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2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

← 2008
November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)
2012 →

All 25 Florida seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Last election1510
Seats won196
Seat changeIncrease 4Decrease 4
Popular vote2,234,5341,528,756
Percentage55.61%38.04%
SwingIncrease 5.69%Decrease 9.61%

District results
County results

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Democratic

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

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The2010 United States House of Representatives Elections in Florida were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent thestate ofFlorida in theUnited States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013. Florida had twenty-five seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census, but would soon gain two more congressional seats in 2012.

A large majority of the incumbents sought re-election on November 2, and only the12th district and the17th district were open races. Upon the resignation ofRobert Wexler, aspecial election was held in April to determine the new representative of19th district. The winner of that race wasTed Deutch of theDemocratic Party, who sought re-election on November 2.

Overview

[edit]

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida by district:[1]

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1170,82180.00%00.00%42,70520.00%213,526100.00%Republican hold
District 2136,37153.60%105,21141.35%12,8565.05%254,438100.00%Republican gain
District 350,93233.89%94,74463.03%4,6253.08%150,301100.00%Democratic hold
District 4178,23877.21%00.00%52,60722.79%230,845100.00%Republican hold
District 5208,81567.43%100,85832.57%00.00309,673100.00%Republican hold
District 6179,34971.46%00.00%71,63228.54%250,981100.00%Republican hold
District 7185,47069.03%83,20630.97%00.00%268,676100.00%Republican hold
District 8123,58656.11%84,16738.22%12,4915.67%220,244100.00%Republican gain
District 9165,43371.43%66,15828.57%00.00%231,591100.00%Republican hold
District 10137,94365.92%71,31334.08%00.00%209,256100.00%Republican hold
District 1161,81740.37%91,32859.63%00.00%153,145100.00%Democratic hold
District 12102,70448.14%87,76941.14%22,85710.72%213,330100.00%Republican hold
District 13183,81168.86%83,12331.14%00.00%266,934100.00%Republican hold
District 14188,34168.56%74,52527.13%11,8254.31%274,691100.00%Republican hold
District 15157,07964.73%85,59535.27%00.00%242,674100.00%Republican hold
District 16162,28566.85%80,32733.09%1510.06%242,763100.00%Republican hold
District 1700.00%106,36186.21%17,00913.79%123,370100.00%Democratic hold
District 18102,36068.89%46,23531.11%00.00%148,595100.00%Republican hold
District 1978,73337.30%132,09862.59%2280.11%211,059100.00%Democratic hold
District 2063,84538.10%100,78760.15%2,9381.75%167,570100.00%Democratic hold
District 21Republican hold
District 22118,89054.36%99,80445.64%00.00%218,694100.00%Republican gain
District 2326,41420.88%100,06679.12%00.00%126,480100.00%Democratic hold
District 24146,12959.64%98,78740.31%1150.05%245,031100.00%Republican gain
District 2574,85952.15%61,13842.59%7,5565.26%143,553100.00%Republican hold
Total3,004,22558.71%1,853,60036.22%259,5955.07%5,117,420100.00%

District 1

[edit]
See also:Florida's 1st congressional district
2010 Florida's 1st congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeJeff MillerJoe CantrellJohn Krause
PartyRepublicanIndependentIndependent
Popular vote168,89922,76317,869
Percentage80.61%10.86%8.52%

County results
Miller:     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Miller
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Miller
Republican

Republican incumbentJeff Miller has represented this westernFlorida Panhandle congressional district since winning aspecial election in 2001. Jeff Miller sought re-election, and won by a landslide against challenging Independents Joe Cantrell and John Krause. Miller was also challenged by Jim Bryan, a qualified write-in candidate.

