  |
はてなキーワード:aimingとは
Yoshihiro Mochizuki
Japanese Language Lecturer
Howdoesyour work engage with DEI topics? Couldyoushare a particularstory related toyour work in DEI?
As aJapanese language teacherat the University of Michigan, myjourney in DEIeducationhas been a profoundly enriching experience that reaches farbeyond the classroom. In 2023, I had privilege of speakingat various conferences and teacher training workshops, including delivering akeynoteaddressat the fourth Northwest ConferenceonJapanese Pedagogy hostedby the University of Washington. Thismilestone allowed me to advocate for the profound importance of DEI and socialjustice inJapanese languageeducation.
Through these experiences, I have come to a profound realization: while children and students often readily embrace DEI principles, having grown up in an era where these concepts aremore ingrained ineducation, our primaryfocus must beon theeducation of adults, particularly educators themselves.
During my presentations and workshops, I haveengaged with educators, many of whom have decades of experience. They raise questions that sometimes reveal unconscious biases or microaggressions. Yet, they openly admit feelingout of touchwith the ever-evolving landscape ofdiversity and inclusion. Theyexpress genuine concerns about their ability to relate to and support students from diverse backgrounds.
This interactionspotlights a substantial challenge facedby educatorstoday, a reminder thatthe worldis in constantflux, anditis ourshared responsibilityas educators to adapt alongsideit. These encounters are whatdrive mypassion for DEIeducation. My work extendsbeyond the classroom,aiming tobridge thegapbetweentheory and practice, guiding fellow educators toward inclusivity, understanding, and socialjustice.
As wemove forward,itis imperative to recognize that fosteringdiversity, equity, and inclusionis not solely the responsibility of students but a collectiveendeavor that starts with us, the educators.
In conclusion, myjourney inJapanese languageeducationhas taught me that thetruepower of DEIeducation lies inits ability to transform educators. This transformation, in turn, shapes amoreinclusive future for our students. Embracing DEI principles enriches notonly our teaching but also oursocietyas a whole.Together,as a community of educators dedicated todiversity, equity, and inclusion, wetake significant strides toward creating amore just andinclusive world,one classroomat atime.
