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2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii

November 8, 2016
2022 →
 
NomineeBrian SchatzJohn Carroll
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote306,60492,653
Percentage73.61%22.24%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Schatz:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
     No votes

U.S. senator before election

Brian Schatz
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Brian Schatz
Democratic

Elections in Hawaii

The2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii was held November 8, 2016, concurrently with the2016 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to theUnited States Senate andHouse of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held August 13. Incumbent Democratic U.S. SenatorBrian Schatz won reelection to his first full term in office, defeating Republican former state legislatorJohn Carroll.

Background

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In 2011,Daniel Inouye announced that he planned to run for a record tenth term in 2016, when he would have been 92 years old.[1][2] He also said, "I have told my staff and I have told my family that when the time comes, when you question my sanity or question my ability to do things physically or mentally, I don't want you to hesitate, do everything to get me out of here, because I want to make certain the people of Hawaii get the best representation possible."[3]

Inouye died on December 17, 2012.[4]Hawaii GovernorNeil Abercrombie appointedLieutenant GovernorBrian Schatz, a Democrat, to succeed Inouye. Schatz won a2014 special election to serve the remainder of Inouye's term.[5]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Declined

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Former

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Results

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Democratic primary results[10][11][12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBrian Schatz (incumbent)162,89186.17%
DemocraticMakani Christensen11,8986.29%
DemocraticMiles Shiratori8,6204.56%
DemocraticArturo Reyes3,8192.02%
DemocraticTutz Honeychurch1,8150.96%
Total votes189,043100.00%

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Withdrew

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  • Charles Collins, candidate for the U.S. Senate in2012 and for Governor of Hawaii in2014[13]

Declined

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Results

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Results by county:
  Carroll—70–80%
  Carroll—60–70%
Republican primary results[10][11][12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Carroll26,74774.58%
RepublicanJohn P. Roco3,95611.03%
RepublicanKarla Gottschalk3,0458.49%
RepublicanEddie Pirkowski2,1145.89%
Total votes35,862100.00%

Other primaries

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Libertarian

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Candidates

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Declared
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  • Michael Kokoski, nominee for the U.S. Senate in2014[6]

Results

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Libertarian primary results[10][11][12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianMichael Kokoski909100.00%
Total votes909100.00%

Constitution

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Candidates

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Declared
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  • Joy Allison, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[6]

Results

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Constitution primary results[10][11][12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
ConstitutionJoy Allison217100.00%
Total votes217100.00%

American Shopping

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Candidates

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Declared
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  • John Giuffre[6]

Results

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American Shopping primary results[10][11][12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
American ShoppingJohn Giuffre111100.00%
Total votes111100.00%

General election

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Schatz defeated Carroll on election day, winning his second election to the U.S. Senate and his first full term after being appointed to the seat in 2012 following the death ofDaniel Inouye. This was his largest margin of victory, as he won over 4% more of the electorate in this election.

Fundraising

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CandidateRaisedSpentCash on Hand
Brian Schatz (D)[14]$3,316,074$1,195,572$3,074,380
John Carroll (R)

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Safe DNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe DNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[17]Safe DNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos[18]Safe DNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[19]Safe DNovember 7, 2016

Polling

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Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brian
Schatz (D)
John
Carroll (R)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey[20]November 1–7, 2016426± 4.6%70%26%4%
SurveyMonkey[21]October 31–November 6, 2016426± 4.6%67%29%4%
SurveyMonkey[22]October 28–November 3, 2016435± 4.6%68%26%6%
SurveyMonkey[23]October 27–November 2, 2016424± 4.6%70%26%4%
SurveyMonkey[24]October 26–November 1, 2016428± 4.6%70%26%4%
SurveyMonkey[25]October 25–31, 2016467± 4.6%69%27%4%

Results

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United States Senate election in Hawaii, 2016[26]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticBrian Schatz (incumbent)306,60473.61%+3.83%
RepublicanJohn Carroll92,65322.24%−5.46%
ConstitutionJoy Allison9,1032.19%N/A
LibertarianMichael Kokowski6,8091.63%−0.89%
American ShoppingJohn Giuffre1,3930.33%N/A
Total votes416,562100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

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By county
CountyBrian Schatz
Democratic
John Carroll
Republican
All Others
#%#%#%
Hawaii47,00374.59%12,76620.26%3,2465.15%
Honolulu203,37272.98%64,93923.3%10,3453.71%
Kauai19,01576.13%4,74519.0%1,2164.87%
Maui37,21474.55%10,20320.44%2,4985.01%
Totals306,60473.6%92,65322.24%17,3054.15%

By congressional district

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Schatz won both congressional districts.[27]

DistrictSchatzCarrollRepresentative
1st74%22%Colleen Hanabusa
2nd73%22%Tulsi Gabbard

References

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  1. ^abManu Raju and John Bresnahan (April 12, 2011)."Sen. Daniel Inouye goes silent on big Hawaiian race". Politico.
  2. ^abHamilton, Chris."The Maui News - Inouye has more he wants to do for (Hawaii Senator emphasizes need for Democrats to remain in control)".The Maui News. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2012.
  3. ^Mizutani, Ron (April 26, 2010)."Sen. Akaka: "God willing, I Plan to Run Again in 2012"".KHON2. Archived fromthe original on July 13, 2011. RetrievedMarch 3, 2011.
  4. ^"Hawaii Sen. Daniel Inouye dies at age 88".Washington Post. RetrievedDecember 17, 2012.
  5. ^abEmily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015)."Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016".Roll Call. Archived fromthe original on January 29, 2015. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2015.
  6. ^abcdefghijk"Federal State County Sorted by: Contest"(PDF). Hawaii Secretary of State. RetrievedJune 8, 2016.
  7. ^Stephen O'Harrow (August 18, 2014)."Dan Inouye and Brian Schatz: A Lesson in Hawaii Politics". Honolulu Civil Beat. RetrievedDecember 26, 2015.
  8. ^abBlair, Chad (March 14, 2015)."Tulsi Gabbard Looks to Be Running for Re-election". Honolulu Civil Beat. RetrievedDecember 26, 2015.
  9. ^"Leadership Lessons from the Late Sen. Daniel Inouye".Forbes.
  10. ^abcde"Statewide Results"(PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on August 22, 2016. RetrievedAugust 13, 2016.
  11. ^abcde"Hawaii Senate Races Results". Politico. RetrievedAugust 13, 2016.
  12. ^abcde"Archived copy". Archived fromthe original on August 18, 2016. RetrievedAugust 16, 2016.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  13. ^"Charles Collins for US Senate". RetrievedDecember 29, 2015.
  14. ^"Schatz, Brian — Candidate for Senate". Federal Elections Commission. RetrievedAugust 15, 2016.
  15. ^"2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 26, 2021.
  16. ^"2016 Senate".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2016.
  17. ^"2016 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedNovember 3, 2016.
  18. ^"Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version".Daily Kos. RetrievedMarch 27, 2021.
  19. ^"Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2016.
  20. ^SurveyMonkey
  21. ^SurveyMonkey
  22. ^SurveyMonkey
  23. ^SurveyMonkey
  24. ^SurveyMonkey
  25. ^SurveyMonkey
  26. ^"Office of Elections – State of Hawaii – Statewide". State of Hawaii Office of Elections. August 16, 2016. p. 1. RetrievedNovember 18, 2016.
  27. ^"Dra 2020".

External links

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