Race details

Campaign websites

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 1st congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeff Miller (Incumbent)168,89981
IndependentJoe Cantrell22,76311
IndependentJohn Krause17,8699
Total votes209,531100
Republicanhold

District 2

[edit]
See also:Florida's 2nd congressional district
2010 Florida's 2nd congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeSteve SoutherlandAllen Boyd
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote134,912104,415
Percentage53.53%41.43%

County results
Southerland:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Boyd:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Allen Boyd
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Steve Southerland
Republican

Democratic incumbentAllen Boyd ran for reelection,[8] facing Republican nominee businessmanSteve Southerland.[9]Independent candidates Paul C. McKain and Dianne Berryhill were also on the ballot, and Ray Netherwood qualified as a write-in candidate.

In addition,Green Party candidate Steve Wilkie did not qualify for the congressional election.

Boyd won the Democratic primary againstState Senate Democratic LeaderAlfred Lawson, Jr.[10] Southerland won the Republican primary against Eddie Hendry, Ron McNeil,Barbara F. Olschner and David Scholl.[9] Southerland went on to unseat Boyd in the general election following, among other issues, voter discontent with the incumbent for his support of the policies of the President.

The district, which includesTallahassee, voted 54%–45% for John McCain in 2008.Race details

Campaign websites

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredAllen Boyd (D)Steve Southerland (R)
The Hill/ANGA[11]October 16–19, 201038%50%
Voter Survey Service[12]October 14–17, 201038%50%
National Research[13]September 29–30, 201030%46%
Tarrance Group[14]April 12–13, 201037%52%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[5]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Lean R(flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe R(flip)November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 2nd congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSteve Southerland134,91254
DemocraticAllen Boyd (Incumbent)104,41541
IndependentPaul C. McKain7,0583
IndependentDianne Berryhill5,6532
Total votes252,038100
Republicangain fromDemocratic

District 3

[edit]
See also:Florida's 3rd congressional district
2010 Florida's 3rd congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeCorrine BrownMike Yost
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote92,05750,107
Percentage62.75%34.16%

County results
Brown:     60–70%     70–80%
Yost:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Corrine Brown
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Corrine Brown
Democratic

DemocratCorrine Brown represents this north central Florida district. She was challenged by Republican nominee Mike Yost and Independent Terry Martin-Back, who Corrine Brown defeated on November 2, 2010.

Race details

Campaign websites

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 3rd congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCorrine Brown (Incumbent)92,05763
RepublicanMike Yost50,10734
IndependentTerry Martin-Back4,5323
Total votes146,696100
Democratichold

District 4

[edit]
See also:Florida's 4th congressional district
2010 Florida's 4th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeAnder CrenshawTroy Stanley
PartyRepublicanIndependent
Popular vote175,16251,620
Percentage77.23%22.76%

County results
Crenshaw:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Ander Crenshaw
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ander Crenshaw
Republican

ThisJacksonville district is represented by RepublicanAnder Crenshaw. Independent Troy Stanley challenged him.[15] Gary L. Koniz and Deborah "Deb" Katz Pueschel also qualified as write-ins.[16] Crenshaw won the race by a wide margin.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 4th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAnder Crenshaw (Incumbent)175,16277
IndependentTroy Stanley51,62023
Total votes226,782100
Republicanhold

District 5

[edit]
See also:Florida's 5th congressional district
2010 Florida's 5th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeRich NugentJim Piccillo
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote208,443100,649
Percentage67.44%32.56%

County results
Nugent:     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Ginny Brown-Waite
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rich Nugent
Republican

This was an open seat, as Republican incumbentGinny Brown-Waite retired, citing health reasons.Hernando County SheriffRich Nugent won the Republican primary to face Democratic businessman Jim Piccillo (campaign site,PVS,FEC), a former Republican and political novice.[17] Nugent defeated Piccillo in the general election.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 5th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRich Nugent208,44367
DemocraticJim Piccillo100,64933
Total votes309,092100
Republicanhold

District 6

[edit]
See also:Florida's 6th congressional district
2010 Florida's 6th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeCliff StearnsSteve Schonberg
PartyRepublicanIndependent
Popular vote178,77971,381
Percentage71.47%28.53%

County results
Stearns:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Cliff Stearns
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Cliff Stearns
Republican

Republican incumbentCliff Stearns has held this seat since 1989. He was challenged byIndependent candidate Steve Schonberg (campaign site,PVS).[16]

Stearns won against Don Browning (campaign site,PVS) in the Republican primary.

