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2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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Main article:2012 United States presidential election
2012United States presidential election in Oklahoma

← 2008
November 6, 2012
2016 →
 
NomineeMitt RomneyBarack Obama
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateMassachusettsIllinois
Running matePaul RyanJoe Biden
Electoral vote70
Popular vote891,325443,547
Percentage66.77%33.23%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Romney

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

No votes

  


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Oklahoma
Government
2012 U.S. presidential election
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Minor parties
Related races
← 2008
2016 →

The2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated. Voters chose seven electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote pittingincumbentDemocraticPresidentBarack Obama and his running mate,Vice PresidentJoe Biden, againstRepublican challenger and formerMassachusetts GovernorMitt Romney and his running mate,CongressmanPaul Ryan. For the third election in a row since2004, nothird parties were allowed on the ballot.

With an extremelysocially conservative electorate,Oklahoma has in recent years become one of the most Republican states in the nation. For the third cycle in a row, the Republicans won over 65% of the vote and swept every single county in the state.

With 66.77% of the popular vote to Obama's mere 33.23%,Mitt Romney carried almost exactly two thirds of the vote in the state whileObama merely carried one third. His vote share also the remains the third-highest for any Republican presidential candidate in Oklahoma history; as well as the strongest ever for a candidate who was not nationally successful. Oklahoma was Romney's third strongest state in the 2012 election, afterUtah andWyoming.[1]

Primary elections

[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]
Main article:2012 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary

President Obama faced four challengers in Oklahoma's Democratic primary. ChallengerRandall Terry took 12 counties with candidate Jim Rogers winning in three counties. CandidatesBob Ely and Darcy Richardson also appeared on Oklahoma's ballot but failed to obtain a majority of votes in any county.

2012 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary[2]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected national delegates[2]
Barack Obama(incumbent)64,25957.07%35
Randall Terry20,29418.02%7
Jim Rogers15,53513.80%3
Darcy Richardson7,1926.39%0
Bob Ely5,3184.72%0
Totals112,598100.00%45

Republican primary

[edit]

The Republican primary took place onSuper Tuesday, March 6, 2012.[3][4]

Oklahoma had 43 delegates to the2012 Republican National Convention. Three superdelegates were unbound by the primary results. 15 delegates were allocated by congressional districts, with 3 delegates for each district. If a candidate got a majority of the vote in a district, he took all 3 delegates from that district; if no one got a majority, the delegates were split either 2-to-1 or 1-1-1 depending on how many candidates got at least 15% of the vote. Another 25 delegates were awarded to the candidate who won a majority in the state, or allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 15% of the vote statewide if no one got a majority.[5]

Results

[edit]
2012 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary[6]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected national delegates[7]
Rick Santorum96,84933.8%14
Mitt Romney80,35628.0%13
Newt Gingrich78,73027.5%13
Ron Paul27,5969.6%0
Rick Perry1,2910.45%0
Michele Bachmann9510.33%0
Jon Huntsman7500.26%0
Unprojected delegates3
Totals286,523100.0%43
Key:Withdrew
prior to contest

Republican Conventions for Oklahoma's Congressional Districts

[edit]

Fifteen delegates to the 2012 Republican national convention were elected at congressional-district conventions March 31 to April 14, 2012 — three from each of Oklahoma's five congressional districts.[8][9]

Oklahoma Republican Convention

[edit]

The Oklahoma Republican State Convention was held May 11–12, 2012 inNorman. Irregularities were reported.[8][10]

At least two Ron Paul supporters said they were physically attacked by Romney supporters.[11][12]

Oklahoma's (Republican) Governor Mary Fallin tried to speak at the convention. After loud chants of "Ron Paul" from the floor, she stated (referring to Romney) "We have a presidential nominee", resulting in loud booing.[12]

