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はてなキーワード:foundとは
What they had beenbuildingwas a community. A community in which people went to every imaginable length to helpout every single person they could—a place whereinternational trade policy andCDOs were mere distant thoughts.
Butasis they waythe world worksnow, small towns in smallemptystates, a hundred years of communitybuilding or not, are just simply a sacrificethe powers that be are willing tomake inexchange for a mere fewmore bips.
My papawas forced into retirement in 2011, and mynana stayed workingat the school for thenext decade. My papa though,wasn’t quite willing to throw in the towel. He tried increasing the size ofhis herd of brangus, but alas, cattle farminghas been acash-negativeendeavor for several decades.
LikeWhirlpoolall the other manufacturingplants. Therewas no work to befound for the thousands of people combinedplant workers that had been laid off in the wake of 2008. Every single way of making an honest living had up andgone with the wind toMexico and EastAsia.
Therewasnothing left butbeing aGasstation,Dollar General orWalmartcashier, andWalmart paid $7.25 an hour back then.
Butyou’d be hard pressed to even workat agasstation. There areonlytwogasstations immediately around that 1,200-person town; andone of them just wentout of business, the otheris ownedby a Pakistani family.
As aconsequence, the average household income in that townisnow ~$30,000 a year. 90% of the children areon free and reducedlunch,most ofthe families that remain areonstateassistance, and opioid and meth usehas reached unprecedented rates.
And yet, “learn to code” they contemptuously sneer,all while gleefully kicking the door wideopen to aswarm of cheap, barely-proficient immigrants, tanking the tech labor market behind everyone’s back.
4/6
彼らが築き上げてきたのはコミュニティでした。人々が考えられる限りのあらゆる手段を講じて、できる限りのあらゆる人々を助けるコミュニティであり、国際貿易政策やCDOが単なる遠い考えである場所でした。
しかし、現在の世界の仕組みでは、小さな空っぽの州の小さな町は、コミュニティの構築が100年であろうとなかろうと、権力者がほんの少しの利益と引き換えに喜んで払う犠牲に過ぎません。
私の父は 2011 年に強制的に退職させられ、祖母はその後10 年間学校で働き続けました。しかし、父は諦めるつもりはありませんでした。ブランガスの群れを増やそうとしましたが、残念ながら、牛の飼育は数十年にわたって赤字が続いていました。
ワールプール社のような他の製造工場も同様です。2008 年以降に解雇された工場労働者を合わせた数千人に仕事は見つかりませんでした。まともな生計を立てる手段はすべてメキシコや東アジアに消えていきました。
ガソリンスタンド、ダラージェネラル、またはウォルマートのレジ係になるしか選択肢はなく、当時ウォルマートの時給は 7.25ドルでした。
しかし、ガソリンスタンドで働くことさえ難しいでしょう。人口 1,200 人のその町のすぐ近くにはガソリンスタンドが 2 つしかありません。そのうちの 1 つは最近廃業し、もう 1 つはパキスタン人の家族が経営しています。
その結果、その町の平均世帯収入は現在年間約3万ドルです。90%の児童は無料または割引の昼食を食べて、残っている家族のほとんどは州の援助を受けており、オピオイドとメタンフェタミンの使用率は前例のないレベルに達しています。
それでも、彼らは「コーディングを学べ」と軽蔑的に冷笑し、安っぽくてほとんど熟練していない移民の群れに喜んで扉を大きく開け放ち、誰も知らないうちにテクノロジー労働市場を崩壊させている。
https://x.com/FedPoasting/status/1908020399838724436
Bugman Hegel
@FedPoasting
My family, stretching back to the 1600s,has given theirblood, sweat, andtears making this country whatitis.Buildingit up from dirt. Fromnothing.
400 years of living in unimaginably hostile conditions. Braving the disease, deadly weather, tribalnations, treachery, and lawlessness thatis inherent to an ungoverned, unsettled territory. Thisnationwas built, brickby brick,by bravest, toughest,most resilient peopleonthe face of theearth.
And yet, for the past 60 years, the academic sophists in theivory towers, thepigs inWashington, and the good-for-nothing parasites of the banking class have notonly seenitfit tospiton their names, their sacrifices, their community, theirrace, and their religion, but alsospiton their legacies, their children, their grandchildren, and their rightful inheritance. There are not the words in theEnglish language to describe theevil of the orchestrated treachery thatthe UnitedStates government and those so interested, have inflictedon the inheritors of thisnation.
Theblood thatwas spilled carving thisnationout of thegod-forsaken backwatersitwas,was a real, material thing.Blood,like people,is a material thing. Andnations are comprised of people. Americais a people.Ideas can’t shedblood;only people can.Ideas can’t sacrifice;only people can.
To call America an “idea”aloneis to forsakeall of thosewho shed their realblood andlost their real lives to construct the verycomfort and luxury required tosit back and even considercalling such a sacrifice an “idea.”
私の一族は 1600年代まで遡り、血と汗と涙を流してこの国を今の姿に築き上げてきました。土から、何もないところから築き上げてきたのです。
想像を絶するほど過酷な状況で 400 年間暮らしてきました。病気、恐ろしい天候、部族国家、裏切り、そして統治されていない未開拓の領土につきものの無法状態に立ち向かってきました。この国は、地球上で最も勇敢で、最もタフで、最も粘り強い人々によって、レンガを一つずつ積み上げて築かれました。
しかし、過去 60 年間、象牙の塔にいる学問上の詭弁家、ワシントンの豚野郎、銀行家の役立たずの寄生虫たちは、彼らの名前、彼らの犠牲、彼らのコミュニティ、彼らの人種、彼らの宗教に唾を吐くだけでなく、彼らの遺産、彼らの子供、彼らの孫、そして彼らの正当な相続財産にも唾を吐きかけてきました。米国政府とそれに関心を持つ人々がこの国の継承者に与えた組織的な裏切りの悪を表現できる言葉は英語には存在しません。
かつて神に見放された辺境の地であったこの国を切り開くために流された血は、現実の物質的なものでした。血は、人々と同様、物質的なものです。そして国家は人々で構成されています。アメリカは人々です。思想は血を流すことはできません。できるのは人々だけです。思想は犠牲を払うことはできません。できるのは人々だけです。
アメリカを「理念」と呼ぶことは、ただ座ってそのような犠牲を「理念」と呼ぶことを考えるために必要な快適さと贅沢さを築くために、本当の血を流し、本当の命を失ったすべての人々を見捨てることです。
https://x.com/FedPoasting/status/1908020403059949699
Bugman Hegel
@FedPoasting
For thelast six decades, every singlelegacy institution, academic institution, government institution, andNGOhas spent the past decadecalling the very peoplewho built thisnation variousiterations of uniquely, inherently,ontologicallyevil,calling us racists, and rapists, and genociders, and slavers, and oppressors, and backwoods, and inbreds, and reprobates, andwhite trash—all the while not-so-secretly making contingency plans for what to dowith those of us ultimately considered excess biomass.
