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2010 Arizona gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2010 United States gubernatorial elections.

2010 Arizona gubernatorial election

← 2006
November 2, 2010
2014 →
Turnout55.65%Decrease4.82pp[1]
 
NomineeJan BrewerTerry Goddard
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote938,934733,935
Percentage54.33%42.43%

County results
Precinct results
Brewer:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Goddard:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes

Governor before election

Jan Brewer
Republican

Elected Governor

Jan Brewer
Republican

Elections in Arizona

The2010 Arizona gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect theGovernor of Arizona. IncumbentRepublicanJan Brewer ran for a full term. Brewer ascended to the governorship following the resignation of the incumbentDemocratic GovernorJanet Napolitano to becomeSecretary of Homeland Security in theObama Administration. Primaries were held on August 24, 2010. Brewer won a full term, defeatingArizona Attorney General and Democratic nomineeTerry Goddard 54% to 42%.

Background

[edit]

DemocraticGovernorJanet Napolitano wasterm limited and nominated to becomeSecretary of Homeland Security byPresident-electBarack Obama, and was confirmed by theUnited States Senate on January 20, 2009, resigning as governor the same day.[2] Since Arizona does not have alieutenant governor,RepublicanSecretary of StateJan Brewer was first in the state's gubernatorial line of succession and was sworn in as governor upon Napolitano's resignation. Brewer announced on November 5, 2009, that she would seek a full term in 2010.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

The primary to select the 2010 Republican nominee for governor of Arizona was held on August 24, 2010.[5][6]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDates administeredJan Brewer (inc.)Dean Martin*Buz Mills*
Rasmussen Reports[12]June 16, 201072%12%16%
Rasmussen Reports[13]May 17, 201045%18%18%
Public Policy Polling[14]April 23–25, 201025%15%11%
58%16%19%
Rasmussen Reports[15]April 13, 201026%12%18%
Rasmussen Reports[15]March 15, 201020%21%19%
Rasmussen Reports[16]January 20, 201029%27%
Rasmussen Reports[17]November 18, 200910%22%
Public Policy Polling[18]September 21, 200939%26%
* Dropped out of race after entering to seek the nomination

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Brewer—80–90%
  Brewer—70–80%
Republican primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJan Brewer (Incumbent)479,15381.53
RepublicanBuz Mills*51,0018.68
RepublicanDean Martin*36,0126.13
RepublicanMatthew Jette19,6113.34
RepublicanWrite-in1,9060.32
Total votes587,683100
* Dropped out prior to primary, but still appeared on ballot

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Ronald Cavanaugh
  • Barry Hess
  • Bruce Olsen
  • Alvin Ray Yount

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianBarry Hess1,30343.38
LibertarianBruce Olsen61220.37
LibertarianRonald Cavanaugh54718.21
LibertarianWrite-in2999.95
LibertarianAlvin Ray Yount2438.09
Total votes3,004100

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Jan Brewer (R), incumbent governor
  • Terry Goddard (D), attorney general
  • Barry Hess (L)
  • Larry Gist (G)

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[19]Likely ROctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg[20]Lean ROctober 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[21]Lean RNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]Likely ROctober 28, 2010
CQ Politics[23]Lean ROctober 28, 2010

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDates administeredTerry Goddard (D)Jan Brewer (R)
Rasmussen Reports[24]October 28, 201039%53%
Public Policy Polling[25]October 23–24, 201044%52%
BRC Polls[26]October 11, 201035%38%
Rasmussen Reports[24]October 3, 201039%55%
Rasmussen Reports[27]September 7, 201038%60%
Rasmussen Reports[28]August 25, 201038%57%
Rasmussen Reports[29]July 21, 201037%56%
Rasmussen Reports[30]June 29, 201035%53%
Rasmussen Reports[31]May 17, 201039%52%
Rasmussen Reports[32]April 27, 201040%48%
Public Policy Polling[33]April 23–25, 201047%44%
Rasmussen Reports[32]April 14, 201040%44%
Rasmussen Reports[32]March 16, 201045%43%
Rasmussen Reports[32]January 20, 201043%42%
Rasmussen Reports[34]November 18, 200944%42%
Rasmussen Reports[35]September 27, 200942%40%
Public Policy Polling[36]September 7, 200946%36%

Debate

[edit]

On September 1, the first and only debate was held between all four candidates and moderated by Ted Simons. The debate drew national attention after Jan Brewer "stumbled and stammered" through her opening statements. Before the debate the governor had made several comments about there being beheadings in the desert. During the debate Terry Goddard tried to get the governor to admit that it was a false statement. Goddard said quote Jan I'm going to give you an opportunity to admit that was a false statement but of course the governor Steered clear of the question. After the debate reporters were demanding answers, and still she would just not answer the question.[37] After the debate, Brewer stated that she would do no more debates.[38][39]

