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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

← 2006
November 4, 2008 (2008-11-04)
2010 →

All 15 Michigan seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election69
Seats won87
Seat changeIncrease 2Decrease 2
Popular vote2,516,6402,114,293
Percentage52.31%43.95%
SwingDecrease 0.44%Decrease 0.61%

District results
County results

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  >90%

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Elections in Michigan
U.S. President
Presidential Primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Other localities

The2008 congressional elections in Michigan were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent thestate ofMichigan in theUnited States House of Representatives. Michigan had fifteen seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected will serve in the111th Congress from January 3, 2009, until January 3, 2011. The election coincided with the2008 U.S. presidential election.

The 7th and 9th district seats were considered to be competitive. Both seats were occupied by Republicans[1] who lost to Democratic opponents.

The makeup of the Michigan congressional delegation in 2008 consisted of nine Republicans and six Democrats. As a result of the 2008 election, the delegation in 2009/2010 consists of eight Democrats and seven Republicans. The two Democratic Party gains came in the 7th and 9th districts.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2008[2]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Democratic2,516,64052.31%8+2
Republican2,114,29343.95%7-2
Libertarian83,4241.73%0-
Green66,1621.38%0-
U.S. Taxpayers21,0570.44%0-
Independents9,1140.19%0
Totals4,810,690100.00%15

District 1

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 1st congressional district

Popular incumbentBart Stupak was unopposed in the Democratic primary. Conservative state RepresentativeTom Casperson, fromEscanaba, won the Republican primary election over Linda Goldthorpe and Don Hooper.[3] TheLibertarian Party nominated Daniel Grow; theU.S. Taxpayers Party nominated Joshua Warren and theGreen Party nominatedSocialist Jean Treacy.[4] The 1st District is generally socially conservative and strongly pro-union. It covers the entireUpper Peninsula and the northern part of theLower Peninsula, and is the largest congressional district east of theMississippi River.

County Results
Stupak:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 1st congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBart Stupak (inc.)213,21665.04
RepublicanTom Casperson107,34032.74
GreenJean Treacy2,6690.81
LibertarianDaniel W. Grow2,5330.77
ConstitutionJoshua J. Warren2,0700.63
Total votes327,836100.00
Democratichold

District 2

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 2nd congressional district

Pete Hoekstra, a conservative incumbent and ranking Republican on theHouse Intelligence Committee, was challenged by Democrat Fred Johnson,[10]Libertarian Dan Johnson (campaign website) andU.S. Taxpayers Party candidate Ronald Graeser. The district is centered on Michigan's West Shoreline and includes the cities ofMuskegon andHolland.

County Results
Hoekstra:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Johnson:     50–60%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 2nd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanPete Hoekstra (inc.)214,10062.36
DemocraticFred Johnson119,50634.81
LibertarianDan Johnson5,4961.60
ConstitutionRonald E. Graeser4,2001.22
Total votes343,309100.00
Republicanhold

District 3

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 3rd congressional district

IncumbentVern Ehlers was re-elected. The district trends Republican and is centered onGrand Rapids. Ehlers was challenged by Democrat Henry Sanchez andLibertarian Erwin Haas.

County Results
Ehlers:     60–70%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 3rd congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanVern Ehlers (inc.)203,79961.11
DemocraticHenry Sanchez117,96135.37
LibertarianErwin J. Haas11,7583.53
Total votes333,518100.00
Republicanhold

District 4

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 4th congressional district

RepublicanDavid Lee Camp was reelected. He was by challenged byDemocrat Andrew Concannon,[11]Libertarian Allitta Hren, and U.S. Taxpayer Party candidate John Emerick. This large district stretches fromOwosso in the east central part of the state toTraverse City to the extreme northwest part of the Lower Peninsula.