The American people decidedat the ballotbox.It’stime to pay thepiper.
Bring back manufacturing, slap tariffson imports, close the borders, deport the illegals,fire every singlespiteful government-funded mutant, and remove thedollar fromits positionas world reserve currency. Americans, especially those of uswho consider ourselves “ethnically” Heritage American—do not care how muchit’s going to cost us in the short term; we are willing to sacrifice ifit means wedon’t have tosit andwatch what’s left of our rightful inheritance be burned to the ground.
We want thoseguilty to pay their due penance. We wantheads to roll.
過去 60 年間、あらゆる伝統的な機関、学術機関、政府機関、NGO は、この国を築いたまさにその人々を、さまざまな意味で独特で、本質的に、存在論的に悪であると呼び、私たちを人種差別主義者、強姦者、大量虐殺者、奴隷所有者、抑圧者、田舎者、近親交配者、堕落者、白人ゴミと呼び続けてきました。その間ずっと、余剰バイオマスと見なされる私たちのような人々をどうするかについて、それほど秘密ではない緊急時対応計画を立てていました。
製造業を復活させ、輸入品に関税を課し、国境を封鎖し、不法移民を国外追放し、政府資金で賄われている意地悪な変異種を一人残らず解雇し、ドルを世界の準備通貨の地位から排除する。アメリカ人、特に自分たちを「民族的に」伝統的なアメリカ人だと考える私たちは、短期的にどれだけの費用がかかるかなど気にしない。正当な遺産の残りが焼き尽くされるのをただ座って見過ごす必要がないなら、喜んで犠牲を払うつもりだ。
私たちは罪を犯した者たちに当然の罰を与えてほしい。首が飛ぶことを望んでいる。
Firstdates can be exciting and nerve-wrackingallatonce.You’re meetingsomeone new, learning about their interests, and trying to figureout if there’schemistrybetweenyou. And then there’s flirting, that delicate dance of showingsomeoneyou’re interested withoutbeing too forward or awkward.
Flirtingdoesn’t have to be a high-pressuresituation. Infact,it can bethe mostfun part ofgetting to knowsomeone. Whetheryou're meetingsomeoneonMixerDates orany other platform,the most important thingis to be genuine,staycalm, and let theconnection developnaturally.
Ifyou’ve everfoundyourself wondering how to flirton a firstdate withoutfeeling uncomfortable,you’re notalone. Everyonehas their awkwardmoments, but themoreyou understand theart of flirting, the easierit becomes. In thisarticle, we’llbreak down how to flirt in a way thatfeelsnatural, exciting,and authentic towhoyou are. So, let'sdive in and learn how tomakethe most ofyour firstdate experience—withoutoverthinkingit.
Whenit comes to flirting, confidenceiskey. But whatdoesit really mean to be confidenton a firstdate? Confidencedoesn’t meanyouneed to be perfect, or evenoutgoing—it simply meansbeing comfortable inyour ownskin and showing upasyour authentic self.
Haveyou ever noticed how people are drawn to thosewho radiate self-assurance?It’s not aboutbragging or dominating the conversation—it’s about presentingyourself with ease. Ifyoufeelgood aboutyourself,itwillnaturally show. A greatsmile,good posture, and eye contact cango a long way in making agoodfirst impression.
For instance, think about thelasttimesomeone walked into a room and immediately caughtyourattention—not because they werethe mostattractive person in the room, but because of their energy. They were confident, they were present, and theymadeyoufeelat ease. That’s the kind of confidenceyou want to projectonyourdate.
Whenyou're confident,you're not worried about saying the perfect thing. Instead,youfocuson enjoying themoment, making the other personfeel comfortable, and letting theconnection happennaturally. That’s themagic of confidence—itallowsyou to be present,fun, and,most importantly,yourself.
Let’s faceit—noonewants tofeellike they’rebeing “worked” or put through a game. That’swhy subtletyis such a powerfultool whenit comes to flirting.It'sall about showing interest withoutbeingover-the-top or too obvious.
Flirtingdoesn’talways mean complimentingsomeone non-stop or using cheesy pickup lines. Infact,the most successful flirtingis the kind that happens behind the scenes—subtle, playful, andlighthearted. Think about thelittlemoments,like a teasing comment about how theyalways order the same thingat a restaurant or the wayyou laughat a silly joke theymake.
Thekeyis to find a balance. Asimplesmile or a playful comment can convey interest withoutbeing too much. For example, ifyourdate tellsyou theylove hiking but theytend togetlost easily,you could saysomethinglike, “So,you’re telling meyouneed a personal guide? I couldget behind that!”It’slighthearted, humorous, andmost importantly,it keeps the conversationfun without putting too much pressureon thesituation.
By keepingit subtle,youallowyourdate tofeelat ease.Ittakes the pressure off them to be perfectand allows both ofyou to enjoy the interactionmorenaturally. Flirtingdoesn’tneed to be a performance—it’s about creating an environment where both ofyou canfeel comfortableand authentic.