On October 19, 2009, theFlorida Whig Party announced that John Annarumma would be their nominee, but he later dropped out.[18][19][unreliable source] Stearns won the general election with 71% of the vote.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 6th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCliff Stearns (Incumbent)178,77971
IndependentSteve Schonberg71,38129
Total votes250,160100
Republicanhold

District 7

[edit]
See also:Florida's 7th congressional district
2010 Florida's 7th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeJohn MicaHeather Beaven
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote184,86882,999
Percentage69.01%30.99%

County results
Mica:     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

John Mica
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Mica
Republican

Republican incumbentJohn Mica has held this district since 1993, and ran for re-election. He was challenged by Democratic nomineePalm Coast Navy veteran and nonprofit CEO Heather Beaven (campaign site,PVS,FEC).

Both Mica and Beaven ran unopposed in their respective primary elections. Peter Silva (campaign site)[20] dropped out earlier. 2008 candidateFaye Armitage considered re-running, but decided against it.[21]

Florida Whig Party candidate Stephen J. Bacon (campaign site) also ran.[22] Mica was easily reelected.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 7th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Mica (Incumbent)184,86869
DemocraticHeather Beaven82,99931
Total votes267,867100
Republicanhold

District 8

[edit]
See also:Florida's 8th congressional district
2010 Florida's 8th congressional district election

← 2008
 
NomineeDaniel WebsterAlan Grayson
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote123,46484,167
Percentage56.1%38.2%

County results
Webster:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Alan Grayson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Daniel Webster
Republican

Democratic incumbentAlan Grayson was defeated by Republican nominee former State Senate Majority Leader andSpeaker of the Florida House of RepresentativesDaniel Webster. TEA Party candidate Peg Dunmire (campaign site,PVS), andIndependent George L. Metcalfe (campaign sitePVS were on the ballot, andFlorida Whig Party Steven J. Gerritzen (campaign site), qualified as awrite-in candidate.[16][22]

Grayson ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. In the Republican primary, Webster defeated Ross Bieling; Dan Fanelli, a former pilot; State RepresentativeKurt Kelly; 2008 GOP candidate Todd Long; Bruce O'Donoghue, businessman; and Patricia Sullivan, GOP activist.[23]

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredAlan Grayson (D)Daniel Webster (R)Other
Voter Survey Service[24]October 22–25, 201041%48%5%
OnMessage, Inc.[25]October, 201030%46%-
Voter Survey Service[26]September 25–27, 201036%43%11%
Public Policy Polling[27]August 23–25, 201040%27%23%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[5]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Lean R(flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 8th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDaniel Webster123,46456.1
DemocraticAlan Grayson (Incumbent)84,03638.2
TEAPeg Dunmire8,3244
IndependentGeorge Metcalfe4,1402
Total votes219,964100
Republicangain fromDemocratic

District 9

[edit]
See also:Florida's 9th congressional district
2010 Florida's 9th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeGus BilirakisAnita dePalma
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote162,89165,295
Percentage71.39%28.61%

County results
Bilirakis:     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Gus Bilirakis
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Gus Bilirakis
Republican

RepublicanGus Bilirakis ran for re-election, having first won election in 2007 to replace his father,Michael Bilirakis, who had served the previous 23 years. Anita dePalma (campaign site,PVS) defeated Phil Hindahl (campaign site,PVS) in the Democratic primary election. Bilirakis was reelected with 71% of the vote.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 9th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGus Bilirakis (Incumbent)162,89171
DemocraticAnita dePalma65,29529
Total votes228,186100
Republicanhold

