Movatterモバイル変換


[0]ホーム

URL:


Jump to content
WikipediaThe Free Encyclopedia
Search

2008 United States presidential election in Minnesota

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2008 United States presidential election
2008 United States presidential election in Minnesota

← 2004
November 4, 2008
2012 →
Turnout78.11%[1]Decrease
 
NomineeBarack ObamaJohn McCain
PartyDemocratic (DFL)Republican
Home stateIllinoisArizona
Running mateJoe BidenSarah Palin
Electoral vote100
Popular vote1,573,3541,275,409
Percentage54.06%43.82%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Obama

  30–40%
  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

McCain

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Tie/No Data

  
  


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic (DFL)

Elections in Minnesota
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries and caucuses
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2016
2020
2024
LMN
2024
Senate elections
Class 1
Class 2
House of Representatives
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
Secretary of State elections
State Auditor elections
Attorney General elections

The2008 United States presidential election in Minnesota took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose ten representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Minnesota was won by DFL nomineeBarack Obama by a 10.2% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Obama would win, or otherwise considered as a safeblue state.Barack Obama carried the state with 54.06% of the vote in 2008 overJohn McCain's 43.82%. Obama became the first ever Democrat to win the White House without carryingLake of the Woods County, the first to do so without carryingClearwater County sinceWoodrow Wilson in1912, and the first to do so without carryingAnoka orJackson Counties sinceWoodrow Wilson in1916.

In 2008 78.1% of eligible Minnesotans voted – the highest percentage of any U.S. state – versus the national average of 61.2% As of2024, this election was the last time Minnesota voted by a double-digit margin for a presidential candidate.

Caucuses

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are the last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report[2]Likely D
Cook Political Report[3]Lean D
The Takeaway[4]Solid D
Electoral-vote.com[5]Solid D
Washington Post[6]Lean D
Politico[7]Solid D
RealClearPolitics[8]Solid D
FiveThirtyEight[6]Solid D
CQ Politics[9]Lean D
The New York Times[10]Lean D
CNN[11]Lean D
NPR[6]Solid D
MSNBC[6]Solid D
Fox News[12]Likely D
Associated Press[13]Likely D
Rasmussen Reports[14]Safe D

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Minnesota

In the aftermath of the Republican National Convention that was highlighted by a well delivered and received speech by vice presidential nomineeGovernorSarah Palin, a strong Obama lead tightened into a very narrow polling lead. However, when the September financial crisis irreparably damaged McCain's chances at victory, McCain remained competitive in Minnesota for some time after Obama had pulled away in other states such as Michigan and Wisconsin. At no time, however, did polls indicate that John McCain was ahead in the state, and Obama eventually did pull away from John McCain.[15]

2008 Republican National Convention

[edit]

The2008 Republican National Convention took place at theXcel Energy Center inSaint Paul, Minnesota, from September 1, through September 4, 2008. The first day of theRepublican Party's convention fell onLabor Day, the last day of the popularMinnesota State Fair, though because ofHurricane Gustav, this day was mostly a call for action to help victims and formal, required activities; most of the politicking and partying did not start until Tuesday, the second scheduled day

Four cities made bids to theRepublican National Committee (RNC) for proposals to host the 2008 Convention. Those cities wereCleveland, Ohio;Minneapolis-Saint Paul, Minnesota; New York City, New York; andTampa-St. Petersburg, Florida. The RNC Selection Committee made its recommendation for Minneapolis-Saint Paul and on September 27, 2006, the RNC made its decision public that the 2008 Republican National Convention would be held in Minneapolis-Saint Paul. The RNC made their decision earlier than originally scheduled because theDemocratic National Committee (DNC) also had Minneapolis-Saint Paul as a finalist among bidding cities. (After the RNC's selection, the DNC removed Minneapolis-Saint Paul from consideration which left the DNC with only two cities to choose from: New York City and Denver, Colorado.) This is the second time the Minneapolis-Saint Paul area held the Republican National Convention—the first was held in 1892.

Fundraising

[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $2,423,705 in the state. Barack Obama raised $6,058,168.[16]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Obama and his interest groups $3,006,784. McCain and his interest groups spent 4,467,107.[17] The Republican ticket visited the state 9 times. Obama visited the state only once.[18]

Analysis

[edit]

Minnesota has the longest streak as ablue state, having last voted for a Republican presidential nominee in1972. However, the Democrats' margins of victory in 2000 and 2004 were relatively narrow. With this in mind, Republicans targeted the state for the 2008 election, holding the2008 Republican National Convention inMinneapolis-St. Paul. Although the state swung more Democratic in 2008 and Barack Obama performed better here thanJohn Kerry did in2004, the swing was smaller than the national average.