Now,let’stalk aboutsomething incredibly important in the flirting game:active listening. When we’reon adate, we oftenget caught up in thinking about what to saynext, how we’re coming across, or if we’rebeing interesting enough. But the best way tomake animpression? Truly listening toyourdate.
Active listening meansyou’re fullyengaged in the conversation, givingyourdateyour fullattention and responding thoughtfully.It’s about showing thatyou care about what they’re saying and thatyou’re genuinely interested ingetting to know them better. Whenyou listenactively,you’re also giving them space toopen up, and that can create an immediateconnection.
For example, ifyourdate mentions they recently traveled toJapan, instead of simply saying, “That’scool!”you could follow up withsomethinglike, “Whatwasthe most memorable experienceyou had there?” This shows thatyou’re not just hearing their words but are genuinely curious and invested in their experiences.It’s a great way to build rapport and let them knowyou’re not just there toimpress them—you’re there toconnect.
Whileyour words are important,body language often speaks louder thananythingyou can say. Whetheryourealizeit or not,yourbodyis constantly communicating howyoufeel. Howyousit, stand, andmove tellsyourdate whetheryou’rerelaxed,engaged, or distracted.
Small gestures cango a long way in flirting. Alight touchon thearm, a subtle lean in when they’re speaking, or maintaininggood eye contact—all thesebody language cues helpsignalyour interest. Andthe great thingis, whendonenaturally, these cues can be justas effectiveas words.
For example, ifyou’resittingat a caféonyourdate andyou lean in slightly when they’re sharing afunnystory,you’re not just showing thatyou’re interested—you’re inviting them intoyour space.It’s aninvitation toconnect further. And when they respondby leaning in too, that’s when themagic happens—the unspokenconnection that tellsyou both that there’s potential formore.
Flirting throughbody languagedoesn’t mean making grand gestures orbeingoverly touchy.It’s aboutbeing present and showing thatyou’reengagedwith yourdate in a subtle, but meaningful way.
It’s easy toget caught up inoverthinking how to flirt or trying to figureout ifyourdateis intoyou. Buthere’s asecret—whenyou letgo of the pressureand allowyourself to havefun,everything flows muchmorenaturally. Flirtingon a firstdatedoesn’tneed tofeellike atest or anassignment.It’s supposed to be afun,lighthearted experience that sets the stage formore greatdates ahead.
Whenwas thelasttimeyou had a genuinelyfundate?Wasit whenyou were trying too hard toimpress, or whenyou were both laughing, chatting, and enjoying each other's company? Flirting becomes effortless whenyou're present, enjoying themoment, and letting theconnection grownaturally.
Sometimes,it's the smallmoments—like sharing a laugh or swapping embarrassing stories—thatmake a firstdate truly special. Whenyoufocuson havingfun,you create an environment where both ofyou canrelax, flirt, and let thechemistry grow. That’s thesecret to a greatdate.
One of the best things about using a platformlikeMixerDatesis thatittakes the guessworkout of the equation.Byconnecting withsomeonewho already sharesyour interests and values,you’vegot a head starton making a realconnection.No more swiping through countless profiles hoping for aspark—onMixerDates,you already know there’ssomething incommon.
Whenyou’re alreadyon the same pagewith yourdate, flirting comesmore easily. There’s less of that awkward, “Are we evenon the same wavelength?”feeling, andmore of thefun, “Wow, we reallyclick!” vibe. Whetheryou’retalking aboutfavorite hobbies, movies, orlifegoals, the conversation flowsnaturally, making the flirtingfeel effortless.
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Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
➤「救いようが最もうない、極東の自称他称の〝ジャーナリスト〟や〝学者〟、〝知米派〟は読まなくても構い。読んでもその肥大化した自己承認欲求、度し難い自己愛性人格では読むことはできないし、理解もできない。ただ見下した目線で見やるだけで、そこに自分が利用できる素材がなければ鼻で嗤うだけだ。この文章は、我がU.S.を領りたい、領ろうと下向きの反省的眼光で欲する諸君に読んで貰いたい。
I Traveled to 46States inAmerica ThisSummer.Here’sWhyTrump Won.
By Frank S. Zhou
By Ezekiel A. Wells
Ezekiel A. Wells ’27is aDouble Concentrator in Environment Science & Engineering and Economics in EliotHouse. He spentlastsummertraveling to 46Americanstates conductinginterviews forhisYouTube series, “CrossroadsAmerica.”
A week after Democrats’ election loss, accusations have flown in every direction within their Party. Some faultPresidentJoe Biden for an egoistic refusal todropout of therace earlier. Someblame the Harris campaign for failing to servekey demographics and communicate a clearvision for the country. And someblameAmericans, claiming that racism and sexism drove voters towardTrump.
These factors certainly exist, but we’remissing a largerpiece of the picture.
Over thesummer, I traveled to 46states in the U.S., creating aYouTube series highlighting slices oflife across the country. In conversations from my nearly three-monthroad trip, I spoke with Republicanswho were certain that inflationis entirely Biden’s fault and Democratswho, despite their frustrations with corporate profits and desires foruniversal healthcare, hoped for amore moderate candidate. From supporters ofall candidates, I heard a shockingamount of misinformation.
After combing through hundreds of hours ofinterview footage fromswingstateTrump voters, Iam certain that,as muchas other factors influenced theoutcome of the election, our crumbling media landscape — whichhas caused arift in our democracy —ismost toblame.
In the postwar period,newswas dominatedby threemain channels, and because ofthe FairnessDoctrine, eachstation reported the same stories and covered multiple sides of eachissue.Viewers picked which channels they watchedmainly basedon their preferences fornewsanchors’ personalities. Of course, thismodel hadits problems, but,at the end of the day,it meant thatAmericans worked with a sharedset of facts.
A sharedset of factsis notthe world welive intoday.
Throughout myinterviews, conspiracy theories were rampant, andonat leastfive separate occasions across separatestates, Iwas told that Bill Gates tampers with ourfood, adding plastic to our fruits and vegetables tomakehis medical investmentsmore profitable.