District 10

[edit]
See also:Florida's 10th congressional district
2010 Florida's 10th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeBill YoungCharlie Justice
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote137,83771,228
Percentage66.19%34.07%

U.S. Representative before election

Bill Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bill Young
Republican

Republican incumbentBill Young was challenged by Democratic nomineeState SenatorCharlie Justice. Martin Rokicki qualified to run as a write-in candidate.[28]

Young, who has represented this district since 1971 and is currently the longest-serving Republican in the House, ran unopposed in the Republican primary, local tea party activist Eric Forcade having withdrawn.[29] Justice also ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. Young was reelected to a 21st term.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 10th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Young (Incumbent)137,83766
DemocraticCharlie Justice71,22834
Total votes209,065100
Republicanhold

District 11

[edit]
See also:Florida's 11th congressional district
2010 Florida's 11th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeKathy CastorMike Prendergast
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote89,21160,033
Percentage59.78%40.22%

County results
Castor:     50–60%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Kathy Castor
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kathy Castor
Democratic

Democratic incumbentKathy Castor was challenged by Republican nominee Mike Prendergast (campaign site,PVS). Castor has held the seat since 2006. Castor was reelected with 60% of the vote.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 11th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKathy Castor (Incumbent)89,21160
RepublicanMike Prendergast60,03340
Total votes149,244100
Democratichold

District 12

[edit]
2010 Florida's 12th congressional district election

← 2008
 
NomineeDennis RossLori EdwardsRandy Wilkerson
PartyRepublicanDemocraticTea Party
Popular vote102,70486,51522,857
Percentage48.1%41.1%10.7%

County results
Ross:     40–50%     50–60%
Edwards:     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Adam Putnam
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Dennis Ross
Republican

See also:Florida's 12th congressional district

This was an open seat as Republican incumbentAdam Putnam ran forFlorida Commissioner of Agriculture.[30] Democratic nomineePolk County Elections Supervisor Lori Edwards (campaign site,PVS), Republican nominee formerState RepresentativeDennis Ross (campaign site,PVS), and Tea Party nomineePolk County Commissioner Randy Wilkinson (campaign site,PVS) were on the general election ballot.

Edwards won against retiredUnited States Navy chief Doug Tudor (campaign site,PVS) in the Democratic primary.[31] Ross won against John W. Lindsey, Jr. in the Republican primary.[32][33][34] Wilkinson ran unopposed.

Ross won the general election with 48% of the vote; Edwards garnered 41%, and 11% of the voters chose Wilkinson.

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredDennis Ross (R)Lori Edwards (D)Randy Wilkinson (T)
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[35]July 26–28, 201032%35%20%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[36]November 17–19, 200942%46%-

†Internal poll commissioned for Edwards campaign

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Lean RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Tilt RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Lean RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Lean RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Lean ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Likely RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Florida's 12th congressional district election, 2010
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDennis Ross102,70448.1
DemocraticLori Edwards87,76941.1
IndependentRandy Wilkinson22,85710.7
Total votes213,330100
Republicanhold

District 13

[edit]
See also:Florida's 13th congressional district
2010 Florida's 13th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeVern BuchananJames Golden
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote183,81183,123
Percentage68.86%31.14%

County results
Buchanan:     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Vern Buchanan
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Vern Buchanan
Republican

Republican incumbentVern Buchanan successfully ran for reelection, challenged by Democratic nominee The Reverend James T. Golden (campaign site,PVS).

Buchanan won against Don Baldauf (campaign site,PVS) in the Republican primary. Golden won against Rick Eaton (campaign site,PVS) in the Democratic primary.[37]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 13th Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanVern Buchanan (incumbent)183,81168.9
DemocraticJames T. Golden83,12331.1
Republicanhold

District 14

[edit]
See also:Florida's 14th congressional district
2010 Florida's 14th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeConnie Mack IVJames Lloyd Roach
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote188,34174,525
Percentage68.56%27.13%

County results
Mack:     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Connie Mack IV
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Connie Mack IV
Republican

Republican incumbentConnie Mack[38] was challenged by Democratic nominee Jim Roach (campaign site,PVS) andIndependent William Maverick Saint Claire (PVS). Mack was reelected in the general election.