During the same election, a contentiousU.S. Senate battle took place between incumbent RepublicanU.S. SenatorNorm Coleman and DemocratAl Franken. The close election resulted in two court appeals, both of which eventually declared Franken the winner. At the state level, Democrats picked up two seats in theMinnesota House of Representatives and one seat in theMinnesota Senate.

On Election Day, Obama won Minnesota by a comfortable margin, piling up 2-1 margins inHennepin County (Minneapolis) andRamsey County (St. Paul). Obama also ran evenly in the Minneapolis suburbs and rural Minnesota. However, McCain mostly held the same counties Bush won in the Republican base of central Minnesota.[19] While Obama still won the state with ease, GOP efforts and the Republican National Convention led to a better Republican performance than seen in neighboring states in the Upper Midwest, and prevented the collapse of Republican support that occurred in neighboring Michigan and Wisconsin. Obama was the first Democrat to carry Olmstead County since 1964.

As of the2024 presidential election[update], this is the last election in whichStevens County,Watonwan County,Pope County,Grant County,Yellow Medicine County,Lincoln County,Pennington County,Murray County,Pine County,Big Stone County,Marshall County,Polk County,Red Lake County, andAitkin County voted for the Democratic candidate.

Results

[edit]
2008 United States presidential election in Minnesota[20]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Democratic (DFL)Barack ObamaJoe Biden1,573,35454.06%10
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin1,275,40943.82%0
IndependentRalph NaderMatt Gonzalez30,1521.04%0
IndependentWrite-in candidates9,4960.33%0
LibertarianBob BarrWayne Allyn Root9,1740.32%0
ConstitutionChuck BaldwinDarrell Castle6,7870.23%0
GreenCynthia McKinneyRosa Clemente5,1740.18%0
Socialist WorkersRóger CaleroAlyson Kennedy7900.03%0
IndependentAlan Keyes (write-in)Brian Rohrbough220.00%0
Socialist Party USABrian Moore (write-in)Stewart Alexander70.00%0
IndependentJoe Schriner (write-in)Dale Way30.00%0
IndependentCurtis Montgomery (write-in)Janice Montgomery10.00%0
Totals2,910,369100.00%10
Voter turnout (Voting age population)74.7%