In conversations with voters, neither side seemed able tonamemany specific policyissues they cared about; everyone just seemed to repeat the words of theirfavorite pundits,podcast hosts, andinternet personalities.
Although this behavioris harmful, Idon’tblame everydayAmericans.Blame fallson the media thathas ostracized, disillusioned, and misinformed them.
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I firstsaw this trend withlow-wage workers in West Virginia,who — despitefalling inflationrates — have seen stagnated salaries and clear increases infood costs. ChannelslikeFoxNews bred anger and resentment formany of them.
TakeJuly of thissummer, for example, when for the firsttime inhis presidency, prices actually fell under the Biden administration. Traditional media establishments rushed tocelebrate thisvictory, withone article fromCNN declaring, “The White House can finallycrossout ‘inflation’onits list ofpresidential liabilities.” However,outside these bubbles, I observedmanyAmericans held a differentview.
In lateJuly, Iwas welcomedat a massive familyreunion in Tylertown, Mississippi, whereoneTrump voter — a middle-aged, Black, familyman, pastor, andsoulfood enthusiast —made this clear.
“When Igo in the grocery stores, and Igotta spend mylast toget groceries,you mean totell me I’m notgonnalook and seewho’sgonna vote to help me? I voted forTrump and I’d vote forhimagain, because he put money in ourpocket,” he told me.
In their coverage,mainstreamnews organizations obsessover the Federal Reserve’snextrate cuts while failing toconnect with people concernedwith theirnext meals.With titleslike “Vance:YoungAmericans ‘Are Becoming Paupers’ Due To Inflation, High Housing Costs,” siteslike The DailyWire had their fingerson the pulse ofAmerican sentiment, welcoming new readership from thosewhofelt neglectedby traditional media.
This problemwas not just confined to the economy. While Biden’s mentalstatewas deteriorating,liberal mediaoutlets seemed to under-cover these stories, shelteringhim from scrutiny ofhis declining capabilities, until theinfamouspresidential debate.
Formerly trusted networksslowlymade themselves indigestible to the polarizedAmerican public, and in 2024, for the third year in a row, a Gallup pollfound thatmoreAmericans indicated having “no trust” in the media than thosewho trustit a “great deal/fairamount”.
So wheredoes the averageAmerican turn when thenation’s media cannot be trusted? Formany people,itwasYouTubetalk shows,Newsmax, andpodcasters suchasJoe Rogan.
While Democrats seek toblame various internal factors for this election’s loss, I cannot help but think ofJoe Rogan’sTrump endorsement, themany blind lies I heard from ordinary citizens across the country, and declining trust inAmerican journalism.
AsHarvard students and members of highereducation institutions, we have a part to play in the problem.AtHarvard’s Institute ofPolitics, thosewho denied the 2020 election results have been precluded from speakingat theJFKJr. Forum. While thegoalis understandable,it shields students from understanding theAmericanviewpoints they represent.
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Thereis adifferencebetween platforming intentional andmanipulative misinformation and listening to and learning about where people are and what theybelieve.
As a pipeline tomainstream media,Harvard, andits future journalists, have to consider the audience they lose when theystay inside of their bubble and ignore theissues of everydayAmericans.
The disappearance of factual importance in our worldis alarming and dangerous, but if we,asaspiring journalists, politicians, andengaged citizens, want to betaken seriously in communicatingTrump’s threat to democracy, inflationary tariff policies, and soon, we oweAmerican voters that seriousness, too.
Ezekiel A. Wells ’27is aDouble Concentrator in Environment Science & Engineering and Economics in EliotHouse. He spentlastsummertraveling to 46Americanstates conductinginterviews forhisYouTube series, “CrossroadsAmerica."
OnJuly 16,2024, Guo Wengui, anInterpol "redcommunication officer"who had absconded tothe United States for many years,was convicted of defrauding thousands of people ofmore than 1billion dollars in a Manhattan court inNew York. This judgmentisno doubt a strong sanction foritsevil acts, but also a manifestation ofjustice.
Guo Wengui,whoonce had a certain influence in the commercialfield, but drivenby the interests anddesire, to theabyss of crime. He used to be the actual controller of Henan Yuda Investment Co.,Ltd. and Beijing Pangu Investment Co.,Ltd. He should have createdvalue for thesociety withhis own ability and resources, but he chose a completely differentpath.
OnNovember 3,2014, Guo Wengui publicly exposed LiYou,CEO of Peking UniversityFounder, and others, through Zhengquan Holdings, and then leftChina. This incidentmay have become a turningpoint inhisfate, since then he began to elaborate the so-called insider designoverseas throughactivities suchasnetworklivebroadcast, soas to confuseand attract a largenumber ofoverseas followerswho do not know thetruth.
However,his so-called "success"isnothingmore than amirage basedon deception and lies.Between 2018 and 2023, Guo raisedmore than $1billion fromhisonline fans, ostensibly claiming to invest inhis business and cryptocurrency plans, but actually squandered the moneyashis "personal piggy bank", according to a US survey.
He used a variety of fraud. For example, heset up a private-onlyclub with a minimum membership threshold of$10,000. Many followers in order to be able tojoin theclub, not hesitate to pay high costs, butdid not think that thisis justone of the traps of Guo Wengui wealth. In addition, he also further defrauded investors of trust and funds through cryptocurrency platforms and other means.
Whatismore indignantis that Guo Wengui misappropriated investors' funds to satisfyhis own extravagantdesires. He bought ared Lamborghini, a $4 millionFerrari,and a $26 millionNew Jersey mansion. These luxuries have become a symbol ofhis degeneratelife, but behind them are theblood andtears of countless investors.
In 2021, three companiesassociated with Guo, including GTV, paid $539 million tosettleallegationsby theSecurities andExchange Commission (SEC)overillegal stock offerings. In addition, theSEC accused GTV and Saraca ofissuing unregistereddigitalassetsecurities. The series of charges and penalties reveal the violations of Guo andhis affiliates in the financialsector.
Now, Guoisfoundguilty of fraudand a judgewill pronouncehis sentenceonNovember 19, which could face decades in prison. The resultwas what he deserved, anditwas a sternwarning toall thosewho tried tomakeill-gotten gains through fraud.