In 2008, McCain won 57% of the vote.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
2010 14th Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanConnie Mack IV (incumbent)188,34168.6
DemocraticJames Lloyd Roach74,52527.1
IndependentWilliam St. Claire11,8254.3
Republicanhold

District 15

[edit]
2010 Florida's 15th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeBill PoseyShannon Roberts
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote157,07985,595
Percentage64.73%35.27%

County results
Posey:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Bill Posey
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bill Posey
Republican

See also:Florida's 15th congressional district

First term Republican incumbentBill Posey was reelected, defeating Democratic nominee former NASA executive and public administrator Shannon Roberts (campaign site,PVS). Both ran unopposed in their respective primary elections.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 15th Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Posey (incumbent)157,07964.7
DemocraticShannon Roberts85,59535.3
Republicanhold

District 16

[edit]
2010 Florida's 16th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeTom RooneyJim Horn
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote162,28580,321
Percentage66.89%33.11%

County results
Rooney:     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Rooney
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Rooney
Republican

See also:Florida's 16th congressional district

First term Republican incumbentTom Rooney ran for re-election, challenged by Democratic nominee Jim Horn (campaign site,PVS). William Dean has qualified as a write-in candidate. Rooney prevailed in the general election.

Rooney ran unopposed in the Republican primary. Horn won against Ed Tautiva (campaign site,PVS) in the Democratic primary.St. Lucie County Commissioner Christopher Craft dropped out on March 26, 2010.[39][40]

Rooney's predecessorTim Mahoney, and Mahoney's predecessorMark Foley, were both involved in scandals.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 16th Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTom Rooney (incumbent)162,28566.8
DemocraticJim Horn80,32733.1
Republicanhold

District 17

[edit]
2010 Florida's 17th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeFrederica WilsonRoderick Vereen
PartyDemocraticIndependent
Popular vote106,36117,009
Percentage86.21%13.79%

County results
Wilson:     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Kendrick Meek
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Frederica Wilson
Democratic

See also:Florida's 17th congressional district

This was an open seat, as Democratic incumbentKendrick Meek ran for the U.S. Senate. Democratic nomineeState SenatorFrederica Wilson ran against Independent attorney Roderick D. Vereen (campaign site,PVS).[16][41]

Wilson won the Democratic primary, running against community activist and executive director of FANM (Haitian Women of Miami) Marleine Bastien (campaign site,PVS), former State RepresentativePhillip Brutus, State RepresentativeJames Bush III,North Miami Councilman Scott Galvin (campaign site,PVS),Miami Gardens Mayor Shirley Gibson (campaign site,PVS), physicianRudy Moise (campaign site,PVS), State RepresentativeYolly Roberson,[42] andMiami Gardens City Councilman and attorney Andre Williams (campaign site,PVS).[43]The Miami Herald newspaper endorsed Shirley Gibson in the Democratic primary.[44]

Teacher Corey Poitier was the lone announced Republican candidate, but he dropped out.[45]

Wilson won 86.2% of the vote in the general election.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 17th Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticFrederica Wilson106,36186.2
IndependentRoderick D. Vereen17,00913.8
Democratichold

District 18

[edit]
2010 Florida's 18th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeIleana Ros-LehtinenRolando Banciella
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote102,36046,235
Percentage68.89%31.11%

Results by county
Ros-Lehtinen:     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Ileana Ros-Lehtinen
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ileana Ros-Lehtinen
Republican

See also:Florida's 18th congressional district

Republican incumbentIleana Ros-Lehtinen had held this seat since 1989, and was challenged by Rolando A. Banciella (campaign site,PVS). Both ran unopposed in their respective primaries. Ros-Lehtinen won the general election.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 18th Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanIleana Ros-Lehtinen (incumbent)102,36068.9
DemocraticRolando A. Banciella46,23531.1%
Republicanhold

