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2010 United States Senate election in Maryland

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2010 United States Senate election in Maryland

← 2004
November 2, 2010
2016 →
 
NomineeBarbara MikulskiEric Wargotz
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,140,531655,666
Percentage62.19%35.75%

County results
Precinct results
Mikulski:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Wargotz:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     40–50%     50%

U.S. senator before election

Barbara Mikulski
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Barbara Mikulski
Democratic

The2010 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 2, 2010.Primary elections were held on September 14, 2010. IncumbentDemocratic U.S. SenatorBarbara Mikulski won re-election to a fifth term.

According toThe Baltimore Sun columnist David Nitkin, Mikulski had indicated she planned to seek re-election to a fifth term. If Mikulski were to win re-election and serve the full term, she would tiePaul Sarbanes as the longest-serving senator in state history, and also becoming the longest-serving female senator in history, turning 80 years old in the process.[1] On February 15, 2010, rumors began to circulate that Mikulski would not seek reelection; however, these were denied by Democratic sources soon after.[2][3]

She previously won senate elections in1986,1992,1998, and2004 by margins of 21, 42, 41 and 31 percentage points, respectively. Additionally, in the general election, state parties were expected to focus much of their attention on the seats of GovernorMartin O'Malley and first-term CongressmanFrank Kratovil, the latter of whom won a surprise victory in a conservative district of the state.[1] Nitkin[1] andLarry Sabato'sCrystal Ball[4] considered her seat as overwhelmingly "safe."

Democratic primary

[edit]
Results by county:
  Mikulski—80–90%
  Mikulski—70–80%
  Mikulski—60–70%
Democratic primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBarbara Mikulski (Incumbent)388,86882.32%
DemocraticChristopher J. Garner35,5797.53%
DemocraticA. Billy Bob Jaworski15,1313.20%
DemocraticBlaine Taylor10,7872.28%
DemocraticTheresa C. Scaldaferri7,9131.68%
DemocraticSanquetta Taylor7,3651.56%
DemocraticLih Young6,7331.43%
Total votes472,376100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Joseph Alexander
  • Barry Steve Asbury, newspaper publisher
  • Neil Cohen, dentist
  • Stephens Dempsey
  • Samuel R. Graham Sr.
  • John B. Kimble,perennial candidate
  • Gregory Kump
  • Daniel W. McAndrew
  • Jim Rutledge, attorney
  • Eddie Vendetti, engineer

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Wargotz—60–70%
  Wargotz—50–60%
  Wargotz—40–50%
  Wargotz—<40%
  Rutledge—<40%
  Rutledge—40–50%
Republican primary results[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanEric Wargotz92,46438.57%
RepublicanJim Rutledge73,31130.58%
RepublicanJoseph Alexander14,0265.85%
RepublicanNeil H. Cohen13,6135.68%
RepublicanStephens Dempsey9,3253.89%
RepublicanDaniel W. McAndrew8,4603.53%
RepublicanJohn B. Kimble8,0813.37%
RepublicanSamuel R. Graham, Sr.6,6002.75%
RepublicanBarry Steve Asbury5,9002.46%
RepublicanEddie Vendetti5,0462.10%
RepublicanGregory Kump2,9311.22%
Total votes239,757100.00%

General election

[edit]
Elections in Maryland
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
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Government

Candidates

[edit]

Major

[edit]

Minor

[edit]
  • Don Kaplan (Independent)
  • Richard Shawver (Constitution)
  • Kenniss Henry (Green)
  • Natasha Pettigrew (deceased) was the Green Party candidate. On September 19, while cycling, Pettigrew was hit by an SUV driver. Her mother, Kenniss Henry, was chosen by the Green Party to replace Pettigrew on the ballot.[6]

Campaign

[edit]

Wargotz released two television ads, in the first he created and introduced the term "insidersaurus": comparing Mikulski to adinosaur by calling her a political "insidersaurus"[7][8][9][10][11] being in Washington for over thirty years (a long-term political incumbent.) A second ad showed a hammer hitting a brick wall, breaking it down and citing criticisms of Mikulski's record as a U.S. Senator. Mikulski released advertisements emphasizing education and job creation.[12]

Despite Wargotz's limited campaign and resources he received the highest percentage of votes against Mikulski as an incumbent U.S. Senator (over 20 years.)

Debates

[edit]

Despite repeated requests by the Wargotz Campaign formal debate was declined by the incumbent U.S. Senator Mikulski. The two candidates did appear together on Maryland Public Television (MPT) fielding common questions posed to both by the moderator but no formal debate was held.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[13]Solid DOctober 26, 2010
Rothenberg[14]Safe DOctober 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[15]Safe DOctober 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16]Safe DOctober 21, 2010
CQ Politics[17]Safe DOctober 26, 2010

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Barbara
Mikulski (D)
Eric
Wargotz (R)
OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports (report)July 8, 2010500± 4.5%58%33%2%7%
Public Policy Polling (report)July 10–12, 2010569± 4.1%59%27%––14%
Rasmussen Reports (report)August 20, 2010750± 4.0%55%39%3%3%
Rasmussen Reports (report)September 15, 2010750± 4.0%54%38%4%4%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies, Inc. (report)October 11–16, 2010816± 3.5%55%38%––7%
Baltimore Sun/OpinionWorks (report)October 15–20, 2010798± 3.5%59%32%––8%
Rasmussen Reports (report)October 24, 2010750± 4.0%56%38%2%4%