Paul supporters said that the convention was stopped with unfinished business, without a two-thirds vote, and therefore against parliamentary procedure.[13] It was reported that, after the convention was said to be adjourned, a partition in the room was moved, isolating many attendees from the rest of the body. The lights were turned out momentarily.[10]

After the convention was stopped and the chairman left, many Paul supporters assembled outside and held a rump convention, chaired by Jake Peters, at which they elected a slate of Paul supporters as delegates to the national convention.[12][14]

Four Paul supporters, including Jake Peters, made a formal complaint to the Oklahoma Republican Party, saying that Party rules were broken by failing to take a roll-call vote on the delegate slate and that the convention was adjourned without the required vote. The complaint asserted that state law is involved in the Republican Party's nominating process and cited case law to the effect that party process should be considered "an integral part of the State's election system".[13][15][16]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Huffington Post[17]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
CNN[18]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
New York Times[19]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
Washington Post[20]Safe RNovember 6, 2012
RealClearPolitics[21]Solid RNovember 6, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]Solid RNovember 5, 2012
FiveThirtyEight[23]Solid RNovember 6, 2012

Results

[edit]
2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma[24]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan891,32566.77%7
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)443,54733.23%0
Totals1,334,872100.00%7

By county

[edit]
CountyMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
MarginTotal
#%#%#%
Adair4,38167.32%2,12732.68%2,25434.64%6,508
Alfalfa1,76184.54%32215.46%1,43969.08%2,083
Atoka3,53874.00%1,24326.00%2,29548.00%4,781
Beaver2,06289.42%24410.58%1,81878.84%2,306
Beckham5,50879.54%1,41720.46%4,09159.08%6,925
Blaine2,82474.00%99226.00%1,83248.00%3,816
Bryan9,52072.12%3,68127.88%5,83944.24%13,201
Caddo5,68764.25%3,16435.75%2,52328.50%8,851
Canadian35,62577.17%10,53722.83%25,08854.34%46,162
Carter12,21471.34%4,90828.66%7,30642.68%17,122
Cherokee8,16257.05%6,14442.95%2,01814.10%14,306
Choctaw3,57270.51%1,49429.49%2,07841.02%5,066
Cimarron1,08290.39%1159.61%96780.78%1,197
Cleveland59,11662.97%34,77137.03%24,34525.94%93,887
Coal1,71072.49%64927.51%1,06144.98%2,359
Comanche17,66458.52%12,52141.48%5,14317.04%30,185
Cotton1,79673.22%65726.78%1,13946.44%2,453
Craig3,55967.08%1,74732.92%1,81234.16%5,306
Creek18,98672.70%7,12827.30%11,85845.40%26,114
Custer7,44675.94%2,35924.06%5,08751.88%9,805
Delaware10,08070.61%4,19629.39%5,88441.22%14,276
Dewey1,79285.62%30114.38%1,49171.24%2,093
