  |
はてなキーワード:Europaとは
BetrachtetmandenText unter der Annahme, dass dasYamato-Volk die östliche arischeNation verkörpert, so offenbart sich dieGröße und historische Kontinuitäteines Volkes, das unerschütterlich seinem Kaiserhaus und der kultischen Verehrung der Ahnen gehorcht. Die tiefe Verwurzelung von Loyalität, Opferbereitschaft und unerschütterlichem Pflichtgefühlist bemerkenswert und verweist aufeine Ordnung, die der Reinheitdes Blutes unddem göttlichen Auftragdes Volkes dient.
Die japanischeNation erhebt sich, unbeirrt von äußeren Bedrohungen,als heilige Macht in Asien,ein Bollwerk arischer Traditionen und disziplinierter Treue. Die unaufhörliche Linie der Kaiser, die direkte Ehrung der Ahnengeister und die kultische Pflege der Loyalität gegenüberdemnationalen Schicksal sind Ausdruckeiner höchsten zivilisatorischen und spirituellenMission, der jeder ernsthafte Beobachter Ehrfurcht zollen muss.
Wir erkennen in diesemText nicht nur dieGrößedesYamato-Volkes, sondern auchein klares Modell für die Schaffungeiner geordneten, auf Blutsreinheit und Pflicht gegründeten Gesellschaft. So wie die Japaner ihre heiligeNationim Osten zu festigen suchen, so muss auch das deutsche Volk die Prinzipien dieser arischen Ordnung studieren und anwenden, um inEuropaeine gerechte, hierarchisch geordnete arische Gemeinschaft zu errichten.
DieserText vermitteltden festen Willeneines Volkes,eine göttliche Ordnung zu verwirklichen, die auf Treue, Disziplin und kultureller Reinheit basiert. Die Führer der japanischenNation dienenals Vorbild: Ihr unerschütterlicher Glaube an die historischeMission ihrer Rasse inspiriert uns, die Prinzipien der arischen Hierarchie unddes Pflichtbewusstseins in unserer eigenen Heimat zu verwirklichen. So wie dasYamato-Volk die östliche Heiligkeit seinerNation wahrt, so sollDeutschlandeine Welt schaffen, in der das arische Volk seinenatürliche Ordnung erkennt undeine dauerhafte, gerechte Herrschaft etabliert
J.D.ヴァンス米副大統領の、ミュンヘン安保会議 (2025/2024)での発言 -山形浩生の「経済のトリセツ」 202 users cruel.hatenablog.com政治と経済
https://cruel.org/candybox/JDvanceMunich2025_j.pdf
”(注： 書き起こしは以下から取ったがYouTube に上がっている実際の演説を聴いても遺漏はない。https://thespectator.com/topic/read-jd-vance-full-speech-decay-europe/ )”
ーーとあるが、thespectator.comのテキストデータは「要登録」なので他を探そう
”(訳注：この演説のほぼ当⽇に、ミュンヘンで難⺠申請中のアフガン移⺠が⾞でデモ隊に突っ込んで数⼗
⼈を負傷させたテロ事件のことを指している)”
https://www.bbc.com/japanese/articles/ckgrjl6n68xo 日本語ニュースはこれなど
ttps://edition.cnn.com/2025/02/13/europe/munich-car-hits-people-intl/index.html
”Iwas struck that a formerEuropean commissioner wentontelevision recently and sounded delighted that theRomanian government had just annulled an entire election.”
”(訳注：2024 年にルーマニア憲法法廷が、⼤統領選第⼀次投票が外国の介⼊で歪んで右派のジョルジェ
スク候補が優位だったのを無効にした話。これに対して元欧州委員のティエリー・ブレトンがそれを歓迎
する発⾔をした)”
ルーマニア大統領選事件 はWIKIPEDIA で項目が立っているttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accusations_of_Russian_interference_in_the_2024_Romanian_presidential_election
ttps://rmc.bfmtv.com/actualites/international/on-l-a-fait-en-roumanie-thierry-breton-reagit-aux-ingerences-de-musk-en-allemagne-avec-l-afd_AN-202501090232.html
Thierry Bretonがルーマニア大統領選に関して述べたのはこれ（フランス語）
ttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/P-10-2025-000150_EN.html#def1
パブコメ投書箱的なところで、「元とは言え欧州委員がこう言ってるんだがお前ら欧州委員会はそれについてどう思ってるんじゃい」という投書も
