% of the vote, a 2.8% margin of victory, and carried 88 of Iowa's 99 counties. She became the first female governor of Iowa elected in her own right. This was the first Iowa gubernatorial election since1998 in which the winner was of the same party as theincumbent president.
After the2016 presidential election , PresidentDonald Trump nominated then-GovernorTerry Branstad to be theUnited States Ambassador to China . When Branstad was confirmed by theUnited States Senate , he resigned as Iowa governor to assume the ambassadorship on May 24, 2017.Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds then became governor of Iowa.[ 1]
Republican primary results[ 15] Party Candidate Votes % Republican Kim Reynolds (incumbent) 94,118 98.63 Republican Write-ins 1,307 1.37 Total votes 95,425 100
Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Chaz Allen , state senator[ 24] [ 33] Joe Bolkcom , state senator[ 34] Bill Brauch, former director of the Consumer Protection Division of theIowa Attorney General's Office [ 35] [ 36] [ 37] Mike Carberry,Johnson County Supervisor[ 26] [ 38] Jeff Danielson , state senator[ 39] [ 40] Michael Gronstal , former Majority Leader of theIowa Senate [ 39] [ 41] Chris Hall , state representative[ 42] [ 43] Rita Hart , state senator (nominee for lieutenant governor)[ 35] [ 44] Jack Hatch , former state senator and nominee for governor of Iowa in2014 [ 26] [ 45] Rob Hogg , Minority Leader of theIowa Senate and candidate for the U.S. Senate in2016 [ 46] [ 35] [ 39] [ 34] Pam Jochum , state senator[ 47] Dave Loebsack , U.S. representative[ 48] [ 35] [ 49] Liz Mathis , state senator[ 46] [ 35] [ 39] [ 50] Jim Mowrer , nominee forIA-04 in 2014 andIA-03 in 2016 (ran for the nomination for Secretary of State)[ 51] [ 52] Tyler Olson , former state representative, former chairman of theIowa Democratic Party and candidate for governor of Iowa in2014 [ 46] [ 53] [ 35] [ 54] Janet Petersen , state senator[ 55] Steve Sodders , former state senator[ 56] [ 57] Tom Vilsack , formerUnited States Secretary of Agriculture and former governor of Iowa[ 58] Nate Boulton (withdrew)
Statewide officials State legislators Tony Bisignano , state senator[ 55] Joe Bolkcom , state senator[ 22] Tod Bowman , state senator[ 55] Bill Dotzler , state senator[ 55] Rita Hart , state senator[ 55] Pam Jochum , state senator and former president of theIowa Senate [ 22] Jerry Kearns , state representative[ 55] Kevin Kinney , state senator[ 55] Liz Mathis , state senator[ 55] Amy Nielsen , state representative[ 55] Rick Olson , state representative[ 55] Janet Petersen , state senator[ 55] Herman Quirmbach , state senator[ 55] Art Staed , state representative[ 55] Rich Taylor , state senator[ 55] Organizations Cathy Glasson
Elected officials Iowa Democratic Party officials Alex Anderson, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee affirmative action chairperson[ 61] Evan Burger,4th District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[ 61] Lindsey Ellickson, Linn County Democratic Party central committee member[ 61] Jessica Fears, 4th District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[ 61] Mason Fraker,Henry County Democratic Party vice-chairman[ 61] Jason Frerichs, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member, chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party Progressive Caucus[ 61] Dylan P. Funk, Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member, vice-chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party Progressive Caucus[ 61] Jon Green, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[ 61] Holly Herbert,3rd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[ 61] Sarah J. Hinds,Linn County Democratic Party credentials committee chairperson[ 61] Kate Revaux, 2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[ 61] Nora Taft,2nd District Iowa Democratic Party State Central Committee member[ 61] Labor union leaders Chris Laursen,UAW Local 74 president[ 61] Labor unions Organizations Fred Hubbell