By county

[edit]
CountyBarack Obama
DFL
John McCain
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Aitkin4,59548.83%4,58948.77%2262.40%60.06%9,410
Anoka86,97647.73%91,35750.13%3,8912.14%-4,381-2.40%182,224
Becker7,68745.31%8,85152.17%4272.52%-1,164-6.86%16,965
Beltrami12,01954.05%9,76243.90%4552.05%2,25710.15%22,236
Benton8,45443.71%10,33853.46%5472.83%-1,884-9.75%19,339
Big Stone1,55251.91%1,36245.55%762.54%1906.36%2,990
Blue Earth19,32555.10%14,78242.15%9632.75%4,54312.95%35,070
Brown5,80942.65%7,45654.74%3552.61%-1,647-12.09%13,620
Carlton11,50162.34%6,54935.50%3992.16%4,95226.84%18,449
Carver20,65441.57%28,15656.67%8731.76%-7,502-15.10%49,683
Cass7,27644.62%8,66053.11%3712.27%-1,384-8.49%16,307
Chippewa3,28051.60%2,90745.74%1692.66%3735.86%6,356
Chisago12,78343.62%15,78953.88%7332.50%-3,006-10.26%29,305
Clay16,66656.96%11,97840.94%6152.10%4,68816.02%29,259
Clearwater1,87744.05%2,29153.77%932.18%-414-9.72%4,261
Cook2,01960.30%1,24037.04%892.66%77923.26%3,348
Cottonwood2,75945.71%3,15752.30%1201.99%-398-6.59%6,036
Crow Wing15,85945.10%18,56752.80%7392.10%-2,708-7.70%35,165
Dakota116,77851.79%104,36446.29%4,3301.92%12,4145.50%225,472
Dodge4,46343.70%5,46853.54%2822.76%-1,005-9.84%10,213
Douglas9,25644.25%11,24153.74%4212.01%-1,985-9.49%20,918
Faribault3,73645.83%4,19651.47%2202.70%-460-5.64%8,152
Fillmore5,92152.71%4,99344.45%3202.84%9288.26%11,234
Freeborn9,91557.38%6,95540.25%4102.37%2,96017.13%17,280
Goodhue12,42048.15%12,77549.53%6002.32%-355-1.38%25,795
Grant1,85051.32%1,64645.66%1093.02%2045.66%3,605
Hennepin420,95863.42%231,05434.81%11,7681.77%189,90428.61%663,780
Houston5,90654.27%4,74343.58%2342.15%1,16310.69%10,883
Hubbard4,87241.86%6,55856.35%2081.79%-1,686-14.49%11,638
Isanti8,24841.13%11,32456.47%4812.40%-3,076-15.34%20,053
Itasca13,46055.18%10,30942.26%6262.56%3,15112.92%24,395
Jackson2,61846.56%2,85850.83%1472.61%-240-4.27%5,623
Kanabec3,74344.04%4,47952.70%2773.26%-736-8.66%8,499
Kandiyohi10,12546.24%11,31951.70%4512.06%-1,194-5.46%21,895
Kittson1,49258.10%1,01639.56%602.34%47618.54%2,568
Koochiching3,64953.65%2,96243.55%1912.80%68710.10%6,802
Lac qui Parle2,16051.53%1,91245.61%1202.86%2485.92%4,192
Lake4,17459.89%2,63637.82%1592.29%1,53822.07%6,969
Lake of the Woods97141.98%1,27855.25%642.77%-307-13.27%2,313
Le Sueur6,99446.60%7,63650.88%3792.52%-642-4.28%15,009
Lincoln1,51748.53%1,49147.70%1183.77%260.83%3,126
Lyon6,11048.08%6,31549.69%2832.23%-205-1.61%12,708
McLeod7,50539.44%10,99357.77%5312.79%-3,488-18.33%19,029
Mahnomen1,43661.29%84335.98%642.73%59325.31%2,343
Marshall2,31148.77%2,28548.22%1433.01%260.55%4,739
Martin4,41341.04%6,05356.29%2882.67%-1,640-15.25%10,754
Meeker5,38042.89%6,73753.70%4283.41%-1,357-10.81%12,545
Mille Lacs6,07244.83%7,04952.05%4233.12%-977-7.22%13,544
Morrison6,54739.10%9,73558.14%4612.76%-3,188-19.04%16,743
Mower11,60560.48%7,07536.87%5072.65%4,53023.61%19,187
Murray2,34548.72%2,32048.20%1483.08%250.52%4,813
Nicollet9,88754.19%7,96843.67%3902.14%1,91910.52%18,245
Nobles4,24448.16%4,36849.56%2012.28%-124-1.40%8,813
Norman2,12962.00%1,20435.06%1012.94%92526.94%3,434
Olmsted38,71150.62%36,20247.34%1,5572.04%2,5093.28%76,470
Otter Tail13,85642.39%18,07755.30%7542.31%-4,221-12.91%32,687
Pennington3,39449.75%3,24847.61%1802.64%1462.14%6,822
Pine7,08449.25%6,86247.71%4373.04%2221.54%14,383
Pipestone2,02342.14%2,65255.24%1262.62%-629-13.10%4,801
Polk7,85051.19%7,14846.62%3362.19%7024.57%15,334
Pope3,31750.75%3,06946.96%1502.29%2483.79%6,536
Ramsey182,97465.96%88,94232.06%5,4701.98%94,03233.90%277,386
Red Lake1,12051.12%98344.87%884.01%1376.25%2,191
Redwood3,25041.63%4,30855.19%2483.18%-1,058-13.56%7,806
Renville3,90447.99%3,95648.63%2753.38%-52-0.64%8,135
Rice17,38154.66%13,72343.16%6952.18%3,65811.50%31,799
Rock2,07941.79%2,77555.78%1212.43%-696-13.99%4,975
Roseau3,09740.22%4,43857.64%1652.14%-1,341-17.42%7,700
St. Louis77,35165.10%38,74232.61%2,7212.29%38,60932.49%118,814
Scott29,20843.51%36,72454.70%1,2001.79%-7,516-11.19%67,132
Sherburne17,95739.91%26,14058.10%8931.99%-8,183-18.19%44,990
Sibley2,99838.79%4,49258.12%2393.09%-1,494-19.33%7,729
Stearns35,69045.32%41,19452.31%1,8722.37%-5,504-6.99%78,756
Steele9,01645.87%10,06851.22%5722.91%-1,052-5.35%19,656
Stevens2,78149.36%2,71048.10%1432.54%711.26%5,634
Swift2,90755.43%2,18441.65%1532.92%72313.78%5,244
Todd5,27743.05%6,63754.15%3432.80%-1,360-11.10%12,257
Traverse1,04351.25%93345.85%592.90%1105.40%2,035
Wabasha5,64647.47%5,93549.90%3122.63%-289-2.43%11,893
Wadena2,88240.20%4,12857.58%1592.22%-1,246-17.38%7,169
Waseca4,40144.51%5,21152.70%2762.79%-810-8.19%9,888
Washington70,27751.27%64,33446.94%2,4481.79%5,9434.33%137,059
Watonwan2,56248.73%2,52648.04%1703.23%360.69%5,258
Wilkin1,55045.40%1,78652.31%782.29%-236-6.91%3,414
Winona16,30858.38%10,97539.29%6522.33%5,33319.09%27,935
Wright26,34340.17%37,77957.61%1,4562.22%-11,436-17.44%65,578
Yellow Medicine2,81650.57%2,57946.31%1743.12%2374.26%5,569
Totals1,573,35454.06%1,275,40943.82%61,6062.12%297,94510.24%2,910,369
Palin speaking at the 2008 Republican National Convention inSt Paul, Minnesota.
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
  Gain from Republican
Republican
  Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Barack Obama carried five of eight congressional districts. Each candidate won a district that elected a representatives of the other party.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
1st46.59%50.96%Tim Walz
2nd49.76%48.32%John Kline
3rd45.99%52.41%Jim Ramstad (110th Congress)
Erik Paulsen (111th Congress)
4th33.57%64.41%Betty McCollum
5th23.79%74.15%Keith Ellison
6th53.33%44.60%Michele Bachmann
7th50.10%47.39%Collin Peterson
8th44.50%53.10%Jim Oberstar