County Results
Camp:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 4th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDave Camp (inc.)204,25961.94
DemocraticAndrew D. Concannon117,66535.68
ConstitutionJohn Emerick4,0551.23
LibertarianAllitta Hren3,7851.15
Total votes329,764100.00
Republicanhold

District 5

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 5th congressional district

DemocratDale Kildee ran for re-election in 2008. The Flint area congressman has served for over 30 years. His district (coveringFlint,Saginaw,Bay City and part of the western part ofThe Thumb) is strongly Democratic. Petitions were circulated for Democratic state senatorJohn Gleason to challenge Kildee, but Gleason decided not to run.[12] Kildee is challenged on byRepublican candidate by Matt Sawicki ofBay City,Libertarian candidate Leonard Schwartz andGreen Party candidate Ken Mathenia ofGrand Blanc.[13]

County Results
Kildee:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 5th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDale Kildee (inc.)221,84170.36
RepublicanMatt Sawicki85,01726.96
LibertarianLeonard Schwartz4,2931.36
GreenKen Mathenia4,1441.31
Total votes315,295100.00
Democratichold

District 6

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 6th congressional district

RepublicanFred Upton had three opponents, DemocratDon Cooney, Green Edward Pinkney and Libertarian Greg Merle. The sixth district covers the southwest corner of lower Michigan.

County Results
Upton:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 6th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanFred Upton (inc.)188,15758.86
DemocraticDon Cooney123,25738.56
LibertarianGreg Merle4,7201.48
GreenEdward Pinkney3,5121.10
Total votes319,646100.00
Republicanhold

District 7

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 7th congressional district

The seventh district covers the middle part of southern lower Michigan. Republican incumbentTim Walberg faced State Senate Minority Leader and Democratic nomineeMark Schauer, Libertarian Ken Proctor, Green Lynn Meadows and independent Sharon Reiner.

Walberg was elected in 2006 with a surprisingly thin 49.9% of the vote, despite outspending Democratic opponent Sharon Reiner 20:1. This made Walberg a top target for defeat in 2008 by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Schauer defeated Renier in the August 5 primary,[14] after which Renier ran in the general election as awrite-in candidate with no party affiliation.[15]

County Results
Schauer:     40–50%     50–60%
Walberg:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]TossupNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]TossupNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]TossupNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]TossupNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 7th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMark Schauer157,21348.78
RepublicanTim Walberg (inc.)149,78146.47
GreenLynn Meadows9,5282.96
LibertarianKen Proctor5,6751.76
Write-ins890.03
Total votes322,286100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican

District 8

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 8th congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanMike Rogers was re-elected in 2006 with 55.3% of the vote compared to 42.9% for his Democratic opponent.East Lansing Democratic activist Bob Alexander (who lost in 2004 to Rogers) announced that he is running again.[16] Aaron Stuttman is running for theGreen Party,[17] Will Tyler White for the Libertarian Party,[18] and George Zimmer for the U.S. Taxpayers Party.[19] This district stretches from the westernDetroit suburbs to theLansing area.

County Results
Rogers:     50–60%     60–70%
Alexander:     50–60%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Likely RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 8th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Rogers (inc.)204,40856.53
DemocraticRobert D. Alexander145,49140.23
LibertarianWill Tyler White4,3731.21
GreenAaron Stuttman3,8361.06
ConstitutionGeorge M. Zimmer3,4990.97
Total votes361,607100.00
Republicanhold

District 9

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 9th congressional district

This district covers parts ofOakland County. Republican incumbentJoe Knollenberg was challenged by former Michigan Lottery commissioner and military veteran, Democratic nomineeGary Peters. Libertarian Adam Goodman, Green PartyDouglas Campbell and Independent Dr.Jack Kevorkian were also running. Knollenberg was targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee after his surprisingly narrow margin of victory in the 2006 election, receiving 51.5% of the vote compared with 46.2% for his Democratic opponent.