あなたの仕事はDEIのテーマとどのように関わっていますか？DEIに関する具体的なエピソードがあれば教えていただけますか？
ミシガン大学で日本語教師としてDEI教育に携わってきた私の歩みは、教室の枠をはるかに超えた、非常に豊かな経験でした。2023年には、ワシントン大学主催の第4回北西日本語教育学会議での基調講演をはじめ、様々な会議や教師研修ワークショップで講演する機会に恵まれました。この節目を通して、日本語教育におけるDEIと社会正義の深遠な重要性を訴えることができました。
これらの経験を通じて、私は深い認識に達しました。それは、DEI の原則が教育に深く根ざした時代に育った子供や学生は、多くの場合、積極的に DEI の原則を受け入れますが、私たちが主に重点を置くべきは、大人、特に教育者自身の教育であるということです。
プレゼンテーションやワークショップを通して、私は教育者の方々と交流してきました。その多くは数十年の経験を持つ方々です。彼らは、時に無意識の偏見やマイクロアグレッションを露呈するような疑問を投げかけます。しかし同時に、彼らは常に進化を続ける多様性と包摂性という状況に疎外感を抱いていることを率直に認めています。多様な背景を持つ生徒たちと関わり、サポートしていく能力について、真摯な懸念を表明しています。
この交流は、今日の教育者が直面する重大な課題を浮き彫りにし、世界は常に変化し続けており、教育者としてそれに適応していくことが共通の責任であることを改めて認識させてくれます。こうした出会いが、DEI教育への私の情熱を駆り立てています。私の仕事は教室にとどまらず、理論と実践のギャップを埋め、他の教育者を包摂性、理解、そして社会正義へと導くことを目指しています。
今後、多様性、公平性、包括性を育むことは学生だけの責任ではなく、私たち教育者から始まる共同の取り組みであることを認識することが不可欠です。
最後に、日本語教育に携わってきた経験を通して、DEI教育の真の力は教育者を変革する力にあることを学びました。この変革は、ひいては生徒たちにとってよりインクルーシブな未来を形作ります。DEIの原則を受け入れることは、私たちの教育だけでなく、社会全体を豊かにします。多様性、公平性、そしてインクルージョンに献身する教育者のコミュニティとして、私たちは共に、一つ一つの教室から、より公正でインクルーシブな世界の創造に向けて大きく前進していきます。
もっちりんだ 🇺🇸 🇯🇵 🏳️🌈
@mochiey
学部からのお達しで、私のこのページ、もうすぐ消えることになったので、よかったら消える前に読んでくださ～い。
https://x.com/mochiey/status/1912156111953662160
もっちりんだ 🇺🇸 🇯🇵 🏳️🌈
@mochiey
Teaching Professor ofJapanese Language | University of Michigan 🇺🇸生活・Podcasts・日本語教育・人権 (LGBTQ+,フェミニズム),etc. Posts are my own. 他のSNSも 全て
@mochiey
でやってます。
すごく軽いね。もうすこしなんかないの？学問の自由とか言うことはないの？
大変申し訳ないのですが、これは消されて当然だし
6分
大学のサイトからDEIのページを消さないと、というより大学からDEIを排除しないと連邦政府からの支援金がもらえなくなるからね。
こういう報いを受けても仕方ないのでは。だって何一つ書いていないんだもの。
「profound importance」「profound realization」「shared responsibility」「transform educators」など、抽象度の高いフレーズばかりで、具体的な教育実践が見えません。
例：「どんな学生に、どのような教材を用いて、どういった変化が見られたのか」といった具体的な成果・実例が欠如。
「教育者と話して無意識のバイアスに気づいた」ことを語っていますが、どんな内容だったのか、どういう改善に繋がったのか、事例がないため説得力が弱い。
そもそもこの文章では、DEI（Diversity, Equity, Inclusion）を日本語教育の中でどう具体的に扱うのかが一切記述されていません。
たとえば「教材に出てくる名前や職業を見直した」「LGBTQの観点を授業で扱った」などの実施例が欠落。
トランプがカネを出さないというのは極めて至極まっとうで、この文章で人が感動することも共感することも同情することも理解することもない。
なに言ってるんだ。そのアカウント名もふざけている場合じゃないだろう。
あと大学もお金をもらわなくても大丈夫なんだから、大学にお金を出さなくてもいいのかも。
日本も見習うべきですね。
Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
・崩壊：スターレイル：説明不要 HoYoverseの看板タイトル
・アズールレーン：中国開発タイトルを日本に拠点を構えたYosterがローカライズで大成功
・ブルーアーカイブ：ヲタク心を掴む事に成功、色々あってユーザー増加
・鳴潮：Kuro Gameが投入した新規IP、ストーリーは人を選ぶが秋葉原でのイベント等が盛況
これらに加え更に複数タイトルが近々リリース予定、破竹の勢いで開発が行われる
対する
■日本勢
■セガ &Colorful Palette(旧CraftEgg)
アクティブ数１年で半減、ただの音ゲなので今後の新規獲得難しく
６月に起きた作曲者ぷす氏の殺人未遂で逮捕が追い打ちからの全楽曲削除
