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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut

← 2006
November 4, 2008 (2008-11-04)
2010 →

All 5 Connecticut seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election41
Seats won50
Seat changeIncrease1Decrease1
Popular vote1,006,915504,785
Percentage65.29%32.73%
SwingIncrease 4.94%Decrease 6.34%

District results
Municipality results

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%

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The2008 congressional elections in Connecticut were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent thestate ofConnecticut in theUnited States House of Representatives, coinciding with thepresidential election. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected will serve in the111th Congress from January 3, 2009, until January 3, 2011. The Primary election was held on August 12.[1]

Connecticut has five seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census. Its 2007-2008 congressional delegation consisted of fourDemocrats and oneRepublican. In the 2008 elections, District 4 changed from Republican to Democratic, so Connecticut's congressional delegation to the 111th Congress consists of five Democrats, giving Connecticut an all-Democratic congressional delegation for the 1st time since 1967. This election also marked the last time any seat in the Connecticut congressional delegation changed partisan control. This marked the first time since the founding of the Republican Party in 1854 that they failed to hold any House seat inNew England.

Prior to the election,CQ Politics forecasted districts 2, 4, and 5 to be at some risk for the incumbent party.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut, 2008[2][3]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Democratic924,06159.92%5+1
Working Families[A]82,8545.37%
Republican504,78532.73%0–1
Green25,3761.65%00
Independent3,0820.20%00
Libertarian2,0490.13%00
Write-in candidates420.00%00
Valid votes1,542,24993.76%
Invalid or blank votes102,5966.24%
Totals1,644,845100.00%5
Voter turnout78.14%
A The Working Families Party endorsed all the Democratic candidates on afusion ticket. In the previous election, it only endorsed one Democratic candidate.[4]

By district

[edit]
DistrictIncumbent2008 StatusDemocraticRepublicanGreenLibertarianOther Party
1John B. LarsonRe-electionJohn B. LarsonJoe ViscontiStephen E. D. Fournier
2Joe CourtneyRe-electionJoe CourtneySean SullivanG. Scott DeshefyDaniel J. RealeTodd Vachon
3Rosa DeLauroRe-electionRosa DeLauroBo ItshakyRalph Ferrucci
4Christopher ShaysRe-electionJim HimesChristopher ShaysRichard DuffeeChris Angle
5Chris MurphyRe-electionChris MurphyDavid CappielloHarold BurbankTom Winn

District 1

[edit]
See also:Connecticut's 1st congressional district

This district covers much of central Connecticut and includes municipalities withinHartford,Litchfield, andMiddlesex counties. Five-term incumbentJohn B. Larson faced RepublicanJoe Visconti and Green Party candidateStephen E. D. Fournier.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Incumbent John B. Larson retained his seat with over 71 percent of the vote.

Connecticut's 1st congressional district election, 2008[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJohn B. Larson (incumbent)[A]211,49371.6
RepublicanJoe Visconti76,86026.0
GreenStephen E. D. Fournier7,2012.4
Write-InMatthew Coleman30.0
Total votes295,557100.0
Democratichold
A Includes 17,000 votes from theWorking Families Party line, which endorsed Larson on afusion ticket.[4]

District 2

[edit]
See also:Connecticut's 2nd congressional district

This district covers eastern Connecticut, includingNew London andNorwich. In the closest U.S. House race of 2006, DemocratJoe Courtney unseated three-term incumbent RepublicanRob Simmons by only 82 votes. Courtney's chance at reelection increased when Simmons decided against a rematch. FormerNaval Submarine Base New London base commander Sean Sullivan was the Republican candidate.[10] Third-party challengers included former State Department Of Environmental Protection scientist G. Scott Deshefy for the Green Party[11][12] and Todd Vachon for theSocialist Party, running as a write-in candidate.[13]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Likely DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Joe Courtney was reelected with a substantially larger margin than in 2006, winning nearly 66 percent of the vote.

Connecticut's 2nd congressional district election, 2008[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJoe Courtney (incumbent)[A]212,14865.7
RepublicanSean Sullivan104,57432.4
GreenG. Scott Deshefy6,3002.0
Write-InTodd Vachon190.0
Total votes323,041100.00
Democratichold
A Includes 13,164 votes from theWorking Families Party line, which endorsed Courtney on afusion ticket.[4]

District 3

[edit]
See also:Connecticut's 3rd congressional district

This district is centered on the city ofNew Haven and its immediate suburbs. The district has been represented by DemocratRosa DeLauro since 1991. Her challengers in this election included Republican Bo Itshaky and Green Ralph Ferrucci.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Safe DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Rosa DeLauro was easily reelected to a tenth term, receiving over 77 percent of the vote.

Connecticut's 3rd congressional district election, 2008[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticRosa DeLauro (incumbent)[A]230,17277.5
RepublicanBo Itshaky58,58319.7
GreenRalph Ferrucci8,1632.7
Total votes296,918100.00
Democratichold
A Includes 25,411 votes from theWorking Families Party line, which endorsed DeLauro on afusion ticket.[4]

District 4

[edit]
See also:Connecticut's 4th congressional district
2008 Connecticut's 4th congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeJim HimesChris Shays
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote158,475146,854
Percentage51.3%47.6%

Municipality results
Himes:     50–60%     70–80%
Shays:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Chris Shays
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jim Himes
Democratic

This district includes portions ofFairfield andNew Haven counties insouthwestern Connecticut. Democratic nomineeJim Himes, a formerGoldman Sachs executive, won against Republican incumbentChris Shays and third-party candidates Richard Duffee, who withdrew from the 2006 race, and Michael Anthony Carrano.[14]

Shays won 51% of the vote in 2006 and 52% in 2004 in a district that went to John Kerry with 53% in 2004 (CPVI=D+5). In September, 2007, Shays indicated that if he was not given the top Republican seat on the Governmental Oversight Committee, he would retire. The only Republican House member inNew England, he was expected to be a top target of Democrats.