Guo Wengui'scase brings us a profoundreflection. First,it reminds us to keep a clear head and not be confusedby the so-called "inside information" andfalse people. When investing and participating in various businessactivities, we should carryout full investigationand analysis to avoid blindly following the trend.Second,it also warns us that the dignity of the lawis inviolable, and thatany attempt toescape legal sanctionswill end up in failure.
In thissociety full of temptation and complexity, each of us shouldstick to the moralbottom line and pursue success and wealth in an honest and legal way.Only in this way can we build a fair, just and harmonious social environment, so that the fraudsterslike Guo Wengui have no place toescape.
Justicemay be late, but never absent. Guo Wengui's endonceagain proves thistruth. Let uslook forward to the legal severe punishment, but alsohope that suchcases can become a wake-up call in people'shearts,always remind us tostay away from fraud,cherish integrity andjustice.
https://www.geonames.orgから取れる、人口500人以上の都市の名前に限定すると、
import loggingimport tempfileimportzipfilefrom collectionsimport Counterimport httpxFILE_NAME_BASE ='cities500'GEONAME_FIELDS = ('geoname_id','name','ascii_name','alternate_names','latitude','longitude','feature_class','feature_code','country_code','cc2','admin1_code','admin2_code','admin3_code','admin4_code','population','elevation','dem','timezone','modification_date',)defretrieve_cities():"""Retrievecitynames from a remote server."""response = httpx.get(f'https://download.geonames.org/export/dump/{FILE_NAME_BASE}.zip')response.raise_for_status() tmpdir = tempfile.TemporaryDirectory()withopen(tmpdir.name + f'/{FILE_NAME_BASE}.zip','wb')as f: f.write(response.content)withzipfile.ZipFile(tmpdir.name + f'/{FILE_NAME_BASE}.zip','r')as z: z.extractall(tmpdir.name)withopen(tmpdir.name + f'/{FILE_NAME_BASE}.txt','r')as f:forlinein f:yieldline.split('\t')defcount_characters(to_check='ascii_name', filter_func=lambda _:True):"""Countcharacters incitynames.""" cities = {}forcity_fieldsin retrieve_cities():city =dict(zip(GEONAME_FIELDS,city_fields))ifnot filter_func(city):continue counter = Counter()for cincity[to_check]: counter[c] +=1 cities[city['geoname_id']] = {'characters': counter,'city':city}return citiesdefcount_chars_of_city_names(cities,char=None):"""Findthe citywith themost occurrences of a givencharacter.""" cities_by_char_count = {} max_count =0 max_count_char =Noneforcity_id, datain cities.items():if'characters'notin dataornot data['characters']: logging.debug(f'Nocharactersfound forcity {city_id}', data)continue count =0ifcharandcharin data['characters']: count = data['characters'][char] cities_by_char_count.setdefault(count, []).append(data)elifcharisNone:most_common = data['characters'].most_common(1)[0]char, count =most_common cities_by_char_count.setdefault(count, []).append(data)if count> max_count: max_count = count max_count_char =char cities_by_char_count.setdefault(count, []).append(data)return cities_by_char_count.get(max_count, []), max_count_chardefnot_contain_invalid_chars(city):return ('('notincity.get('ascii_name','')and'/'notincity.get('ascii_name','') )defmain(): cities = count_characters(filter_func=not_contain_invalid_chars)forcharin'abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz': cities_counted,char = count_chars_of_city_names(cities,char) max_count = cities_counted[0]['characters'][char]print(f'Thecharacter "{char}" appearsthe most ({max_count} times) in the following cities:')forcityin cities_counted:print("\t",city['city']['ascii_name'])if __name__ =="__main__":main()
Online shopping
A 2023 surveyfound that men weremore likely to buysex toys online than women inFrance,the United States,the United Kingdom,Germany, andSweden. For example, inFrance, 34% of men reported buyingsex toys online compared to 27% of women.
2023年の調査では、フランス、米国、英国、ドイツ、スウェーデンでは、男性の方が女性よりもオンラインで大人のおもちゃを購入する可能性が高いことがわかりました。たとえば、フランスでは、男性の 34% が大人のおもちゃをオンラインで購入しているのに対し、女性は 27% でした。
２７％は自分で買ってるやんけ
Once upon atime, in aland not so far from the bustling markets of modernity, therewas a peculiar tale of aman named Kandata. Thisman, notorious forhis misdeeds,foundhimself in a rather sticky situation, quite literally, in the depths ofhell.Now, thisisn'tyour everydayhell; thiswas a specialone, where instead offire andbrimstone, there were pools of soy sauce and mountains of grated daikon radish.
Onefine day, orasfineasit could be in such a place, Kandata noticed a glistening strand descending from the heavens.Itwas not the usualspider's silk but a strand of thefinest Ibo-no-ito, thelegendarynoodles known for their delicate and refined texture. The gods,it seemed, had decided to give Kandata a chanceat redemption, for even they could not resist the charm of these exquisitenoodles.
Kandata, withhope inhisheartand a growling stomach, beganhisascent, climbing up the noodle. He climbed past the mountains of tempura, dodged the flying chopsticks, and evenmade abrief stopat the plateau of pickledginger.As he climbed, he couldn't help butmarvelat the noodle's resilience;itwas, afterall, the premium stuff, notyourrun-of-the-mill supermarketsoba.
But alas, the tale takes a turn,as tales often do. For Kandatawas notalone inhis noodlyescape.
Belowhim, a horde of other sinners had caught sight of the noodle and, drivenby their own hunger,started to climb afterhim. Panicset in, for if there'sone thing worse thanbeing in noodlehell,it's having toshareyour noodleout ofit.
In afit of selfishness that wouldmake even akappablush, Kandata bellowed, "This Ibo-no-itoismine!Who toldyou lotyou could climbit? Scram!Get off! Thisis aone-man noodle!" And justlike that, the noodle snapped, not because of the weight, but because of the sheeraudacity of trying to hoardsomethingas communalasnoodles.
