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New York Times

Friday, December 10, 2010

Election 2010

  • 2010 Elections
  • /
  • Senate
  • /
  • Colorado

Colorado Senate Profile

New York Times Race ProfileFiveThirtyEight ForecastPrimary ResultsOther Colorado Races
Other Senate Races
Democratic Incumbent
Michael Bennet
Republican
Ken Buck
New York Times Race Rating
Tossup
FiveThirtyEight Model
65%
Chance of Republican win
Currently held by
Michael Bennet
On election night, view liveColorado Senate election results.

On the Democratic side, Michael Bennet, a surprise appointment to fill a Senate vacancy in 2009, survived a bitter primary challenge from Andrew Romanoff, a former speaker of the Colorado House. In the Republican primary, a Tea Party-backed insurgent, Ken Buck, upended the candidate endorsed by Washington Republicans, Jane Norton, a former lieutenant governor.

— Carl Hulse

#2010: Tweets From The Times

Denver Post reporting that Michael Bennet wins in Colorado, defeating Ken Buck for Senate.
Nov. 3 10:07 AM ET
Posted byJeff Zeleny
Nuggets from cmag data: Ds and Rs both spent more than $13 million on TV in #COSEN; basically a draw.
Nov. 1 10:29 PM ET
Posted byMichael Luo
League of Conservation Voters spends $90k on GOTV calls for Michael Bennet (and $15 for a craiglist ad).//bit.ly/bsJCUZ
Oct. 28 9:36 PM ET
Posted byDerek Willis
NRSC does another $862k in ads against Michael Bennet.//bit.ly/ao6ZcO
Oct. 26 10:48 AM ET
Posted byDerek Willis

Incumbent Voting Record

Michael Bennet (D) seeking election after holding the seat for years.

Major BillsIncumbent VoteAll Democrats
HEALTH CARE BILLYesYes: 58No: 0
STIMULUS PACKAGEYesYes: 56No: 0
TARPN.A.Yes: 39No: 9

Campaign Finances

Michael Bennet
as of Oct. 13
Ken Buck
as of Oct. 13
Raised$10,201,200$3,716,000
Spent$10,698,600$3,011,660
Cash On Hand$763,541$569,246
Independent expenditures
For$1,285,949$2,854,897
Against$10,224,154$11,320,968
Contributors
Top Five Industries
Democratic/Liberal
$1,362,814
General Contractors
$141,600
Lawyers/Law Firms
$890,575
Retired
$97,800
Securities & Investment
$659,691
Leadership PACs
$91,250
Retired
$529,338
Oil & Gas
$69,508
Real Estate
$383,357
Republican/Conservative
$35,750
More »More »
Top Five Contributors
ActBlue
$1,175,916
Hensel Phelps Construction
$118,950
Brownstein, Hyatt et al
$71,062
Senate Conservatives Fund
$33,250
Blackstone Group
$51,800
Roche Constructors
$16,950
Comcast Corp
$47,150
Cade Oil & Gas
$11,600
Union Pacific Corp
$38,000
Bradley Petroleum
$11,408
More »More »
Sources: Federal Election Commission; OpenSecrets.org

Previous Election Results

Race  
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100% reporting Aug. 10 Primary Results

DemocratMichael Bennet183,52154%
Andrew Romanoff155,01646%
RepublicanKen Buck209,96752%
Jane Norton197,14348%
LibertarianMaclyn Stringer1,17852%
John Finger1,06648%

Source: Preliminary vote totals from The Associated Press

FiveThirtyEight Forecast

  Bennet Buck
Projected Vote
Margin of Error: ± 3.5%
48.2% 49.2%
Chance of Winning Seat
34.9%
65.1%
Forecast History and Poll Details »

State Demographics

Race and ethnicityStateU.S.
White71.2%
65.9%
Black3.7%
12.1%
Hispanic19.9%
15.1%
Asian2.6%
4.3%
Native American0.6%
0.7%
IncomeStateU.S.
Median income$56,574
$52,175
Poverty rate11.9%
9.6%
Below $25,00020.2%
23.2%
$25,000-$50,00024.1%
24.8%
$50,000-$100,00032.3%
31.2%
$100,000-$200,00018.9%
16.6%
$200,000 or more4.5%
4.2%
EducationStateU.S.
High school graduate88.6%
84.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher35.0%
27.4%
AgeStateU.S.
Under 1824.6%
24.5%
65 and older10.2%
12.6%

Source: Census Bureau


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