District 19

[edit]
2010 Florida's 19th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeTed DeutchJoe Budd
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote132,09878,733
Percentage62.66%37.34%

Results by county
Deutch:     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Ted Deutch
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ted Deutch
Democratic

See also:Florida's 19th congressional district

DemocratRobert Wexler resigned on January 3, 2010, to become president of the Washington-based Center for Middle East Peace and Economic Cooperation.[46] His seat was filled byTed Deutch, the winner of aspecial election, held on April 13.[47] Deutch faced Joe Budd (campaign site,PVS), running unopposed in the Republican primary, along with write-in candidate Stan Smilan (campaign site) in the general election. Deutsch was easily re-elected.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 19th Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticTed Deutch (incumbent)132,09862.6
RepublicanJoe Budd78,73337.3
Democratichold

District 20

[edit]
2010 Florida's 20th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeDebbie Wasserman SchultzKaren Harrington
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote100,78763,845
Percentage61.22%38.78%

U.S. Representative before election

Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Democratic

See also:Florida's 20th congressional district

Incumbent DemocratDebbie Wasserman Schultz was challenged by Republican nominee businesswoman Karen Harrington (campaign site,PVS) ofDavie. Independents Stanley Blumenthal (campaign site,PVS) and Bob Kunst (campaign site,PVS) were also running.Florida Whig Party candidate Clayton Schock (campaign site) ran as a write-in.[16][18][19][unreliable source] Wasserman Schultz was re-elected.

Wasserman Schultz ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. Harrington won against businessman Robert Lowry (campaign site,PVS) ofHollywood, andtrans woman Donna Milo (campaign site,PVS).[48]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 20th Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDebbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)100,78760.1
RepublicanKaren Harrington63,84538.1
Democratichold

District 21

[edit]
2010 Florida's 21st congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeMario Díaz-Balart
PartyRepublican
Popular voteUnopposed
PercentageN/A

U.S. Representative before election

Lincoln Díaz-Balart
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mario Díaz-Balart
Republican

See also:Florida's 21st congressional district

This district was an open election, as Republican incumbentLincoln Diaz-Balart was retiring. His brotherMario Diaz-Balart, current Representative of the 25th District, ran unopposed for this seat on November 2, 2010.[49]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]

District 22

[edit]
2010 Florida's 22nd congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeAllen WestRon Klein
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote115,41197,051
Percentage54.32%45.68%

U.S. Representative before election

Ron Klein
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Allen West
Republican

See also:Florida's 22nd congressional district

Democratic incumbentRon Klein was seeking re-election in this Palm Beach-Broward County district,[50] and was challenged and defeated by Republican nomineeAllen West, the former military officer whom Klein defeated 55–45 in 2008.[51]

Klein defeated Paul Renneisen (campaign site,PVS) in the Democratic primary. West defeated David Brady (campaign site,PVS) in the Republican primary.[16]

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredRon Klein (D)Allen West (R)
Voter Survey Service[52]October 17–19, 201044%47%
Harstad Strategic Research[53]September 20–22, 201048%43%
Wilson Research Strategies[54]September 20–22, 201042%48%
Anzalone Research[55]September 14–16, 201048%40%
Wilson Research Strategies[56]April 18–19, 201042%44%

†Internal poll (Wilson Research Strategies for West and Anzalone Research and Harstad Strategic Research for Klein)

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]TossupNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[5]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Lean DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]TossupNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 22nd Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanAllen West115,41154.3
DemocraticRon Klein (incumbent)97,05145.7
Republicangain fromDemocratic

District 23

[edit]
2010 Florida's 23rd congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeAlcee HastingsBernard Sansaricq
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote100,00626,414
Percentage79.12%20.88%

Results by county
Hastings:     70–80%     80–90%
Sansaricq:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Alcee Hastings
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Alcee Hastings
Democratic