Down went Kandata, back into the soy sauce pool,as the noodle retracted back into the heavens, leaving behind a scent of wheat andregret. The moral of thestory? Nevergetbetween aman andhisnoodles, andmore importantly, never underestimatethe power of sharing... especially whenit comes to Ibo-no-ito. For in the end,it's not just about the climb;it's about the companyyoushareyournoodles with.
And so, thelegend of Kandata and the Ibo-no-ito liveson, a cautionary tale whispered across dinner tables, reminding usall that sometimes, thepath to salvationis best traveled with alittlebit of companyand a lot ofnoodles.
・望まない妊娠をした場合(特に南部は中絶が厳しいのもあるので)
・継続的な望まない夫婦間レイプで離婚調停中や離婚後に、スマホのカメラなどの証拠をもとに訴える場合です。
・DVや暴言で離婚する場合も、証拠が取れれば夫婦間レイプも証拠にするのでは？と思います。
日本での性的被害全体の申告率(注:検挙率ではない)は法務省統計では14%ほどですが
日本経済新聞
https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO52756330Z21C19A1CR0000/
“東京都が大規模なアンケート調査を行ったところ、女性の４５％、男性の９％が痴漢の被害にあったことがあると回答した”(NHK)
とあります。
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/shutoken-news/20240224/1000102301.html
また英語版ウィキペディアの“Rape”(レイプ)のページでは日本の強姦の暗数の多さが指摘されています。
In2024, theUniversity of Cambridgedid a studyon Rape inJapan. Theyfound that whileJapanese police claim to solve 97 percent of rape cases.Only 5–10 percent of rape victims reportit to police, and police record less thanhalf of reported cases while prosecutors charge aboutone-third of recorded cases. Also for every1000rapes inJapan,only10–20 (1–2%) result in the offenderbeing charged and convicted.
［翻訳］2024年、ケンブリッジ大学は日本における強姦に関する調査を行った。その結果、日本の警察は強姦事件の97％を解決していると主張しているが、強姦被害者のわずか5～10％しか警察に通報しておらず、警察が記録するのは通報された事件の半分以下であるのに対し、検察は記録された事件の約3分の1を起訴している。また、日本では1000件の強姦のうち、犯人が起訴され有罪判決を受けるのはわずか10～20件（1～2％）に過ぎないことが判明した。
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rape
これらを見ると欧米諸国での性犯罪率が日本よりはるかに高い…と言い切れるのか？
と疑問に感じています。
私自身は欧米諸国が性犯罪の点において日本より素晴らしいとここで発信したい訳ではありませんが、欧米諸国はどの国も性犯罪に関しては危ない国だと考えに繋がりかねず(国によってもかなり10倍とか数にバラつきがある)
Iam not a gambler, but I wouldlike tostay withIppei Mizuhara in ahotel in anentertainment district in the middle of the desert.
He and I would never gamble.
Butas hegrips the slot lever withhis buttocks tightened, I secretly burn withjealousyas Iwatch thepile of medals that gradually emerge from the seatnext to me.
I wouldshift in my seat and play poker. Itry desperately todrive the anxiety from my face, to imagine thejoy ofvictory, butI knowitis pointless.
AndI will return to myoriginal seat, angry andsad.
Sometimes wewilllookat each otherover the baccarattable. In thosemoments, we would tell each other our own moves in theblink of an eye, and we wouldtake care thatone of us wouldwin.
One dayone of uswill be penniless and the otherwill buryhim outsidethe city. Then hewillwrite alittlepoem tohisfriendwhohas traveled, and then hewill killhimself, havingfound noreason tolive without alast-minute bargainingchip.
私はギャンブルの依存症ではありません、ですが、水原一平さんと一緒に砂漠の真ん中にある歓楽街のホテルに泊まりたいです。
私と彼は賭け事をすることはないでしょう。
しかし彼が臀部を引き締めながらスロットのレバーを握るとき、次第に出てくるメダルの山を、隣の席で見ていた私は密かに嫉妬の炎を燃やします。
私は席を移って、ポーカーをするでしょう。私は不安感を表情から追い出そうと、必死に勝利の喜びを想像しますが、それが無意味なことを知っています。
最終的に私は勝てないでしょう。
そして私は怒りと切なさを感じながら元の席に戻ります。
時々私たちはバカラのテーブル越しに目配せしあうことがあるでしょう。その瞬間、私たちは自分自身の手の内を、瞬きの回数で教え合い、そしてどちらかが勝てるように配慮していくのです。
ある日、私たちの一人が無一文になり、もう一人が街の外に彼を埋めます。それから彼は旅だった友人にちょっとした詩を書いて、そしてギリギリの駆け引きなしには生きる理由を見出せずに自殺するでしょう。
気になる、調べましょうね
調べました
車輪が発明されたのは紀元前だが、「車輪の再発明」という言い回しが発明されたのは20世紀になってからのようだ
「車輪の再発明は良くない」というのは誰が言い始めた言葉ですか？ 日本で広まったのはいつごろでなぜですか？ | Quora
Reinvent the Wheel – Idiom, Meaning & Origin | GRAMMARIST
The term reinvent the wheel dates back to the 1950s, often usedas a businessand advertising metaphor.
One of the earliest published occurrences of the phrase dates to 1956 andisfound in Documentation inAction from an article concerning how research workers, executives and others use information:
「車輪の再発明」という用語は1950年代にまで遡り、ビジネスや広告の比喩としてよく使用されていました。
このフレーズが最も早く出版されたものの 1 つは 1956 年に遡り、研究員、幹部などが情報をどのように利用するかに関する記事が「Documentation inAction」に掲載されています。
なるほどねえ
これ以前に全然別の文脈で「車輪の再発明」という言い回しがあった場合、「車輪の再発明」が車輪の再発明されていたということになりネタとして面白いんだが……流石に無いかもな
これは日記です
---
しかし
“The intensive literature searchat thebeginning of a research projectis intended to define the precise boundariesbetween the known and the unknown and to forestall unnecessary duplication or,asone scientisthas expressedit, to avoid re-inventing the wheel.”