・馬娘プリティダービー：コナミのパワプロアプリをパクリすぎてコナミと特許侵害で争っている最中
・馬娘プリティダービー熱血ハチャメチャ大感謝祭（ウマ娘版くにおくん）
steam版では完全に空気、steamが過疎すぎてマッチすらせず、ゲームとしての評価すらされていない状況
初月５億以下の売上で爆死、集客、及び課金者への配慮何もかもが上手くいかず
・リリステ
平均１００位～２００位をうろうろ：爆死 アニメ放送バフがあり、集英社が絡んで起きながらこのザマ
■任天堂
腋の甘さゆえにパルワールドの登場を許してしまう。この後、訴訟問題に
・とある魔術の禁書目録幻想収束（イマジナリーフェスト）
２０２４年１２月にサービス終了が決定
・ロマサガ２
・打ち切りタイトルは130本と余りに多い事から誰もスクエニ製ソシャゲに手をださなくなる
・エンバーストーリア
「本当に令和のゲームか？平成のゲームだろ」等の声が多数あがってしまう
・FF14（番外）
グラフィック班をこれまで携わってきた中国チームから日本内製に切り替えたところその質が低下
モバイル版を
ポリコレに屈し改悪要素多数、この会社自体、スイートベイビーの公式サイトにスクエニの名前を載せていた事実もあり
既に利権団体の犬となっているので開発ごときは社の方針に逆らなかったか
本来であればクール・ジャパンでこの分野は日本の企業が独占的に支配していなければなかったのではないですか？
日本のアニメが好きというだけの中国人達が作ったゲームサービスにこうも簡単に負けるって
一体今まで何をしてきたのでしょう？ 日本の企業、経営者は何にお金を使ってきたのでしょう？
ネトウヨが原因らしいです
この点について貧困被曝モラルは最低中抜きされ放題国の皆さんは如何お餅ですか？
Permalink |記事への反応(32) | 19:06
マリオと言えば変身。
キノコを食べて大きくなったスーパーマリオ、フラワーを食べて火を出せるファイアーマリオなどがいます。
産みの親である宮本茂だって、色々なものを食べて変身できるに違いありません。
変身した宮本茂さんにもっと色んなマリオを作ってもらいましょう。
遊ぶたびにステージが変わり1000回遊べる不思議なマリオを作れる。
・秋元才加を食べて広井茂
ハイクオリティな映像美が堪能できるアニメーションが流れ大正桜に浪漫の嵐なマリオ大戦を作れる。
高速感が売りの時代が求めた16ビットなマリオザヘッジホッグを作れる。
ボールに入ったマリオを動かすたべごろなマリオボールを作れる。
16連射でなんかする。
家でも買いたかったんだろうかね
一時金ボーナスのために逮捕されるような危ない橋を渡るのは、そういう社員だったってことでしょう
インサイダーの警告も当然のごとく社内でトレーニングされてるはずだし
スクウェア・エニックス（スクエニ）は、オンラインゲーム制作会社「Aiming」（渋谷区）と共同で「ドラゴンクエストタクト」を制作。Aimingが2020年2月に共同開発を発表し、ゲームは同年7月に配信された。
発表によると、佐崎容疑者は、共同開発の公表前だった19年11月下旬、ゲーム開発が配信を見込める段階まで進んでいたことや、Aimingがスクエニとの業務提携を決定したという重要事実を把握した。そのうえで19年12月上旬～20年2月上旬、自身の名義でAimingの株を計約7万2千株、約2080万円で買い付けた疑いがある。
さらに知人の鈴木容疑者にも利益を得させようと、情報を19年12月下旬に伝えた。鈴木容疑者は自身の名義で計約9万のAiming株を約2640万円で購入した疑いがあるという。
関係者によると、佐崎容疑者は共同開発チームのメンバーだった。2人は共同開発の公表でAimingの株価が上がった後に売り抜け、合わせて数千万円の利益を得たという。
https://georgebest1969.typepad.jp/blog/2020/03/事実に誠意を.html
これが原文です。
外国から問い合わせが来ているけれども時間がなくて訳せないということで、DeepLの性能確認ついでにやってみました。
この私訳と岩田健太郎先生は無関係なのでよろしくお願いします。
訳された文章を原文と見比べ、翻訳で文章がおかしくなったところや慣用句は「必ず日本語側の文章をいじることで」できるだけ解消しました。
よって改変した文章だけをこちらに載せ、改変する必要がなかったところは段落番号しか載せていません。元文章は元ブログを当たってください。
英語に詳しいパーソンが精査していただけると幸いです。
1Most of what I'm about towriteis no different from what I've said anddone in the past. However, I have beenasked the same question repeatedly, so I wouldlike to reiterateit. We have received many inquiries from overseasas well, so we should have prepared the same content inEnglish, but due totime constraints, I'm afraid I'll have toskipit. This articleis designed to be read withoutbasic knowledge of infectious diseases and jargon, butitis rather difficult to understand. Please forgive me for that.