Statewide officials State legislators Staci Appel , former state senator[ 45] Deborah Berry , former state representative[ 45] Dennis Black , former state senator[ 45] Wayne Ford , former state representative[ 45] Ruth Ann Gaines , state representative[ 45] Jack Hatch , former state senator[ 45] Chris Hall , state representative[ 43] Doris Kelley , former state representative[ 45] George Kinley , former Majority Leader of theIowa Senate [ 45] Vicki Lensing , state representative[ 45] Mary Mascher , state representative[ 45] Kevin McCarthy , former Majority Leader of theIowa House of Representatives [ 45] Helen Miller , state representative[ 45] Todd Prichard , state representative[ 74] Mike Reasoner , former state representative[ 45] Joe Riding , former state representative[ 45] Sally Stutsman , former state representative[ 45] Jane Teaford , former state representative[ 45] Cindy Winckler , state representative[ 45] Mary Wolfe , state representative[ 45] Frank Wood , former state senator[ 45] Newspapers Andy McGuire
Individuals Leonard Boswell , former U.S. representative[ 41] Bonnie Campbell , formerIowa Attorney General [ 41] Roxanne Conlin , formerUnited States Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa and 2010 U.S. Senate nominee[ 41] Howard Dean , formergovernor of Vermont and formerDemocratic National Committee chairman[ 75] Michael Gronstal , former Majority Leader of theIowa Senate [ 41] Gary Kroeger , 2016 State House candidate and activist[ 41] Ryan McDaniel, president of the Student Leadership Council for Iowa Safe Schools[ 41] Linda Nelson, former state representative and former president of the Iowa State Education Association[ 41] Phyllis Thede , state representative[ 41] Jamie Woods, chair of the Black Caucus of theIowa Democratic Party [ 41] Jo Ann Zimmerman , former lieutenant governor of Iowa[ 41] John Norris
Individuals Brad Anderson, 2014 Democratic Secretary of State nominee Marti Anderson , state representativeDaryll Beal, former state senator Tom Hockensmith, Polk County Supervisor Marcia Nichols, former political director for AFSCME 61 Jo Oldson , state representativeBrian Quirk , former state representativeDon Ruby, Iowa Democratic Party Secretary Dave Schroeder, former state representative Norm Sterzenbach , former executive director, Iowa Democratic PartyRod Sullivan, Johnson County Supervisor Roger Thomas , former state representativeTravis Weipert, Johnson County Auditor Andrew Wenthe , mayor of Fayette, former state representativeTodd Prichard (withdrew)
Individuals Bruce Bearinger , state representative[ 76] Timi Brown-Powers , state representative[ 76] David Dawson , former state representative[ 76] Bob Dvorsky , state senator[ 76] Ro Foege , former state representative[ 76] Ruth Ann Gaines , state representative[ 76] Dave Jacoby , state representative[ 76] Tim Kacena , state representative[ 76] Monica Kurth , state representative[ 76] Dan Muhlbauer , former state representative[ 76] Sharon Steckman , state representative[ 76] Sally Stutsman , former state representative[ 76] Roger Thomas , former state representative[ 76] Mary Wolfe , state representative[ 76] Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Nate Boulton Cathy Glasson Fred Hubbell Andrea McGuire Jon Neiderbach John Norris Ross Wilburn Other Undecided Selzer & Company [ 77] May 13–15, 2018 501 ± 4.4% 20% 13% 31% 5% – 5% 3% 10% 14% Remington [ 78] May 5–6, 2018 2,315 ± 2.0% 20% 7% 46% 3% – 5% 1% – 18% 20-20 Insight [ 79] November 8–10, 2017 762 ± 3.6% 13% 6% 22% 3% 2% 5% 1% – 47%
Results by county: Hubbell—70–80%
Hubbell—60–70%
Hubbell—50–60%
Hubbell—40–50%
Hubbell—<40%
Glasson—<40%
Norris—60–70%
Boulton—<40%