County Results
Peters:     50–60%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]TossupNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Lean D(flip)November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]TossupNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Michigan's 9th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticGary Peters183,31152.08
RepublicanJoe Knollenberg (inc.)150,03542.63
IndependentJack Kevorkian8,9872.55
LibertarianAdam Goodman4,8931.39
GreenDouglas Campbell4,7371.19
Total votes351,963100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican

District 10

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 10th congressional district

Republican incumbentCandice Miller was challenged by Democratic nominee Robert Denison, Libertarian Neil Kiernan Stephenson, and Green Candace Caveny. This district stretches from the northeastDetroit suburbs up to most ofThe Thumb.

County Results
Miller:     60–70%     70–80%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 10th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCandice Miller (inc.)230,47166.30
DemocraticRobert Denison108,35431.17
LibertarianNeil Stephenson4,6321.33
GreenCandace R. Caveny4,1461.19
Total votes347,603100.00
Republicanhold

District 11

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 11th congressional district

Incumbent RepublicanThad McCotter was challenged by Democrat Joseph Larkin who defeated Edward Kriewall in the August 5 party primary.[20] Also running were Libertarian John Tatar and Green Erik Shelley. This district covers part ofDetroit's western suburbs.

County Results
McCotter:     50–60%
Larkin:     40–50%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Likely RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 11th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanThaddeus McCotter (inc.)177,46151.41
DemocraticJoseph Larkin156,62445.37
LibertarianJohn J. Tatar6,0011.74
GreenErik Shelley5,0721.47
Write-ins230.01
Total votes345,182100.00
Republicanhold

District 12

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 12th congressional district

12-term DemocratSander M. Levin was challenged by Republican Bert Copple, Libertarian John Vico, Green William J. O'Palicky and U.S. Taxpayers' Lester Townsend. This district covers part of Detroit's northern suburbs.

County Results
Levin:     60–70%     80–90%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 12th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSander Levin (inc.)225,09472.07
RepublicanBert Copple74,56523.87
LibertarianJohn Vico4,7671.53
ConstitutionLes Townsend4,0761.30
GreenWilliam J. Opalicky3,8421.23
Total votes312,344100.00
Democratichold

District 13

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 13th congressional district

Incumbent DemocratCarolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick narrowly survived the August 5 party primary. She faced complications due to the legal troubles facing her son,Detroit mayorKwame Kilpatrick.[21][22] Cheeks Kilpatrick won with 39.1% of the vote over former state representative Mary Waters with 36% of the vote and state senator Martha Scott with 24.9% of the vote.[23] A televised debate between the three candidates developed into a shouting match.[24] Cheeks Kilpatrick faced Republican candidate Edward Gubics, Libertarian candidateGreg Creswell and Green Party candidate George Cosetti in the general election.[25] This district covers the east side of Detroit and its eastern andDownriver suburbs.

County Results
Kilpatrick:     70–80%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 13th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCarolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick (inc.)167,48174.13
RepublicanEdward J. Gubics43,09819.08
GreenGeorge L. Corsetti9,5794.24
LibertarianGregory Creswell5,7642.55
Total votes225,922100.00
Democratichold

District 14

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 14th congressional district

Powerful incumbent DemocratJohn Conyers, chairman of theHouse Judiciary Committee, had one Democratic opponent in the primary, Detroit pastor Rev.Horace Sheffield,[26] but Sheffield's campaign was short lived[27] because he withdrew his name and announced his support for Conyers.[28] Conyers faced Libertarian Rick Secula and Green Party Clyde Shabazz in the general election. This district covers the west side of Detroit and some inner western and downriver suburbs.

County Results
Conyers:     >90%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 13th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Conyers (inc.)227,84192.40
LibertarianRichard J. Secula10,7324.35
GreenClyde K. Shabazz8,0153.25
Total votes246,588100.00
Democratichold

District 15

[edit]
See also:Michigan's 15th congressional district

55-year Congressional veteran DemocratJohn Dingell is the Dean of the House[29] and chairman of theHouse Energy and Commerce Committee. He was challenged by Republican Jack Lynch, Libertarian Gregory Scott Stempfle, Green Aimee Smith and U.S. Taxpayers Party candidate James Wagner. The 15th district includesAnn Arbor,Ypsilanti,Monroe, thedownriver suburbs of Detroit and the semi-rural southeastern corner of Michigan.

