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2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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Main article:2008 United States presidential election
2008United States presidential election in Oklahoma

← 2004
November 4, 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeJohn McCainBarack Obama
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateArizonaIllinois
Running mateSarah PalinJoe Biden
Electoral vote70
Popular vote960,165502,496
Percentage65.65%34.35%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

McCain

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No votes

  Tie
  No votes


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Oklahoma
Government

The2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose seven representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Oklahoma was won by Republican nomineeJohn McCain with a 31.3% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safered state. A stronglyconservative state located in theBible Belt whereevangelical Christianity plays a large role, Oklahoma has trended heavily Republican in recent years. Having voted for the Republican presidential nominee in every election since1968, Oklahoma once again showcased its status as a Republican stronghold in 2008 with RepublicanJohn McCain capturing 65.65% of the vote.[1] It was also the only state where McCain won every county and was even one of the 5 states along with Louisiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, and West Virginia in which McCain outperformed Bush's margin of victory from 4 years earlier, albeit slightly.

This was also only the second election since its statehood in which Oklahoma supported a different candidate thanVirginia, with1920 being the first. However, this has happened in all elections since, as Oklahoma has voted consistently Republican while Virginia has voted consistently Democratic.This was one of 5 states where McCain won over 60% of the vote, the others being Alabama, Utah, Wyoming, and Idaho.

Primaries

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report[2]Likely R
Cook Political Report[3]Solid R
The Takeaway[4]Solid R
Electoral-vote.com[5]Solid R
Washington Post[6]Solid R
Politico[7]Solid R
RealClearPolitics[8]Solid R
FiveThirtyEight[6]Solid R
CQ Politics[9]Solid R
The New York Times[10]Solid R
CNN[11]Safe R
NPR[6]Solid R
MSNBC[6]Solid R
Fox News[12]Likely R
Associated Press[13]Likely R
Rasmussen Reports[14]Safe R

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Oklahoma

McCain won every single pre-election poll, and each with a double-digit margin of victory. The final 3 polls averaged McCain leading 62% to 34%.[15]

Fundraising

[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $2,050,335 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,711,069.[16]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Obama spent $613,515. McCain and his interest groups spent just $6,565.[17] Neither campaign visited the state.[18]

Analysis

[edit]

Oklahoma gave John McCain his strongest showing in Election 2008 with a rounded percentage of 66% (65.65%) going to him.[19] Oklahoma was also the only state in the country where every single county voted for McCain. Although the results were similar to2004 in whichGeorge W. Bush swept every county in the state with 65.57% of the vote, McCain's margin of victory was slightly better - 0.08% more - in 2008.[20] Oklahoma was one of five states where McCain outperformedGeorge W. Bush, the other four beingArkansas,Louisiana,Tennessee, andWest Virginia.

Oklahoma, despite the large concentration ofNative Americans in the state, remains one of the most reliably Republican states in the country. Although Democrats still had a majority of registered voters (as well as the governorship) at the time, the state's Democrats are very conservative by national standards. Oklahoma is part of theBible Belt, and voters in the state have a strong penchant for being values voters; that is, they are strongly and deeply conservative on social issues such asabortion andgay rights. McCain's selection of the socially conservativeGovernorSarah Palin ofAlaska proved to be an excellent fit for Oklahoma. Obama was at a disadvantage beforehand in Oklahoma during the primary season when voters in Oklahoma backedHillary Rodham Clinton with 54.76% of the vote compared to Obama's 31.19% and a significant amount (10.24%) going toJohn Edwards. Clinton won every county in the Oklahoma Democratic Primary except forOklahoma County, home ofOklahoma City which Obama just narrowly carried. Most of Oklahoma's Democratic establishment were early endorsers of Hillary Clinton as well. Another setback for Obama was thatU.S. RepresentativeDan Boren, the only Democrat from Oklahoma's five-member delegation in theU.S. House of Representatives, refused to endorse Obama.

Another key to McCain's victory was the highly populated counties ofTulsa County, which he won with over 62%, and Oklahoma County, which he won with over 58%. He also dominated the heavily RepublicanOklahoma Panhandle by an almost four-to-one margin. Despite the Republican landslide, Obama did improve uponJohn Kerry's performance in Oklahoma City and Tulsa. However, this was more than canceled out by his extremely weak showing in Southeast Oklahoma, historically the most Democratic region in the state. This socially conservative but fiscally liberal area, known as "Little Dixie," still votes Democratic at the local level and state levels. It also warmly supportedBill Clinton of neighboringArkansas in1992 and1996; Clinton's populism struck a chord among the region's voters. Democratic nominees fromJohn Kerry on, on the other hand, have proven spectacularly bad fits for the region and the state as a whole. Obama lost many counties in Southeast Oklahoma by more than two-to-one margins.