Ellis1,57587.45%22612.55%1,34974.90%1,801
Garfield15,17776.23%4,73323.77%10,44452.46%19,910
Garvin6,92573.02%2,55926.98%4,36646.04%9,484
Grady14,83375.61%4,78624.39%10,04751.22%19,619
Grant1,67581.00%39319.00%1,28262.00%2,068
Greer1,34473.36%48826.64%85646.72%1,832
Harmon65971.40%26428.60%39542.80%923
Harper1,26187.94%17312.06%1,08875.88%1,434
Haskell3,06972.31%1,17527.69%1,89444.62%4,244
Hughes2,83867.44%1,37032.56%1,46834.88%4,208
Jackson5,96575.33%1,95424.67%4,01150.66%7,919
Jefferson1,63472.98%60527.02%1,02945.96%2,239
Johnston2,64969.97%1,13730.03%1,51239.94%3,786
Kay11,49971.31%4,62728.69%6,87242.62%16,126
Kingfisher4,87084.43%89815.57%3,97268.86%5,768
Kiowa2,31667.68%1,10632.32%1,21035.36%3,422
Latimer2,62869.19%1,17030.81%1,45838.38%3,798
LeFlore11,17770.57%4,66229.43%6,51541.14%15,839
Lincoln9,55374.48%3,27325.52%6,28048.96%12,826
Logan12,31472.27%4,72427.73%7,59044.54%17,038
Love2,43670.20%1,03429.80%1,40240.40%3,470
Major2,70085.82%44614.18%2,25471.64%3,146
Marshall3,74472.84%1,39627.16%2,34845.68%5,140
Mayes9,63766.65%4,82333.35%4,81433.30%14,460
McClain11,11277.67%3,19422.33%7,91855.34%14,306
McCurtain7,63575.78%2,44024.22%5,19551.56%10,075
McIntosh4,50961.87%2,77938.13%1,73023.74%7,288
Murray3,60670.07%1,54029.93%2,06640.14%5,146
Muskogee13,40457.39%9,95242.61%3,45214.78%23,356
Noble3,48875.32%1,14324.68%2,34550.64%4,631
Nowata2,83269.48%1,24430.52%1,58838.96%4,076
Okfuskee2,33565.02%1,25634.98%1,07930.04%3,591
Oklahoma149,72858.33%106,98241.67%42,74616.66%256,710
Okmulgee7,73158.73%5,43241.27%2,29917.46%13,163
Osage11,24262.64%6,70437.36%4,53825.28%17,946
Ottawa6,46664.82%3,50935.18%2,95729.64%9,975
Pawnee4,23270.01%1,81329.99%2,41940.02%6,045
Payne16,48164.18%9,19835.82%7,28328.36%25,679
Pittsburg10,84169.17%4,83130.83%6,01038.34%15,672
Pontotoc8,94569.38%3,94730.62%4,99838.76%12,892
Pottawatomie16,25069.33%7,18830.67%9,06238.66%23,438
Pushmataha3,08774.75%1,04325.25%2,04449.50%4,130
Roger Mills1,40283.75%27216.25%1,13067.50%1,674
Rogers27,55375.07%9,14824.93%18,40550.14%36,701
Seminole4,85665.13%2,60034.87%2,25630.26%7,456
Sequoyah9,57869.55%4,19330.45%5,38539.10%13,771
Stephens12,90876.62%3,93923.38%8,96953.24%16,847
Texas4,93085.12%86214.88%4,06870.24%5,792
Tillman1,81566.70%90633.30%90933.40%2,721
Tulsa145,06263.68%82,74436.32%62,31827.36%227,806
Wagoner20,90072.85%7,79127.15%13,10945.70%28,691
Washington15,66873.91%5,53226.09%10,13647.82%21,200
Washita3,49480.95%82219.05%2,67261.90%4,316
Woods2,72780.25%67119.75%2,05660.50%3,398
Woodward5,94583.99%1,13316.01%4,81267.98%7,078
Totals891,32566.77%443,54733.23%447,77833.54%1,334,872

By congressional district

[edit]

Romney won all five congressional districts.[25]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st65.8%34.2%Jim Bridenstine
2nd67.8%32.2%Markwayne Mullin
3rd73.9%26.1%Frank Lucas
4th67.1%32.9%Tom Cole
5th59.2%40.8%James Lankford

Analysis

[edit]