County Results
Dingell:     60–70%     70–80%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Michigan's 15th congressional district election, 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn Dingell (inc.)231,78470.70
RepublicanJohn J. Lynch81,80224.95
GreenAimee Smith7,0822.16
LibertarianGregory Stempfle4,0021.22
ConstitutionJames H. Wagner3,1570.96
Total votes327,827100.00
Democratichold

References

[edit]
  1. ^"CQ Politics | Primaries Set in Michigan, Dems Hope for Takeovers". Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2008. RetrievedJuly 25, 2008.
  2. ^2008 Election Statistics
  3. ^"Michigan - chicagotribune.com".Chicago Tribune.
  4. ^"Jean Treacy for Congress (1st District - Michigan) - Home". Archived fromthe original on April 22, 2008. RetrievedAugust 28, 2019.
  5. ^abcdefghijklmno"2008 Competitive House Race Chart".House: Race Ratings.The Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  6. ^abcdefghijklmno"2008 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 2, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  7. ^abcdefghijklmno"2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2008. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  8. ^abcdefghijklmno"Battle for the House of Representatives".realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2008. Archived fromthe original on December 17, 2008. RetrievedDecember 9, 2023.
  9. ^abcdefghijklmno"Race Ratings Chart: House".cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  10. ^2008 Official Michigan Primary Candidate Listing
  11. ^Campbell, Dick (March 22, 2008)."Saginaw Democrat enters House race".Argus-Press. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2010.
  12. ^Sen. John Gleason bows out; Congressman Dale Kildee so far unchallenged - The Flint Journal Online News - Michigan Newspaper - MLive.com[permanent dead link]
  13. ^"Green Party member Ken Mathenia, Republican Matthew Sawicki and Libertarian Leonard Schwartz challenge incumbent Rep. Dale e. Kildee - the Flint Journal Online News - Michigan Newspaper - MLive.com". Archived fromthe original on October 22, 2008. RetrievedOctober 21, 2008.
  14. ^Schauer advances to general election[permanent dead link]Battle Creek Enquirer, August 6, 2008
  15. ^Renier re-enters race for Mich. seat in U.S. House, Associated Press[permanent dead link]LSJ.com, September 17, 2008, accessed September 18, 2008
  16. ^http://www.dailypressandargus.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080314/NEWS01/803140314[permanent dead link]
  17. ^"MIGREENS.ORG - Candidates2007". Archived fromthe original on June 28, 2008. RetrievedJuly 2, 2008.
  18. ^candidatesArchived August 5, 2010, at theWayback Machine
  19. ^"Elaection Page". Archived from the original on January 17, 2008. RetrievedJuly 2, 2008.
  20. ^"Topic Galleries - chicagotribune.com".Chicago Tribune.
  21. ^Mayor's scandal looms over mom's congressional re-election campaign | Freep.com | Detroit Free Press
  22. ^Cheeks Kilpatrick in a fight for survival in Democratic primary | Freep.com | Detroit Free Press
  23. ^Cheeks Kilpatrick triumphs over Waters in close primary race | Freep.com | Detroit Free Press
  24. ^Little decorum during congressional debate | Freep.com | Detroit Free Press
  25. ^Cheeks Kilpatrick's slim win pokes holes in armor | Freep.com | Detroit Free Press
  26. ^Michigan news | Detroit Free Press | freep.com
  27. ^City of Detroit | Detroit Free Press | freep.com
  28. ^Michigan news | Detroit Free Press | freep.com
  29. ^Locally, he is also referred to as the Dean of Downriver

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