Libertarian primary [ edit ] Libertarian Party presidential nomineeGary Johnson received 3.8 percent of the votes in Iowa in 2016, surpassing the 2 percent threshold to attain full political party status.[ 80] As a result, the Libertarian Party was allowed to hold a primary to select a nominee.[ 80]
Jake Porter, business consultant Marco Battaglia, musician[ 81] Jake Porter, nominee for Secretary of State in 2010 and 2014[ 82] [ 83] [ 84] Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report [ 95] Tossup October 26, 2018 The Washington Post [ 96] Tossup November 5, 2018 FiveThirtyEight [ 97] Lean D(flip) November 5, 2018 Rothenberg Political Report [ 98] Tilt D(flip) November 1, 2018 Sabato's Crystal Ball [ 99] Lean D(flip) November 5, 2018 RealClearPolitics [ 100] Tossup November 4, 2018 Daily Kos [ 101] Tossup November 5, 2018 Fox News [ 102] [ a] Tossup November 5, 2018 Politico [ 103] Tossup November 5, 2018 Governing [ 104] Tossup November 5, 2018
Notes ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races %support 0 10 20 30 40 50 1/31/2018 10/22/2018 11/4/2018 Reynolds Hubbell Other Opinion polling for the 2018 Iowa gubernatorial election
Hypothetical polling
with Nate Boulton
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Kim Reynolds (R) Nate Boulton (D) Other Undecided Selzer & Company [ 112] January 28–31, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 41% 37% 11% 11%
with Cathy Glasson
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Kim Reynolds (R) Cathy Glasson (D) Other Undecided Selzer & Company [ 112] January 28–31, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 44% 31% 14% 12%
with generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Kim Reynolds (R) Generic Democrat Undecided 20/20 Insights (D-Mowrer)[ 113] June 19–21, 2017 526 ± 4.3% 44% 39% 17%
with John Norris
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Kim Reynolds (R) John Norris (D) Other Undecided Selzer & Company [ 112] January 28–31, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 41% 30% 14% 15%
with Andy McGuire
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Kim Reynolds (R) Andy McGuire (D) Other Undecided Selzer & Company [ 112] January 28–31, 2018 801 ± 3.5% 42% 30% 15% 13%
While pre-election polls showed Reynolds trailing Hubbell,[ 114] Reynolds won 50.3% of the vote on election day, primarily by sweeping every county west of Des Moines and dominating the 4th Congressional District (she lost the other three).[ 115] Ultimately, she carried 88 of Iowa's 99 counties.[ 116] She became the first female governor of Iowa elected in her own right.[ 117]
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic [ edit ] By congressional district [ edit ] Despite losing the state, Hubbell won three of four congressional districts.[ 119]
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June 5, 2018.[permanent dead link ] ^ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking" .Fox News . April 15, 2023.^ "Politico Race Ratings" .Politico .^ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups" .www.governing.com . Archived fromthe original on October 21, 2018. RetrievedJuly 18, 2018 .^ Change Research ^ Gary Siegwarth (Clear Water) with 1% ^ Selzer & Company ^ Emerson College ^ University of Iowa ^ Selzer & Company ^ Emerson College ^a b c d e Selzer & Company ^ 20/20 Insights (D-Mowrer) ^ "In Danger Of Losing, Iowa Governor Enlists Republican Heavy Hitters Ahead Of Midterms" .NPR.org .^ "Iowa Governor Election Results 2018: Live Midterm Map by County & Analysis" .www.politico.com .^ Russell, Joyce (November 7, 2018)."Gov. Reynolds Wins A Full Term In A Close Election" .www.iowapublicradio.org . ^ Ferris, Sarah (November 7, 2018)."Kim Reynolds is Iowa's first elected female governor" .Politico . ^ "General Election 2018 Canvass Summary" (PDF) . Iowa Secretary of State. RetrievedMarch 6, 2023 .^ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::2d801234-32b3-4a96-a64c-82e27c460716 Official campaign websites
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