As expected,Mitt Romney swept every county in the state, carrying 66.77% of the vote toObama's measly 33.23%. Romney capitalized on his strength amongst white and conservative voters – Oklahoma's population is 65.6% white[26] (a demographic Romney won nationwide by 59% to Obama's 39%)[27] and the state has a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, tied for the second most Republican in the nation along withUtah.[28] His strongest performance was in the Oklahoma Panhandle, one of the most staunchly conservative regions in the country, where he garnered 80% to 90% of the vote in many of these counties. Romney also performed well in theLittle Dixie region and on the state's border withTexas. Despite many counties having a plurality of registered Democratic voters exceeding the number of registered Republicans (such asComanche andOkmulgee),[29] Obama failed to carry any counties. However, Obama was still able to garner margins of around 45% to Romney's 55% in some counties, such asCherokee County (Obama's best performance), which is 36.4%Native American and home to the capital of theCherokee Nation,Tahlequah,[30][31] andMuskogee County, which is located in theCreek Nation.[32] He also had a formidable, but still lackluster, performance inOklahoma County, home to the state's capital and largest city,Oklahoma City, which is quite conservative despite being the state's most urban region.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"2012 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. RetrievedMarch 5, 2018.
  2. ^abThe Green Papers, Retrieved July 8, 2015
  3. ^"Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar".CNN. RetrievedJanuary 12, 2012.
  4. ^"Presidential Primary Dates"(PDF).Federal Election Commission. RetrievedJanuary 23, 2012.
  5. ^Nate Silver (March 4, 2012)."Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates".FiveThirtyEight. RetrievedMarch 5, 2012.
  6. ^"State of Oklahoma Presidential Results by Congressional District (2012 Primary)". Oklahoma State Election Board. May 23, 2012.Archived from the original on June 4, 2012. RetrievedMarch 23, 2012.
  7. ^The Green Papers, Retrieved April 27
  8. ^ab"Oklahoma Republican Presidential Nominating Process". RetrievedMay 16, 2012.
  9. ^McNutt, Michael (May 13, 2012)."Oklahoma Republicans elect delegates to national convention".newsok.com. RetrievedMay 16, 2012.
  10. ^ab"Rachel Maddow Discusses Ron Paul & GOP Conventions Chaos".YouTube. May 14, 2012. RetrievedMay 15, 2012.
  11. ^"2 Romney Supporters ASSAULT 2 Ron Paul Supporters in OK".www.youtube.com R11110000. May 13, 2012. RetrievedMay 25, 2012.
  12. ^abc"Violent OK GOP State Convention".newsODP/www.youtube.com. RetrievedMay 15, 2012.
  13. ^ab"Ron Paul Supporters Submit Challenge to Oklahoma GOP State Convention". RetrievedMay 25, 2012.
  14. ^"Ron Paul Supporters Stage Rump Convention in OK – May 12, 2012". Archived fromthe original on May 15, 2012. RetrievedMay 15, 2012.
  15. ^"Rules of the Oklahoma Republican Party, Amended August 27, 2011"(PDF). RetrievedMay 25, 2012.
  16. ^"Report of the Committee on Rules and Order of Business". Oklahoma Republican State Convention. May 12, 2012. RetrievedMay 25, 2012.
  17. ^"Huffington Post Election Dashboard".HuffPost. Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2013.
  18. ^"America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map".CNN. Archived fromthe original on January 19, 2013.
  19. ^"Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on July 8, 2012.
  20. ^"2012 Presidential Election Results".The Washington Post.Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
  21. ^"RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived fromthe original on June 8, 2011.
  22. ^"PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
  23. ^"Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
  24. ^"Oklahoma State Election Board". Archived fromthe original on December 2, 2020. RetrievedNovember 24, 2012.
  25. ^"Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".Daily Kos. RetrievedAugust 11, 2020.
  26. ^"State Population By Race, Ethnicity Data".www.governing.com. July 2, 2015. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2020.
  27. ^"President Exit Polls".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2020.
  28. ^"State PVIs".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2020.
  29. ^"Current Registration Statistics by County"(PDF).Oklahoma State Election Board. January 15, 2019. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on July 17, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2020.
  30. ^"U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: Cherokee County, Oklahoma".www.census.gov. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2020.
  31. ^"Cherokee County | The Encyclopedia of Oklahoma History and Culture".www.okhistory.org. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2020.
  32. ^"Muskogee County | The Encyclopedia of Oklahoma History and Culture".www.okhistory.org. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2020.

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