Results

[edit]
Arizona gubernatorial election, 2010[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJanice Kay Brewer (inc.)938,93454.33%+18.89%
DemocraticSamuel Pearson Goddard III733,93542.43%−20.11%
LibertarianBarry Hess38,7222.24%+0.27%
GreenLarry Gist16,1280.93%
Write-ins3620.02%
Majority204,99911.86%−15.28%
Turnout1,728,081
RepublicanholdSwing
By county
County[41]Jan Brewer
Republican
Terry Goddard
Democratic
Barry Hess
Libertarian
Larry Gist
Green
Write-inMarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Apache7,00233.8912,83962.145142.482941.4100.04-5,837-28.2520,659
Cochise24,97462.3213,95434.827421.853980.9920.0011,02027.5040,070
Coconino16,75443.0220,79253.398802.255051.27130.01-4,038-10.3738,942
Gila11,16362.266,15534.324512.511580.8820.015,00827.9417,929
Graham5,99465.482,86531.302202.40740.8000.003,12934.189,153
Greenlee1,18748.481,17748.08602.45240.9800.00100.402,448
La Paz3,04867.311,33029.37801.76701.5400.001,71837.944,528
Maricopa543,04554.78415,14241.8824,0772.428,6000.862800.02127,90312.90991,144
Mohave39,02672.6512,77723.781,3072.436011.1140.0026,24948.8753,715
Navajo16,15754.4912,51742.226482.183171.0670.023,64012.2729,646
Pima148,91647.18158,33750.176480.203170.10160.00-9,421-2.99315,589
Pinal45,80758.2830,10938.3119222.447350.93180.0215,69819.9778,591
Santa Cruz3,19031.766,60865.811381.371051.0400.00-3,418-34.0510,041
Yavapai53,08165.2125,56931.411,8302.249001.1080.0027,51233.8081,388
Yuma19,59057.2213,76440.205001.463801.1020.005,82617.0234,236
Totals938,93454.33733,93542.4338,7222.2416,1280.933620.02204,99911.901,728,081

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Voter Registration Statistics | Arizona Secretary of State". RetrievedMay 7, 2023.
  2. ^"Governor: Napolitano resigns". The Arizona Guardian. January 20, 2009. Archived fromthe original on July 21, 2011. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2010.
  3. ^Davenport, Paul (November 5, 2009)."Brewer running for full term as Ariz. governor".The Arizona Republic. Archived fromthe original on December 31, 2014. RetrievedFebruary 18, 2010.
  4. ^"Terry Goddard for Governor – Arizona". Terrygoddard.org. August 17, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  5. ^"Arizona Candidates List".Arizona SOS. August 3, 2010. Archived fromthe original on July 16, 2010. RetrievedAugust 3, 2010.
  6. ^abc"Arizona Gubernatorial Primary Results".Arizona SOS. August 24, 2010.Archived from the original on August 27, 2010. RetrievedAugust 27, 2010.
  7. ^Jessica Taylor."Martin drops challenge to Brewer". Politico.Com.Archived from the original on August 1, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  8. ^Jessica Taylor."Mills drops campaign against Brewer". Politico.Com.Archived from the original on August 1, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  9. ^Hensley, JJ (May 3, 2010)."Joe Arpaio won't run for Arizona governor".The Arizona Republic. Archived fromthe original on May 6, 2010.
  10. ^"Arizona Capitol Times " Blog Archive " Munger drops out of governor's race". Azcapitoltimes.com.Archived from the original on July 1, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  11. ^Benson, Matthew;Newton, Casey; Mary Jo Pitzl (October 11, 2009)."Political Insider: Symington won't run in '10".The Arizona Republic. Archived fromthe original on February 18, 2010.
  12. ^Rasmussen Reports
  13. ^Rasmussen Reports[permanent dead link]
  14. ^Public Policy Polling
  15. ^abRasmussen Reports
  16. ^Rasmussen Reports
  17. ^Rasmussen Reports
  18. ^Public Policy Polling
  19. ^"2010 Governors Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  20. ^"Governor Ratings".Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  21. ^"2010 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  22. ^"The Crystal Ball's Final Calls".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  23. ^"Race Ratings Chart: Governor".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 5, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  24. ^abRasmussen Reports
  25. ^Public Policy Polling
  26. ^BRC Polls
  27. ^Rasmussen Reports
  28. ^Rasmussen Reports
  29. ^Rasmussen Reports
  30. ^Rasmussen Reports
  31. ^Rasmussen Reports
  32. ^abcdRasmussen Reports
  33. ^Public Policy Polling
  34. ^Rasmussen Reports
  35. ^Rasmussen Reports
  36. ^Public Policy Polling
  37. ^"Arizona governor stumbles during debate".NBC News. Archived fromthe original on December 24, 2021.
  38. ^"Category: DC".Talking Points Memo.
  39. ^Services, Howard Fischer Capitol Media."Brewer: No more debates – period".Arizona Daily Star.
  40. ^"Archived copy"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on September 20, 2013. RetrievedJanuary 6, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  41. ^"Archived copy"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on September 20, 2013. RetrievedJanuary 6, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)

External links

[edit]

Debates

Official campaign sites

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Attorney General
Secretary of State
State Treasurer
Superintendent of Public Instruction
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
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