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2012 United States presidential election in South Dakota

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Main article:2012 United States presidential election
2012 United States presidential election in South Dakota

← 2008
November 6, 2012
2016 →
 
NomineeMitt RomneyBarack Obama
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateMassachusettsIllinois
Running matePaul RyanJoe Biden
Electoral vote30
Popular vote210,610145,039
Percentage57.89%39.87%

County results

Romney

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Obama

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  90–100%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in South Dakota
Mayoral elections
Mayoral elections
2012 U.S. presidential election
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Minor parties
Related races
← 2008
2016 →

The2012 United States presidential election in South Dakota took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.South Dakota voters chose three electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,CongressmanPaul Ryan.

Prior to the election, all seventeen news organizations making predictions for the election considered this a state Romney would win, or otherwise considered as a safered state. South Dakota has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee sinceLyndon B. Johnson carried it in his 44-state landslide in1964. South Dakota, just as all of the other states in the Great Plains, is among the most Republican states in the country. According to a 2012Gallup poll, South Dakota is the 9th most conservative state in the country, with Republicans having an 11 percentage point advantage over Democrats in terms of party affiliation or identification.[1] It is also the 10th whitest state in the country as of 2012, at 83.8%,[2] and has the 4th highest gun ownership rate in the country at 56.6%, according toThe Washington Post.[3] Both of these voting blocs are relatively solid for the Republican Party.[4]

While Obama lost the state by only 8.41% in2008, illustrating a potential resurgence of Democratic strength among the agrarian population as seen in states such asIowa, the state was returned to the safe Republican column in 2012. Romney won South Dakota by an 18.02% margin of victory. Romney was able to win back southeast Dakota: Obama became competitive there in 2008, when he wonMinnehaha County (and many of its suburbs), home to the state's largest city ofSioux Falls, by only 587 votes.[5] Romney carried upwards of 60% of the vote in many counties, with his best performance in theWest River. He also flippedBrown County, whereAberdeen is.

Obama's best performance was in majorityNative American counties in the west of the state. He carried 93.35% of the vote inShannon County (now known as Oglala Lakota), home to thePine Ridge Reservation and theOglala Lakota tribe. The counties ofBuffalo;Dewey; andTodd, where theCrow Creek;Cheyenne River andStanding Rock; andRosebud reservations are located, respectively, also delivered great margins to the president.Clay County, home to theUniversity of South Dakota, was the only county in the southeast to vote for Obama.

As of the2024 presidential election, this is the last time in which the Democratic candidate wonCorson County,Day County,Marshall County, andRoberts County.

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
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Republican primary

[edit]
2012South Dakota Republican presidential primary

← 2008
June 5, 2012 (2012-06-05)
2016 →
 
CandidateMitt RomneyRon Paul
Home stateMassachusettsTexas
Delegate count250
Popular vote34,0336,704
Percentage66.05%13.01%

 
CandidateRick SantorumUncommitted
Home statePennsylvaniaN/A
Delegate count00
Popular vote5,9162,797
Percentage11.48%5.43%

South Dakota results by county
  Mitt Romney
(Note:Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy)

The Republican primary took place on June 5, 2012.[6] 25 delegates will be chosen, for a total of 28 delegates to go to the national convention.

2012 South Dakota Republican primary
CandidateVotesPercentageDelegates
Mitt Romney34,03366.1%25
Ron Paul6,70413.01%0
Rick Santorum5,91611.48%0
Uncommitted2,7975.43%0
Newt Gingrich2,0744.03%0
Unpledged delegates:3
Total:51,524100.0%28
Key:Withdrew prior to contest

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
CNN[8]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[9]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[10]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[11]Solid RNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12]Solid RNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[13]Solid RNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]
2012 United States presidential election in South Dakota[14]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan210,61057.89%3
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)145,03939.87%0
LibertarianGary JohnsonJim Gray5,7951.59%0
ConstitutionVirgil GoodeJim Clymer2,3710.65%0
Totals363,815100.00%3