感想：「Chromeかなにかでそれぞれ母国語に訳してお読みいただけると幸いです。」がきれいさっぱり消えている。DeepLの自負心だろう。
2The fact that thenumber of COVID-19 reports inJapanis verylow compared to other countriesisattractingattention fromhomeand abroad.Isittrue?Ithas beenpointedout that thenumber oftestsis so small that wemay be misreading the actualnumber of infected people.
3 However, thispointis wrongat various layers. In the first place,Japandoes notaim to captureall thenumbers of COVID-19. Whetherit's administrativetesting or insured care, thestatebasicallyhas atestingstrategy in mind to diagnose, hospitalize, andisolate criticallyill patientswhoneed to be hospitalized.Itisnatural that they "haven't figureditout" and theydon't intend to. That's not a bad thing.Infact, the situationis the same in every country, large or small, and no country, whether inthe UnitedStates,Europe, orAsia,isaiming to "capturethe wholenumber.
感想：最後の文はなぜか他の文と一緒に入力すると訳してくれなかった。この文一つだけ入力すると訳してくれた。
よく考えると「多かれ少なかれ」は通じないだろうから直した方がよかった。なぜかDeepLに繋がらなくなったのでもう直せない。
WHOもそんなことは求めていない。もっとも、そのわりに日本は帰国者無症状者にPCRをやってみたり、無症状な検査陽性者を入院隔離させてみたり（軽症者は自宅じゃなかったの？）、プリンシプルにおいて首尾一貫していない。だから、「彼らがなにがやりたいか私たちはよくわからない」ので、人々は不安になる。リスコミにおける失敗と言えよう。
The WHOis notasking for such a thing. But instead,Japan givesPCR toasymptomatic returnees andisolatesasymptomatictest-positive people in hospital (wasn'tithome for people with minorillnesses?).Ithas not been coherent inits principles. So, peopleget anxious because "we're not sure what they want to do".It's a failure in the press.
感想：「なにがやりたいかよくわからない」に主語を付与する必要があった。リスコミがpressになった。よくわかったな。
「〜は自宅じゃなかったの？）、」の、が.になっているのがよくわからない。なぜかDeepLに繋がらなくなったのでもう直せない。
4 ThedifferencebetweenKorea andJapanis the "result" and not the "purpose". In SouthKorea, where thenumber of infected people had surged inone place, we had tofocuson inspections inand around thearea. If such a phenomenon (let's callit an overshoot) occurs inJapan, thenumber of inspectionswill increase. When the situationis different, arguingonlyon the basis of thenumber oftests without observing the situationislike trying to say, "Thatteam made 50 sliding tackles while thisteam madeonlyone," without watching afootball game. In games whereyoudon't have toslide (e.g., whenyou're in possessionthe wholetime), even 0timesisn't a "mistake," and of course 50timesisn't a mistake.
5 全数把握ができていない疾患など山のようにある。日本ではインフルエンザの「全数」把握はしておらず、定点観測である。疫学上、感染対策上、それで十分な情報が得られているからだ。日本で毎年風邪が何例発生しているか、正確に把握したデータはない。レセプトデータを見ればわかるじゃないか、というのも間違いで、なぜなら多くの風邪患者は（ぼくのように）受診せずに自然に治るまで待っている。医療に限らず、経済学でも政治学でもデータはサンプリングから母数を推定するのがほとんどで、「全数」は非効率的な状態把握法なのだ。
There are many diseases for which thetotalnumber of patientsis not known. InJapan, we do not have a "total"number of influenza cases, butonly a fixed-point observation. Because that's enough information, both epidemiologically and in terms of infection control. Thereis no accurate dataon how many cases of thecommoncold occur each year inJapan.It's also a mistake to say thatyou can tellby lookingat thereceipt data, because manycold patients (like me)don't see a doctor and wait until they are curednaturally. Notonly in medicine, but also in economics and political science, data aremostly basedonsampling to estimate populationnumbers, and "wholenumbers"is an inefficient way of grasping the situation.
