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2012 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

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2012 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

← 2010
November 6, 2012
2014 →
 
NomineeKristi NoemMatt Varilek
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote207,640153,789
Percentage57.45%42.55%

County results
Noem:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Varilek:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Kristi Noem
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Kristi Noem
Republican

This article is part of
a series about
Kristi Noem

U.S. Representative from South Dakota

Governor of South Dakota

U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security
Elections in South Dakota
Mayoral elections
Mayoral elections

The2012 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the singleU.S. Representative fromSouth Dakota's At-large congressional district, comprising the entire state ofSouth Dakota. The election coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennialpresidential election.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Declined

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Primary results

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Democratic primary results[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMatt Varilek21,75971.9
DemocraticJeff Barth8,49428.1
Total votes30,253100.0

General election

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Polling

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Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kristi
Noem (R)
Matt
Varilek (D)
Undecided
Nielson Brothers Polling[5]October 31 – November 4, 2012633± 3.90%54%41%5%
Nielson Brothers Polling[6]October 28–31, 2012671± 3.78%50%44%5%
Nielson Brothers Polling[7]August 29 – September 6, 2012509± 4.34%51%42%7%
Nielson Brothers Polling[8]July 19–23, 2012541± 4.21%47%46%7%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kristi
Noem (R)
Stephanie
H. Sandlin (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[9]January 28–30, 20111,045± 3.0%45%46%8%

Endorsements

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Matt Varilek (D)

Organizations

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[11]Likely RNovember 5, 2012
Rothenberg[12]Safe RNovember 2, 2012
Roll Call[13]Safe RNovember 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14]Likely RNovember 5, 2012
NY Times[15]Safe RNovember 4, 2012
RCP[16]Safe RNovember 4, 2012
The Hill[17]Safe RNovember 4, 2012

Results

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South Dakota's at-large congressional district, 2012[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanKristi Noem (incumbent)207,64057.45%+9.33%
DemocraticMatt Varilek153,78942.55%−3.34%
Total votes361,429100.00N/A
Republicanhold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

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  1. ^abLuther, Megan (July 16, 2011)."Rep. Noem gears up for re-election campaign".Argus Leader. RetrievedJuly 20, 2011.[permanent dead link]
  2. ^Hayworth, Bret (December 2, 2011)."Politically Speaking: Varilek enters race for South Dakota congressional seat".Sioux City Journal. RetrievedDecember 2, 2011.
  3. ^Montgomery, David (January 22, 2012)."Herseth Sandlin won't run for House seat".Rapid City Journal.Archived from the original on August 21, 2025. RetrievedAugust 21, 2025.
  4. ^"Statewide Races".Secretary of State of South Dakota. June 25, 2012. RetrievedAugust 3, 2012.
  5. ^"Nielson Brothers Polling"(PDF).
  6. ^"McGovern, Noem have leads in newly released poll results | The Daily Republic | Mitchell, South Dakota". November 5, 2012. Archived fromthe original on November 5, 2012.
  7. ^"Poll: Noem opens lead of nine points | The Daily Republic | Mitchell, South Dakota". September 26, 2012. Archived fromthe original on September 26, 2012.
  8. ^"Final July Survey Candidates and Issues | PDF".Scribd.
  9. ^"Public Policy Polling"(PDF).
  10. ^"RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC. Archived fromthe original on October 26, 2012. RetrievedMarch 5, 2023.
  11. ^"The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. RetrievedNovember 6, 2012.
  12. ^"House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. November 2, 2012. RetrievedNovember 4, 2012.
  13. ^[1], as of November 4, 2012[update]
  14. ^Crystal BallArchived April 20, 2023, at theWayback Machine, as of November 5, 2012[update]
  15. ^House Race Ratings,The New York Times, as of November 4, 2012[update]
  16. ^[2], as of November 4, 2012[update]
  17. ^"House Ratings".The Hill. November 3, 2012. RetrievedNovember 4, 2012.
  18. ^"Secretary of State — Statewide Races"(PDF). South Dakota Secretary of State. RetrievedNovember 28, 2012.

External links

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Official campaign websites (Archived)

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