Also, Oklahoma was the only state in the country that didn't have a third-party candidate on the ballot, mostly because the state has the toughest ballot access laws in the country. Obama became the first Democrat to win without winning a single county in Oklahoma.

During the same election, incumbent RepublicanU.S. SenatorJames Inhofe was solidly reelected over DemocraticState SenatorAndrew Rice. Inhofe received 56.68% while Rice took in 39.18% andIndependent Stephen P. Wallace received the remaining 4.14%. At the state level, Republicans made gains in theOklahoma Legislature, picking up four seats in theOklahoma House of Representatives and two seats in theOklahoma Senate which gave the GOP control of the state legislature for the first time since statehood.

Results

[edit]
2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin960,16565.65%7
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden502,49634.35%0
Totals1,462,661100.00%7
Voter turnout (Voting age population)54.8%

By county

[edit]
CountyJohn McCain
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
MarginTotal
#%#%#%
Adair4,63869.33%2,05230.67%2,58638.66%6,690
Alfalfa2,02383.11%41116.89%1,61266.22%2,434
Atoka3,51171.93%1,37028.07%2,14143.86%4,881
Beaver2,19989.25%26510.75%1,93478.50%2,464
Beckham5,77278.03%1,62521.97%4,14756.06%7,397
Blaine3,10175.41%1,01124.59%2,09050.82%4,112
Bryan9,30767.77%4,42632.23%4,88135.54%13,733
Caddo6,41365.33%3,40434.67%3,00930.66%9,817
Canadian36,42876.12%11,42623.88%25,00252.24%47,854
Carter13,24170.27%5,60329.73%7,63840.54%18,844
Cherokee9,18656.08%7,19443.92%1,99212.16%16,380
Choctaw3,73066.73%1,86033.27%1,87033.46%5,590
Cimarron1,11988.04%15211.96%96776.08%1,271
Cleveland64,74962.00%39,68138.00%25,10824.00%104,430
Coal1,67273.59%60026.41%1,07247.18%2,272
Comanche20,12758.77%14,12041.23%6,00717.54%34,247
Cotton1,79372.21%69027.79%1,10344.42%2,483
Craig3,85865.05%2,07334.95%1,78530.10%5,931
Creek20,18770.82%8,31829.18%11,86941.64%28,505
Custer7,84274.67%2,66025.33%5,18249.34%10,502
Delaware10,27766.90%5,08533.10%5,19233.80%15,362
Dewey1,85784.29%34615.71%1,51168.58%2,203
Ellis1,62785.23%28214.77%1,34570.46%1,909
Garfield17,06775.48%5,54524.52%11,52250.96%22,612
Garvin7,71071.80%3,02828.20%4,68243.60%10,738
Grady15,19573.35%5,52026.65%9,67546.70%20,715
Grant1,83678.13%51421.87%1,32256.26%2,350
Greer1,54873.23%56626.77%98246.46%2,114
Harmon75769.45%33330.55%42438.90%1,090
Harper1,34285.86%22114.14%1,12171.72%1,563
Haskell3,20768.51%1,47431.49%1,73337.02%4,681
Hughes3,13464.71%1,70935.29%1,42529.42%4,843
Jackson6,71974.80%2,26425.20%4,45549.60%8,983
Jefferson1,65267.24%80532.76%84734.48%2,457
Johnston2,70868.44%1,24931.56%1,45936.88%3,957
Kay13,23070.78%5,46329.22%7,76741.56%18,693
Kingfisher5,37284.19%1,00915.81%4,36368.38%6,381
Kiowa2,53767.42%1,22632.58%1,31134.84%3,763
Latimer2,86068.54%1,31331.46%1,54737.08%4,173
LeFlore11,60569.32%5,13630.68%6,46938.64%16,741
Lincoln10,47074.92%3,50425.08%6,96649.84%13,974
Logan12,55668.71%5,71731.29%6,83937.42%18,273
Love2,58967.32%1,25732.68%1,33234.64%3,846
Major2,95685.16%51514.84%2,44170.32%3,471
Marshall3,73069.42%1,64330.58%2,08738.84%5,373
Mayes10,23464.03%5,74935.97%4,48528.06%15,983
McClain11,19375.92%3,55124.08%7,64251.84%14,744
McCurtain7,74573.49%2,79426.51%4,95146.98%10,539
McIntosh4,90359.63%3,32040.37%1,58319.26%8,223
Murray3,74670.18%1,59229.82%2,15440.36%5,338
Muskogee15,28957.51%11,29442.49%3,99515.02%26,583
Noble3,88176.78%1,17423.22%2,70753.56%5,055
Nowata3,03168.24%1,41131.76%1,62036.48%4,442
Okfuskee2,64364.10%1,48035.90%1,16328.20%4,123
Oklahoma163,17258.41%116,18241.59%46,99016.82%279,354
Okmulgee8,72758.50%6,19141.50%2,53617.00%14,918
Osage12,16061.86%7,49838.14%4,66223.72%19,658
Ottawa6,90561.80%4,26838.20%2,63723.60%11,173
Pawnee4,53368.72%2,06331.28%2,47037.44%6,596
Payne18,43563.49%10,60136.51%7,83426.98%29,036
Pittsburg11,75268.29%5,45731.71%6,29536.58%17,209
Pontotoc9,75068.36%4,51231.64%5,23836.72%14,262
Pottawatomie17,75369.18%7,91030.82%9,84338.36%25,663
Pushmataha3,20871.72%1,26528.28%1,94343.44%4,473
Roger Mills1,50283.96%28716.04%1,21567.92%1,789
Rogers27,74372.03%10,77227.97%16,97144.06%38,515
Seminole5,60065.29%2,97734.71%2,62330.58%8,577
Sequoyah9,46668.00%4,45432.00%5,01236.00%13,920
Stephens14,39476.03%4,53823.97%9,85652.06%18,932
Texas5,33685.25%92314.75%4,41370.50%6,259
Tillman2,19567.81%1,04232.19%1,15335.62%3,237
Tulsa158,36362.23%96,13337.77%62,23024.46%254,496
Wagoner21,44170.88%8,81029.12%12,63141.76%30,251
Washington16,45772.29%6,30827.71%10,14944.58%22,765
Washita3,72477.97%1,05222.03%2,67255.94%4,776
Woods3,04377.71%87322.29%2,17055.42%3,916
Woodward6,40482.59%1,35017.41%5,05465.18%7,754
Totals960,16565.65%502,49634.35%457,66931.30%1,462,661