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Minnesota cast ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Minnesota is allocated 10 electors because it has 8congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 10 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 10 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Following an apparent mishap in theprevious election, whereby an elector pledged to Democratic presidential candidateJohn Kerry instead cast their vote for running-mateJohn Edwards and thus became afaithless elector, Minnesota amended its statutes and became one of the few states whereby electors are legally required to vote for the candidate they are pledged to. This was the first election where the new laws were effective.[21]

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 10 were pledged toBarack Obama andJoe Biden:[22]

  1. Arthur A. Anderson
  2. Jim Gremmels
  3. Dave Lee
  4. Al Patton
  5. Joan M. Wittman
  6. William J. Davis
  7. Benjamin F. Gross
  8. Matt Little
  9. Jackie Stevenson
  10. Susan Kay Moravec - replaced Donyta J. Wright who did not appear for the ceremony[23]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Office of the State Of Minnesota Secretary of State".www.sos.state.mn.us. RetrievedJuly 22, 2017.
  2. ^"D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". January 1, 2009. Archived from the original on January 1, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  3. ^"Presidential". May 5, 2015. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2015. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  4. ^"Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions". April 22, 2009. Archived fromthe original on April 22, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  5. ^"Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".electoral-vote.com. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  6. ^abcdBased on Takeaway
  7. ^"POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map com".POLITICO. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  8. ^"RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map". Archived fromthe original on June 5, 2008.
  9. ^"CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2009. RetrievedDecember 20, 2009.
  10. ^Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (November 4, 2008)."The Electoral Map: Key States".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  11. ^"October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs".CNN. October 31, 2008. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2010. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  12. ^"Winning The Electoral College".Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  13. ^"roadto270".hosted.ap.org. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  14. ^"Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".www.rasmussenreports.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  15. ^"Minnesota: McCain vs. Obama". RetrievedApril 5, 2009.
  16. ^"Presidential Campaign Finance".Federal Election Commission. Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2009. RetrievedAugust 19, 2009.
  17. ^"Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  18. ^"Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  19. ^"Election Results 2008".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 3, 2004. RetrievedApril 5, 2009.
  20. ^"Official General Election Results". Minnesota Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on December 8, 2008. RetrievedDecember 12, 2008.
  21. ^"208.08, 2008 Minnesota Statutes". Revisor.leg.state.mn.us. RetrievedAugust 21, 2016.
  22. ^"Archived copy". Archived fromthe original(PDF) on November 27, 2008. RetrievedApril 19, 2009.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  23. ^Citizen Elector
U.S.
President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
(election
ratings
)
Governors
Attorneys
General
Other
statewide
elections
State
legislatures
Mayors
Local
States and territories
Ballot measures
General elections
State and federal general elections
Off-year elections
Executive
elections
Gubernatorial
elections
Lieutenant
gubernatorial
elections
Secretary of State
elections
State Auditor
elections
Attorney General
elections
Legislative
elections
Senate
elections
House of
Representatives
elections
Ballot questions
Presidential
elections
Senate
elections
Class 1
Class 2
House of
Representatives
elections
Municipal elections
Minneapolis
General elections
Mayoral elections
City Council elections
Ballot measures
Saint Paul
Mayoral elections
Bloomington
General elections
Ballot measures
Democratic Party
WFP
Candidates
Republican Party
CPNY ·IPNY
Candidates
Draft movements
Constitution Party
(convention)
Green Party
(convention)
Libertarian Party
(convention)
America's Independent Party
Boston Tea Party
Objectivist Party
Peace and Freedom Party
Prohibition Party
Reform Party
Socialism and Liberation Party
Socialist Party
Socialist Workers Party
Independent / Other
State and district results of the2008 United States presidential election
Electoral map, 2008 election
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2008_United_States_presidential_election_in_Minnesota&oldid=1325505290"
Categories:
Hidden categories:

[8]ページ先頭

©2009-2026 Movatter.jp