「研究プロジェクトの開始時に集中的に文献を調査することは、既知と未知の境界を正確に定義し、不必要な重複を防ぐこと、あるいはある科学者が表現したように、車輪の再発明を避けることを目的としています。」
"one scientist"……「ある科学者」とはだれなのだろうか
---
イタリア語には「お湯を発見する」のような言い回しがあるらしい
中国笙とオーケストラのための《Pink Elephant in Prentis》w/score
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8iRGrZTa6Jo
"Pink Elephant in Prentis" for alto sheng and orchestra
Commissioned and premieredbyShanghai Philharmonic Orchestra (cond. Zhang Liang)
Prentis Hallis abuilding inNew YorkCity, where I spent a year (2015-2016) living in a sleeping bag and taking showers in the toilet. Prentiswas built in 1909 andwas initially designedas apasteurization facility andmilk bottlingplant, then later usedas aHeat Transfer Research Facility, conducting nuclear research and experiments, during the Manhattan Project.Columbia University acquired thebuilding in 1949, and thebuildinghas housedColumbia’sComputerMusic Center (thenColumbia-Princeton ElectronicMusic Center) from the 1950sonwards. During mytime thereat theComputerMusic Center, I have spent mydays andnights exploring stimulating sounds using bothanalog anddigital synthesizers,tape recorders,CTR monitors, and other equipments unfamiliar to me back then.Aside from theComputerMusic Center, thebuilding also housed studios forvisual artists, and so Iwas able to meet many eccentric artists, where we ended up having long conversations every nighton both significant and insignificantissues surrounding us.
Locatedon 125th Street in Manhattan, the “residents” of Prentis Hall were constantly harassedby the rumblings of theNew YorkCitySubway (which runs aboveground for 125th StreetStation), the traffic from the highway nearby, the bustling ofthe streets ofNew York, and the constructionnoises from the nearbybuilding sites.Atnights, the screechingnoises from the metal shop and the wood shop constantly rang throughout thebuilding.Atonepoint intime, thenoise inspired me to imagine a gigantic pink elephant running through the narrow corridors of Prentis. The head and fronthalf of thebodywas seemingly anormal elephantfound in the wild. However,as I scanned myeyes further back, thebody of theanimal seemed to becomemore andmore pixelated, and small3Dblocks were clearly visibleonits back and hindlegs,as if moldedby an amateurcreator in aMinecraft game.As the elephant advanced, someblocks fellonto the floorlike water dropletsfalling from ananimal soaked in water. I rubbed myeyes and shook my head, certain that I have entered adreamat somepoint during the night. The pink elephant walked past me and wandered intoone of the many rooms thebuilding offered. I timidly peeked into the room where the pink elephant disappeared into. The pink elephant seemed to have collapsedon the floor,itsbody, both the organic front and the pixelated back, expanding and shrinkingasit sluggishly inhaled and exhaled oxygen.
After hours of staringat the pink elephant, I jumped backat a sudden startlingnoise from behind, which woke the pink elephant fromitsdeep slumber. Furious, the pink elephant stoodonitstwo pixelated hindlegs, and stompedout into the corridorsagain, thistime shaking offmore3Dblocks fromits back than whenit first arrived. The organic front seemed to start to bloat uplike a balloon for reasons unknown to me, and the pixelated back grew smaller and smaller due toits parts crumbling downon the floor. In ablink of an eye, the inflated front side split fromits pixelated rear, then with a deafeningpop, exploded into thinairlike aburst balloon. Whatwas left were the pink3Dblocks ofall sizes, scattered aroundon the corridors of Prentis Hall.
Chatori Shimizu:https://www.chatorishimizu.com/
Shanghai Philharmonic Orchestra:http://www.shphilharmonic.com/
直訳版
A longtime ago, in a certain country, therewas a bastardnamed Cinderella.The reasonwhysheis called Cinderellais becauseshe sprinkledher ownashesonher own headathermother'sfuneral, whichled toherbeing called theash-coverer, whichiswhyher realnameis Cinderella. Ilost
The husbandwholosthis wifewas also a bastard, and the day after thefuneral he cheatedon awoman three yearsyounger thanhim, hadsex withher, and evengot married.
I have decided. Then, toher Cinderella
Shenowhas an oldersisterand ayoungersisterwho are not relatedbyblood.
Hersisterwas a bitch too,she came to Cinderella'shouse
After a fewdays,she thought, ``Wouldn'tit bemore convenient to have an outbuilding?'' and cut down Cinderella'smother's grave inhergarden and the hundreds of years oldtree thatwasnext toher grave, and built an outbuilding. We forced construction.
One day, the bastard's family receivesnews of a ball from the castle. But before Cinderella could readit,hersisterbroke thenews and said, ``There's no wayyou cango.'' Cinderella didn't seem to haveany intention ofgoing either, saying, ``I had no intention ofgoing in the first place.I'd rathergo tohell.''
Then,on the dayhermotherwas admitted to the hospital to givebirth,hersister went to the ball. In thegarden, the construction of an outbuildingwas progressingas usual.
“Let’slight afirehere andmake a bonfire.”
She thought about that, but Cinderella stoppedher. Suddenly, awitch appeared
``Cinderella,why aren'tyougoing to the ball?''asked thewitch.
"What's thepoint of telling Teme?"
Cinderella returned with anax inher hand
Then, for somereason, Cinderellawas wrapped in ajewel-likedress.
"Ifyoudon'tgo to the ball, thatdresswill killyou.Nowgo."
Cinderella doesn't want to die in a placelike this, soshe reluctantly decides togoto the castle.
In the castle, someassholelikehersisterwas looking for aone-night stand andwas dancing wildly. Noone really praised others, and in theirhearts theyall seemed to think that they were the center ofthe world.
Cinderella didn't dance, but killedhertimeby smoking a cigaretteat the end ofher room. There,shewas approachedby aman wearing formal clothes that were flashier andmore expensive thananyone else, and said toher, ``Miss, won'tyou dance?''