See also:Florida's 23rd congressional district

Democratic incumbentAlcee Hastings has held this seat since 1993 and ran for reelection. He was challenged by Republican nomineeBernard Sansaricq (campaign site,PVS). Both ran unopposed in their respective primary elections.[16] Hastings was reelected by a wide margin.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Safe DOctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Safe DNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 23rd Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAlcee Hastings (incumbent)100,06679.1
RepublicanBernard Sansaricq26,41420.9
Democratichold

District 24

[edit]
2010 Florida's 24th congressional district election

← 2008
 
NomineeSandy AdamsSuzanne Kosmas
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote146,12998,787
Percentage59.6%40.3%

County results
Adams:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Suzanne Kosmas
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Sandy Adams
Republican

See also:Florida's 24th congressional district

Democratic incumbentSuzanne Kosmas was challenged and defeated by Republican nomineeSandy Adams. Green Party nominee Nicholas Ruiz III, PhD., qualified as a write-in candidate.[57]

Kosmas defeated formerWinter Springs Mayor Paul Partyka in the Democratic primary. Adams defeated Karen Diebel, Tom Garcia, Deon Long andCraig Miller in the Republican primary.[58]

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredSuzanne Kosmas (D)Sandra Adams (R)
Mclaughlin & Associates[59]September 22–23, 201039%49%
Hamilton Campaigns[60]September 22–23, 201045%43%
Public Opinion Strategies[61]August 31-September 1, 201037%49%
Hamilton Campaigns[60]August, 201043%49%

†Internal poll for Kosmas campaign

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
RCP[5]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Likely R(flip)October 28, 2010
New York Times[7]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 24th Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSandy Adams146,12959.6
DemocraticSuzanne Kosmas (incumbent)98,78740.3
Republicangain fromDemocratic

District 25

[edit]
2010 Florida's 25th congressional district election

← 2008
November 2, 2010
2012 →
 
NomineeDavid RiveraJoe Garcia
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote74,85961,138
Percentage52.15%42.59%

U.S. Representative before election

Mario Diaz-Balart
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

David Rivera
Republican

See also:Florida's 25th congressional district

Republican incumbentMario Diaz-Balart held this district since 2003 but on February 11, 2010, announced that he would not seek another term in the 25th district but would instead run for his brother's seat in the 21st District of Florida.[62] Republican nominee State RepresentativeDavid Rivera, Democratic nomineeJoe Garcia, Tea Party nominee Roly Arrojo (PVS), andFlorida Whig Party nominee Craig Porter (campaign site,PVS) were running.[16][22][62] Rivera prevailed in the general election.

Rivera defeated Mariana 'Marili' Cancio (campaign site,PVS) andPaul Crespo (campaign siteArchived August 26, 2010, at theWayback Machine,PVS) in the Republican primary. Garcia defeated Luis Meurice (campaign site,PVS) in the Democratic primary. Arrojo and Porter were unopposed in their respective primaries.

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDates AdministeredDavid Rivera (R)Joe Garcia (D)
Voter Survey Service[63]October 29, 201044%40%
Voter Survey Service[63]October 25–26, 201044%43%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[64]September 12–19, 201033%40%
Benenson Strategy Group[65]March 24–27, 201035%38%

†Internal poll for Garcia campaign

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2]Lean RNovember 1, 2010
Rothenberg[3]Lean RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4]Likely RNovember 1, 2010
RCP[5]Lean RNovember 1, 2010
CQ Politics[6]Lean ROctober 28, 2010
New York Times[7]TossupNovember 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[7]Likely RNovember 1, 2010

Results

[edit]
Main article:United States House of Representatives elections, 2010
2010 25th Congressional District of Florida Elections
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDavid Rivera74,85952.1
DemocraticJoe Garcia61,13842.6
Tea Party MovementRoly Arrojo4,3123.0
WhigCraig Porters3,2442.3
Republicanhold

References

[edit]
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