Democrat Himes announced his candidacy in April 2007. 2006 U.S. Senate candidateNed Lamont was considered a potential candidate, although he lost in this district to incumbent SenatorJoe Lieberman, whom Shays had endorsed. Other possible Democratic candidates included state SenatorsBob Duff and Andrew MacDonald. Former professional hockey playerMike Richter, once considered a possible candidate, announced that he was not interested in running in 2008. It was thoughtLowell P. Weicker Jr. might try to reclaim his old seat.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]TossupNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Tilt D(flip)November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]TossupNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]TossupNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Jim Himes defeated incumbent Christopher Shays, receiving slightly more than 51 percent of the vote. With Himes' victory, the Democrats now control all five of Connecticut's House seats, as well as all other House seats inNew England.

Connecticut's 4th congressional district election, 2008[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJim Himes[A]158,47551.3
RepublicanChris Shays (incumbent)146,85447.6
LibertarianMichael Anthony Carrano2,0490.7
GreenRichard Duffee1,3880.4
Write-InEugene Flanagan100.0
Total votes308,776100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican
A Includes 9,130 votes from theWorking Families Party line, which endorsed Himes on afusion ticket.[4]

District 5

[edit]
See also:Connecticut's 5th congressional district
2008 Connecticut's 5th congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeChris MurphyDavid Cappiello
PartyDemocraticRepublican
AllianceWorking Families
Popular vote179,327117,914
Percentage59.9%39.4%

Municipality results
Murphy:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Cappiello:     40–50%     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Chris Murphy
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Murphy
Democratic

This district includes all of NorthwesternConnecticut, and runs fromMeriden andNew Britain in Central Connecticut, toWaterbury, theLitchfield Hills, and theFarmington RiverValley.

Freshman DemocratChris Murphy unseated 24-year incumbentNancy Johnson with 56% of the vote in 2006. Nonetheless, the district is arguably Connecticut's most conservative (CPVI=D+4), and some considered Murphy vulnerable. State SenatorDavid Cappiello was the Republican candidate.[15] Tony Nania also considered a run, but withdrew from consideration for the Republican nomination in May.[16] GOP state chairman Chris Healy dismissed claims that Murphy's large campaign warchest of $420,000 in the first quarter of 2007 may scare off potential challengers, as Cappiello filed as a candidate in April 2007.[17]

National Republicans ran radio ads in the summer of 2007 claiming Murphy has adopted special interest fundraising politics he had claimed to oppose. In addition, Cappiello accused Murphy of missing important votes.[18]

Third-party candidates includedCanton attorney Harold Burbank for the Green Party andWatertown resident Tom Winn, running as an independent candidate.[19][20]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[6]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[8]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[9]Lean DNovember 6, 2008

Results

[edit]

Chris Murphy retained his seat, receiving just under 60 percent of the vote.

Connecticut's 5th congressional district election, 2008[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Murphy (incumbent)[A]179,32759.9
RepublicanDavid Cappiello117,91439.4
IndependentThomas L. Winn3,0821.0
GreenHarold H. Burbank II2,3240.8
Write-InWalter Gengarelly100.0
Total votes299,575100.00
Democratichold
A Includes 18,149 votes from theWorking Families Party line, which endorsed Murphy on afusion ticket.[4]

References

[edit]
  1. ^November 4, 2008 State Election CalendarArchived September 10, 2008, at theWayback MachineConnecticut Secretary of State
  2. ^abcdef"11/04/2008 General Election results for Representative in Congress"(PDF). State of Connecticut Secretary of the State. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on February 3, 2009. RetrievedJanuary 20, 2009.
  3. ^"Election Day Registration, Turnout and Absentee Ballot Statistics"(PDF).Secretary of the State of Connecticut. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on October 8, 2009. RetrievedOctober 7, 2009.
  4. ^abcdef"2008 WFP Endorsement List".Connecticut Working Families Party. Archived fromthe original on February 19, 2009. RetrievedJanuary 20, 2009.
  5. ^abcde"2008 Competitive House Race Chart".House: Race Ratings.The Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  6. ^abcde"2008 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 2, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  7. ^abcde"2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2008. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  8. ^abcde"Battle for the House of Representatives".realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2008. Archived fromthe original on December 17, 2008. RetrievedDecember 9, 2023.
  9. ^abcde"Race Ratings Chart: House".cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  10. ^"About Sean Sullivan". Sean Sullivan for Congress 2008. Archived fromthe original on January 10, 2009. RetrievedJanuary 25, 2009.
  11. ^"gp.org". Archived fromthe original on August 6, 2008. RetrievedAugust 5, 2008.
  12. ^"newmenu.org". Archived fromthe original on July 27, 2011. RetrievedAugust 5, 2008.
  13. ^"Vachon for Congress" (accessed 10 February 2008).
  14. ^"Republic Not Empire".richardduffee.blogspot.com.
  15. ^newsday.com
  16. ^Nania WithdrawsArchived 2008-08-07 at theWayback Machine,The Everyday Republican, May 8, 2008
  17. ^"courant.com".[permanent dead link]
  18. ^"Campaign".The Hill.
  19. ^"newmenu.org". Archived fromthe original on July 5, 2008. RetrievedAugust 5, 2008.
  20. ^afterdowningstreet.org

External links

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