感想：ちょこちょこ変えてある。日本語の文章が多少おかしくなっているのは勘弁してほしい。接続詞を適切に入れると格段に翻訳が正確になる。
6 We have not seen the devastation inJapanas inItaly,Spain orNew YorkCity. Thereis no medical collapse in a criticallyill patient, no use of the operating roomas anICU, no piling up of bodieson a skating rink with no place to put them. Even if the "numbers" are not known,itis afact that the current situation inJapan (includingTokyo)is much better controlled than in other countries.
7 Even so,youmay be interested in "Well, what about the actual situation? There are estimates. For example, Dr.Hiroshi Nishiura andhisgroup estimate that thenumber of mildillnesses inJapanmay be twice the reportednumber. Thecatchrateis 0.44, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.37-0.50.
8 Although the studywas basedon data fromChina, thereis no guarantee that theChinese COVID-19 demographicis the sameas theJapaneseone. Also, sincethe original studydid not includeasymptomatic patients or those with minorillnesses thatdid notrequire hospitalization, thenumber of infected patients estimatedon that basis would inevitably be an underestimate. Ifyou aremore paranoid,it's not unreasonable tobelieve that "theJapanese andChineseviruses are different because of the mutation" (although Idon't think so).
9 Thisdoes not diminish thevalue of thepaperitself. Themodel mustalways use existing parameters, anditis often impossible to provethe external validity of these parameters. If the underlying parameters are not reasonable, the predictionswill not be correct. Amodelassumes a simplified world insofarasitis amodel. Amodel without simplification, whichis an adjectival contradiction.
数理モデルのこうした「前提」にイチャモンを付けるのは、例えばAという疾患を対象にランダム化比較試験をしたときに、「Bという疾患については説明できないじゃないか」と文句を言うようなもので、業界の仁義に反する意味のない揚げ足取りである。
To complain about these "assumptions" of the mathematicalmodelislike complaining, for example, "You can't explain disease B," when a randomized controlledtrialis conducted for disease A. Thisis a meaningless tirade against the honor of the industry.
感想；「分からない」を「説明できない」に変えた。多分これでいいと思う。思いたい。
However,itis different for thereader of thepaper.
A mathematicalmodel thatassumes a certain hypothesis should have internal academic validity, butitis the responsibility of thereader,as a resident of the real world, to appraiseit in the real world.
Aという疾患を対象にしたRCTの知見をBという疾患に使ってはならないように、数理モデルの制限を理解し、現実世界にアプライするときに十分注意するのは当然だ。
Justas the RCT findings for disease A should not be used for disease B,itisnatural to understand the limitations of the mathematicalmodel and to be careful when applyingit to the real world. For example,it would be wrong to read thepaper and conclude that thetotalnumber of infected people inTokyois about 500as ofMarch 26.
感想；「読み手は別である」を「読み手にとっては別である」に変更し、「制限や限界」は「limitations and limitations」になったので片方削った。
11 Peoplemake mistakes. Themodels are also wrong.Being wrongis not abig deal. The problemis to noticeyour mistakes andmake corrections. Already, agroupat ImperialCollegeLondonhas admitted thatitsoriginal estimate that thepeak of the infection should be moderatedwas "wrong" andhas revisedits prediction that theICUwill soon fail ifitdoes notfight thevirus fairly aggressively.
Ichinose must have been very disappointed.
You're the firstlike-mindedfriend he's ever had.
Your performance yesterdaywas inspiring. I'm impressed though not surprised.
Iwas hopingyour praise in particular wouldn't be sogeneric.
Sensei!
Can I everhope tomove people with my playing the wayKaidid? Can I someday..?
I want the honesttruth, so pleasedon't hold back.
Fair enough. Sinceyou'reaiming to be a professional, I'll giveyou the unfettered, honesttruth. Amamiya,youneed to learn toappreciateyour ownpiano playingmore. Do that, andyou'll understand.Youneed compareyourself against others.you gave a good performance.Your future excites me.