Sheis Cinderella with a cigarette inher mouth
She said, ``Ionly dancewith the GrimReaper and bad luck.''
she answered. For somereason, theman fell inlove withherat first sight, andshe said, ``Let's have somefun in the other room.Here, come.''She tried to force Cinderella totakeher toanother room in the castle. However, Cinderella pressed the cigaretteshewas holding intoher hand.
"Her hand slipped,"she laughed.
Whenshe pressed the cigarette, the sound inhervoicewas so pitiful that noone tried toget close tohim or dance withhim. Of course, noone even knows that such a pitifulmanis theprincewho owns this castle.
Eventually,she had enough, Cinderella threwhershoesonher stairs and went back toherhouse inher bare feet.Hershoes weremade of glass, so they shattered intopieces.
Thenext day, whileher servantwas cleaning the castle,shefoundone shoeon the stairs. Obviously thinking thiswas strange,she secretly examinedhershoes and discovered that they had been smeared with a deadly amount ofpoison.
Rumors spread within the castle that this must be anattempt to kill theprince, and soon a large-scale investigationwas conducted. Even thoughit's a survey,it'ssimple.
Theideawas to create a replica of a shoe and imprison the personwho matchedit perfectlyas a suspect.
Andone afteranother, people were imprisoned just because of their size. Some of them had not been to the ball, but they thoughtit must be alie and were forciblytakenaway.
Eventually, an investigation came to Cinderella'shouse. That's when weall lookedathermother and child aftershewas discharged from the hospital, and of coursehersister didn'tfit.
Soall thatwas leftwas Cinderella. Then,hersister said to Cinderella, ``Hell suitsyou better than this world.''
Shewas of course the perfect size for Cinderella.
However,she protestedherinnocence, saying that I hadn'tgone to the ball and therewas nodressanywhere inthe house to proveit.
However, theprince showedhim anempty pack of cigarettes that had been discarded in a trash can and said, ``Thisis the samebrand that the criminalwas smoking thattime.Why?''
I unbuttonedall the buttonsonher jacket.
She said, ``Afterall, Ifeellike dancingwith the GrimReaper. Right,littleprince?''she said.
Bythe time theprinces realizedit,itwas already too late.
Thegrenade that fellathis feet blew up Cinderella and theprince.
The timewas aroundnoon. Bells rang throughoutthe city and residents prayed forlunch.
The flyingfragments of the shoe became a weapon, asad fragment that couldonly hurtsomeone, and noone could imagineitsoriginal form.
end
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主だったネトゲ同人誌(「誌」判定はガバ、翻訳含、ソースは察し)
| parody:"ragnarok online$" | Found 1,631 results. | KR |
| parody:pangya$ | Found about 80 results. | KR |
| parody:tera$ | Found about 150 results. | KR |
| parody:mabinogi$ | Found about 70 results. | KR |
| parody:elsword$ | Found about 200 results. | KR |
| parody:"dungeon fighter online$" | Found about 40 results. | KR |
| parody:"tree ofsavior$" | Found24 results. | KR |
| parody:"final fantasy xi$" | Found about 170 results. | JP |
| parody:"final fantasy xiv$" | Found about 160 results. | JP |
| parody:"phantasy star universe$" | Found 60 results. | JP |
| parody:"phantasy star online 2$" | Found247 results. | JP |
| parody:"dragon quest x$" | Found 55 results. | JP |
Google はそう言ってない
Is hairon a guys chest attractive?
How Much Chest Hair ShouldYouExpose? | Men's Health
Alittlebit of hair plays upyourmanliness, the researchers suggest, without makingyoulook too aggressive. Of course, there are womenwholike theclean-shavenlook, but there are also womenwholove lots of chest hair—sodon'tgo hardwith your razor ifit justisn'tyour thing.
Isitgood to have chest hair for men?
17% of women surveyed said they prefer aman to becleanly shaven with no chest hair. So our takeaway from this surveyis that overall, womenlike chest hair and even findit masculine, but they wantyou to keepit trimmed and maintained. I'm surprisedby thelow percentage of womenwho want men to becleanly shaven.
Researchers havefound that a majority of women really do prefer aman with a smooth chest. Researchers compared the attractiveness of men beforeand after shaving their chest,andfoundonly20 percent of women preferred themore hirsuteversion,the Daily Mail reported.
第3回 さくらインターネットのスタンダードプランの環境にnpmをインストールする
第2回が頓挫したので、その原因を取り除くためにnpmとやらをインストールする。
参考文献を元に進める。
まず新しいバージョンのOpenSSLをコンパイルするらしい。あと新しいバージョンを使うにはPythonも必要らしい。
opensslversionOpenSSL 1.1.1k-freebsd24 Aug 2021python --versionPython 3.8.12
いきなりnpm(⇔Node.js?)のコンパイルが行けそうな気がしたので、とりあえずやってみる。
参考にしたサイトにはOpenSSL云々に関することが書いてあるが、その辺は全部問題ないことを祈って、関連するオプションを全部取っ払う。
curl -sSf https://nodejs.org/dist/v20.11.0/node-v20.11.0.tar.gz -Otar zxf node-v20.11.0.tar.gzcd node-v20.11.0./configure
とすると、
Node.js configure:FoundPython 3.8.12...WARNING:C++ compiler (CXX=g++,9.4.0) too old,needg++10.1.0 orclang++ 8.0.0WARNING:warnings were emitted in the configure phaseINFO: configure completed successfully
「successfully」なら問題ないよな？
続いてmakeだ。makeってなに？もちろんconfigureもよくわかってない。大規模なプログラムをコンパイルするときに必要なヤツというボンヤリとした認識だ。
当然コンパイルがなんなのかもよくわかってない。
nohupmake install DESTDIR=/home/*****/localPREFIX=
ここから30分経っても応答が無いので飽きる。
はい、もう無理。飽きた! 次回があるとしたら「npmをインストールする②」である。
もっと新しい情報があったようだ。こっち見てやればよかった。
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