By congressional district

[edit]

McCain carried all five congressional districts in Oklahoma, including one held by a Democrat.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
1st64.21%35.79%John Sullivan
2nd65.59%34.41%Dan Boren
3rd72.82%27.18%Frank Lucas
4th66.37%33.63%Tom Cole
5th59.32%40.68%Mary Fallin

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Oklahoma cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Oklahoma is allocated 7 electors because it has 5congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 7 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[21] An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 7 were pledged toJohn McCain andSarah Palin:[22]

  1. Virginia Chrisco
  2. Gail Stice
  3. Pete Katzdorn
  4. Robert Cleveland
  5. Mary Phyllis Gorman
  6. Bunny Chambers
  7. Diane Murphy Gunther

The slate for the Democrats, which was not elected, consisted of Sally Freeman Frasier, Gene A. Wallace, Anita R. Norman, Tim Mauldin, Robert Lemon,David Walters, Walter W. Jenny Jr.[23]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"CNN Election Center 2008 - Oklahoma Results". RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  2. ^"D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". January 1, 2009. Archived from the original on January 1, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  3. ^"Presidential". May 5, 2015. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2015. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  4. ^"Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions". April 22, 2009. Archived fromthe original on April 22, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  5. ^"Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".electoral-vote.com. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  6. ^abcdBased on Takeaway
  7. ^"POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".www.politico.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  8. ^"RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map". Archived fromthe original on June 5, 2008.
  9. ^"CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2009. RetrievedDecember 20, 2009.
  10. ^Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (November 4, 2008)."The Electoral Map: Key States".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  11. ^"October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs".CNN. October 31, 2008. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2010. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  12. ^"Winning The Electoral College".Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  13. ^"roadto270".hosted.ap.org. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  14. ^"Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".www.rasmussenreports.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  15. ^David Leip."Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". RetrievedJanuary 14, 2015.
  16. ^"Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2009. RetrievedJanuary 14, 2015.
  17. ^"Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  18. ^"Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  19. ^"2008 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. RetrievedMarch 5, 2018.
  20. ^"CNN Election Center 2004 - Oklahoma Results". RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  21. ^"Electoral College".California Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 30, 2008. RetrievedNovember 1, 2008.
  22. ^"U. S. Electoral College 2008 Election - Certificates". RetrievedJanuary 14, 2015.
  23. ^"Presidential Electors General Election - November 4, 2008"(PDF).Oklahoma State Election Board.
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