By county

[edit]
County[15]Mitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Virgil Goode
Constitution
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%#%
Aurora80457.43%55639.71%271.93%130.93%24817.72%1,400
Beadle4,23058.24%2,88139.67%1071.47%450.62%1,34918.57%7,263
Bennett62652.04%54845.55%181.50%110.91%786.49%1,203
Bon Homme1,83059.53%1,16737.96%551.79%220.72%66321.57%3,074
Brookings6,22050.16%5,82746.99%2532.04%1000.81%3933.17%12,400
Brown8,32151.79%7,25045.12%4092.55%880.55%1,0716.67%16,068
Brule1,49963.01%82434.64%371.56%190.80%67528.37%2,379
Buffalo16625.90%47273.63%30.47%00.00%-306-47.73%641
Butte3,07373.03%1,00023.81%942.23%390.93%2,07149.22%4,208
Campbell61678.27%15319.44%121.52%60.76%46358.83%787
Charles Mix2,23059.25%1,48339.40%300.80%210.56%74719.85%3,764
Clark1,06758.59%71339.15%271.48%140.77%35419.44%1,821
Clay2,14741.02%2,95556.46%1072.04%250.48%-808-15.44%5,234
Codington6,69658.10%4,58839.81%1691.47%710.62%2,10818.29%11,524
Corson51542.92%64854.00%302.50%70.58%-133-11.08%1,200
Custer3,06267.74%1,33529.54%831.84%400.88%1,72738.20%4,520
Davison4,75759.68%3,04238.16%1251.57%470.59%1,71521.52%7,971
Day1,32045.95%1,49752.11%331.15%230.80%-177-6.16%2,873
Deuel1,17554.12%94143.34%321.47%231.06%23410.78%2,171
Dewey66334.99%1,20763.69%150.79%100.53%-544-28.70%1,895
Douglas1,33478.93%33219.64%160.95%80.47%1,00259.29%1,690
Edmunds1,26465.29%62232.13%371.91%130.67%64233.16%1,936
Fall River2,25864.22%1,14032.42%752.13%431.22%1,11831.80%3,516
Faulk76567.88%33129.37%221.95%90.80%43438.51%1,127
Grant2,03456.41%1,49341.40%481.33%310.86%54115.01%3,606
Gregory1,50770.06%59927.85%311.44%140.65%90842.21%2,151
Haakon94086.08%13812.64%80.73%60.55%80273.44%1,092
Hamlin1,80364.55%92132.98%471.68%220.79%88231.57%2,793
Hand1,24267.21%57531.11%211.14%100.54%66736.10%1,848
Hanson1,62767.34%76031.46%160.66%130.54%86735.88%2,416
Harding63886.33%8211.10%162.17%30.41%55675.23%739
Hughes5,21964.00%2,78634.16%1071.31%430.53%2,43329.84%8,155
Hutchinson2,45171.56%92326.95%250.73%260.76%1,52844.61%3,425
Hyde53172.44%18925.78%111.50%20.27%34246.66%733
Jackson66159.76%42638.52%90.81%100.90%23521.24%1,106
Jerauld53853.48%45244.93%111.09%50.50%868.55%1,006
Jones49080.46%10817.73%91.48%20.33%38262.73%609
Kingsbury1,45155.64%1,09241.87%451.73%200.77%35913.77%2,608
Lake3,41954.40%2,72443.34%981.56%440.70%69511.06%6,285
Lawrence7,02561.85%3,97334.98%2622.31%990.87%3,05226.87%11,359
Lincoln13,61162.00%7,98236.36%2611.19%980.45%5,62925.64%21,952
Lyman93359.46%60538.56%241.53%70.45%32820.90%1,569
Marshall88944.74%1,06153.40%291.46%80.40%-172-8.66%1,987
McCook1,65563.34%90534.63%331.26%200.77%75028.71%2,613
McPherson92175.80%27222.39%120.99%100.82%64953.41%1,215
Meade7,56669.95%2,92827.07%2141.98%1091.01%4,63842.88%10,817
Mellette38149.54%37548.76%50.65%81.04%60.78%769
Miner63655.79%47942.02%181.58%70.61%15713.77%1,140
Minnehaha40,34252.68%34,67445.28%1,1181.46%4490.59%5,6687.40%76,583
Moody1,53550.61%1,42947.12%471.55%220.73%1063.49%3,033
Pennington28,23263.49%15,12534.02%8161.84%2910.65%13,10729.47%44,464
Perkins1,20575.79%31920.06%392.45%271.70%88655.73%1,590
Potter1,02974.51%33924.55%100.72%30.22%69049.96%1,381
Roberts1,88344.24%2,30254.09%420.99%290.68%-419-9.85%4,256
Sanborn68861.70%38934.89%221.97%161.43%29926.81%1,115
Shannon1885.98%2,93793.39%140.45%60.19%-2,749-87.41%3,145
Spink1,67054.92%1,30042.75%541.78%170.56%37012.17%3,041
Stanley1,06369.03%43528.25%332.14%90.58%62840.78%1,540
Sully61374.94%18622.74%161.96%30.37%42752.20%818
Todd49819.94%1,97679.13%110.44%120.48%-1,478-59.19%2,497
Tripp1,90570.79%73727.39%230.85%260.97%1,16843.40%2,691
Turner2,71564.49%1,41133.52%471.12%370.88%1,30430.97%4,210
Union4,69861.85%2,78236.62%811.07%350.46%1,91625.23%7,596
Walworth1,73170.31%67127.25%411.67%190.77%1,06043.06%2,462
Yankton5,49555.09%4,22642.37%1992.00%540.54%1,26912.72%9,974
Ziebach31441.26%43957.69%60.79%20.26%-125-16.43%761
Totals210,61057.89%145,03939.87%5,7951.59%2,3710.65%65,57118.02%363,815
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

South Dakota has only one congressional district because of its small population compared to other states. This district, called the at-large district because it covers the entire state, is equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
At-large57.89%39.87%Kristi Noem

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Jones, Jeffrey M. (February 2, 2012)."More States Move to GOP in 2011".Gallup. RetrievedNovember 27, 2020.
  2. ^"2012 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates". American FactFinder, U.S. Census Bureau. Archived fromthe original on February 12, 2020. RetrievedMarch 23, 2014.
  3. ^Cochran, Laura (May 26, 2006)."Gun Ownership by State".The Washington Post. RetrievedNovember 27, 2020.
  4. ^Cohen, Micah (August 24, 2012)."In South Dakota, Only the Farm Trumps Conservatism".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedNovember 27, 2020.
  5. ^"South Dakota - Election Results 2008 - The New York Times".www.nytimes.com. RetrievedNovember 27, 2020.
  6. ^"Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar".CNN. RetrievedJanuary 12, 2012.
  7. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  8. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  9. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  10. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  11. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  12. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  13. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  14. ^"South Dakota Secretary of State". RetrievedDecember 9, 2012.
  15. ^Our Campaigns;SD US Presidential Election Race, November 06, 2012

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