Fundraising

[edit]
Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebtCash minus debt
Barbara Mikulski (D)$3,690,724$2,792,437$1,772,774$0$1,772,774
Eric Wargotz (R)$1,210,327$743,392$466,931$459,600$-7331.
Source: Federal Election Commission[18]

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in Maryland, 2010[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticBarbara Mikulski (incumbent)1,140,53162.19%−2.61%
RepublicanEric Wargotz655,66635.75%+2.05%
GreenKenniss Henry20,7171.13%+0.06%
ConstitutionRichard Shawver14,7460.80%+0.42%
Write-in2,2130.11%+0.05%
Total votes1,833,873100.0%
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
CountyBarbara A. Mikulski

Democratic

Eric Wargotz

Republican

Kennis Henry

Green

Richard Shawver

Constitution

Other

Other

MarginTotal

Votes

Cast

#%#%#%#%#%#%
Allegany963944.60%1135052.52%2881.33%3191.48%160.07%-1711-7.92%21612
Anne Arundel10251151.17%9299446.42%27661.38%18680.93%2140.11%95174.75%200353
Baltimore (City)13831286.59%1833611.48%20941.31%8310.52%1670.10%11997675.11%159740
Baltimore (County)16567858.27%11267039.62%34261.20%22330.79%3430.12%5300818.64%284350
Calvert1524748.44%1556949.46%3641.16%2750.87%210.07%-322-1.02%31476
Caroline450845.46%514251.86%1201.21%1271.28%190.19%-634-6.39%9916
Carroll2163234.38%3931262.48%8341.33%10401.65%1010.16%-17680-28.10%62919
Cecil1313244.22%1560052.53%4431.49%4851.63%400.13%-2468-8.31%29700
Charles3010664.88%1559833.62%3480.75%3210.69%280.06%1450831.27%46401
Dorchester648155.96%491042.39%990.85%870.75%50.04%157113.56%11582
Frederick3491346.67%3801350.81%8761.17%9051.21%1070.14%-3100-4.14%74814
Garrett336135.76%575061.17%1171.24%1641.74%80.09%-2389-25.41%9400
Harford4071243.50%5051353.98%10821.16%11711.25%1060.11%-9801-10.47%93584
Howard6373859.71%4085338.27%12391.16%7940.74%1250.12%2288521.44%106749
Kent454956.04%340541.95%811.00%740.91%80.10%114414.09%8117
Montgomery20400570.67%7958227.57%33531.16%13930.48%3510.12%12442343.10%288684
Prince George's20444189.11%226079.85%14720.64%7520.33%1640.07%18183479.25%229436
Queen Anne's857543.64%1056153.75%1950.99%2841.45%350.18%-1986-10.11%19650
St. Mary's1466946.86%1591150.83%3201.02%3771.20%260.08%-1242-3.97%31303
Somerset408253.98%336344.47%480.63%670.89%20.03%7199.51%7562
Talbot796849.28%794649.15%1470.91%950.59%120.07%220.14%16168
Washington1735643.71%2087352.57%5791.46%6531.64%2470.62%-3517-8.86%39708
Wicomico1466849.88%1418948.25%2430.83%2780.95%300.10%4791.63%29408
Worcester1024848.28%1061950.03%1830.86%1530.72%230.11%-371-1.75%21226
Total114053162.19%65566635.75%207171.13%147460.80%21980.12%48486526.44%1833858
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcNitkin, David (November 12, 2008)."Smooth sailing for Mikulski". Maryland Politics Blog.The Baltimore Sun. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2009.
  2. ^Geraghty, Jim (February 15, 2010)."Let's Get Real: Barbara Mikulski Does Not Fear a Loss This Year".National Review. Archived fromthe original on July 7, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 16, 2010.
  3. ^Hockstader, Lee (February 16, 2010)."Mikulski another Dem retirement? Not likely".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on September 21, 2012. RetrievedFebruary 16, 2010.
  4. ^"Senate 2010: A three-peat for Democrats or Comeback for the GOP?". Crystal Ball. February 19, 2009. Archived fromthe original on January 7, 2010.
  5. ^ab"Maryland Senate Primary Results".Maryland State Board of Elections. September 17, 2010. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2010.
  6. ^Natasha Pettigrew – Mother to replace Green Party nominee for Senate – Baltimore Sun
  7. ^"'Insidersaurus'".Politico. September 2010.
  8. ^"Political Insidersaurus:Eric Wargotz on the Hunt".YouTube.
  9. ^"Senate Candidate Runs on Dinosaur Metaphor".The Atlantic. September 2, 2010.
  10. ^"MD-Sen: Wargotz Hits Mikulski for Being A "Political Insidersaurus" | RealClearPolitics".
  11. ^"Eric Wargotz - Political Insidersaurus is FoxNews Ad of the Day".YouTube.
  12. ^Pershing, Ben; Dropp, Kyle (October 4, 2010)."Mikulski leads despite drop in popularity".The Washington Post.
  13. ^"Senate".Cook Political Report. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  14. ^"Senate Ratings".Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  15. ^"Battle for the Senate".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  16. ^"2010 Senate Ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  17. ^"Race Ratings Chart: Senate".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 26, 2010.
  18. ^"2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Maryland". fec.gov. RetrievedMay 1, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  19. ^Maryland State Board of Elections

External links

[edit]

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