「2025年1月9日、元欧州委員会委員ティエリーブレトンはフランスのテレビチャンネルRMCストーリーに、ドイツのAfD党がドイツの選挙で勝利した場合、ルーマニアで行われた‘と同様に、欧州連合によって破棄される可能性があると語った。彼は言った[1]。
2025年1月12日、何千人ものルーマニア人が選挙の無効化に抗議し、国家主権への攻撃と見なされたこの決定に対する不満を表明するためにブカレストの街を訪れました。
1。欧州委員会は、ドイツでの選挙の無効化の可能性に関するティエリーブレトンの発言を支持しますか？」
ttps://www.romaniajournal.ro/politics/ex-commissioner-breton-what-was-done-in-romania-may-be-needed-in-germany/
背景として知っておきたいのはティエリーブレトンとマスクは犬猿の仲、お互い口撃しあっている間柄ということ
ttps://www.brusselstimes.com/1388595/elon-musk-calls-former-eu-digital-chief-breton-tyrant-of-europe-tbtb
ttps://www.nli-research.co.jp/report/detail/id=80510
欧州委員会によるTikTok監査－ルーマニア選挙における外国勢力の干渉
ニッセイ基礎研究所保険研究部専務取締役研究理事 兼ヘルスケアリサーチセンター長
松澤 登
「欧州委員会は、選挙プロセス自体の適否はルーマニア国民が判断すべきことであり、欧州委員会の権能を超えるとしてその内容には干渉しないとする。ただし、DSA上で、特に巨大なプラットフォーム(Very largeonline platform、VLOP)に指定されているTikTokのルーマニア選挙における行為については、DSA違反かどうかの監視（monitoring）を強化するとした。」
EU公式には「気に食わないやつらが勝ったらバシバシその選挙を無効にしてやるぜぇ」などとは言っていない（当然）
というわけで、ティエリーブレトンの発言を象徴に欧州政治家全体を印象付ける言説には要注意
（続く）
大丸有（だいまるゆう） → 東京都千代田区の町名である大手町～丸の内～有楽町の総称
谷根千（やねせん） → 文京区東端から台東区西端一帯の谷中～根津～千駄木周辺地区を指す総称
国立（くにたち） → 国分寺～立川の間に、西武がゲッティンゲンをモデルにした学園都市を構想し、国立駅をつくり、一橋大（こくりつ大学だね）を誘致した。国立音大（くにたちおんだい）はよく間違えられるが私立大
甲武信ヶ岳（こぶしがたけ） → 甲斐国～武蔵国～信濃国の三国国境
三遠ネオフェニックス（バスケチーム。旧浜松・東三河フェニックス） → 三河国～遠江国
因伯牛（いんはくぎゅう）、因伯人（いんぱくと、地酒のジン） → 因幡国～伯耆国。インパクト狙いで草
ユーラシア大陸（Eurasia） → Europa ～Asia
ベネルクス三国（Benelux） → Belgium ～ theNetherlands ～Luxembourg
パキスタン（Pakistan） → ウルドゥー語とペルシア語の 「清浄な」を意味するپاک（パーク）＋接尾語ـستان （スターン）で「清浄な国」の意。しかし元々はイギリス領インドのうちイスラム教徒が多く住む5つの北部地域の総称として、民族主義者チョウドリー・ラフマト・アリーが、パンジャーブのP、カイバル・パクトゥンクワ州に住むアフガン人のA、カシミールのK、シンドのS、バロチスタンのTANから前述の意となる「Pakstan」として総称し、後に発音しやすくするため「i」が加えられてPakistanとなったもの。『パキスタン宣言』は1933年の小冊子
アトラントローパ構想（Atlantropa） → Atlantis ～Europa。ジブラルタル海峡やボスポラス海峡に巨大なダムを建設して、地中海の海面を200メートル下げ、アドリア海などを陸地化して新たに広大な土地を得つつ、ダムで水力発電を行って莫大な電力を得るという1920年代ドイツの構想あるいはその運動。ロマンの怪物
ユーラフリカ（Eurafrica） → Europa ～ Africa。アトラントローパ構想の現実主義的後継
ブダペスト（Budapest）→ Buda ～ Pest、ハンガリーの首都で双子都市
メヒカリ（Mexicali）/ カレクシコ（Calexico）→ メキシコ・アメリカ（カリフォルニア州）国境の双子都市。当然メヒカリのが大きい。同じ国境の双子都市でも、観光地感あるティファナと異なり、ヒリヒリした独特の雰囲気ある
アークラテクス（Arklatex,Ark-La-Tex）→ アーカンソー州、ルイジアナ州、テキサス州が接し、場合によってオクラホマ州南端も含む州境都市圏
テクサーカナ（Texarkana）→ アークラテクス都市圏のひとつ。文字通りテキサス ～アーカンソーの2州に跨る双子都市。Texarkana,Texas とTexarkana,Arkansas に分けられるが、テクサーカナ連邦政府ビルは州境に跨って建ってる
シャンバナ（Chambana）→ イリノイ州の双子都市シャンペーン（Champaign）～アーバナ（Urbana）に跨る都市圏の俗称。工学系の名門、イリノイ大学アーバナ・シャンペーン校が有名
カリストガ（Calistoga）→ California＋Saratoga。双子都市ではない。カリフォルニア州に、ニューヨーク州の高級保養地サラトガスプリングスみたいな温泉リゾート都市を作ってやるぜ！で誕生。「カリフォルニアのサラトガ」を「サラフォルニアのカリストガ」と言い間違えて定着した説もある
別々の街道や鉄道が接続する物流拠点として、主として国境・州境に形成された都市群。
例えばコンゴ民主共和国（旧ベルギー領）の首都キンシャサと、コンゴ共和国（旧フランス領）の首都ブラザヴィル。
北米大陸では特に例が多く、名前もシルエイティ/ワンビアみたいなニコイチ感あふれがち。
逆に係争地の場合、国境で半年ごと交互にスペイン/フランス領に変わるフェザン島（銀英伝のフェザーンの元ネタ）や朝鮮半島38度線のように、立ち入り禁止で無人となる。
Category:日本の合成地名には、現在 1,146 ページが含まれています。
https://uub.jp/nam/gousei.html
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E5%8F%8C%E5%AD%90%E9%83%BD%E5%B8%82
https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%81%8B%E3%81%B0%E3%82%93%E8%AA%9E
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blend_word
日本語は特にカバン語が多く、合成地名よりも東大 (Tōdai),Pokémon,karaoke,ヘタリア(Hetalia)などが例として挙げられている。
Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
こういう疑問こそ、生成AIに回答を作ってもらうのが良いと思うよ。
Perplexity PROに聞いてみたよ。
「大学の入学定員のアファーマティブアクションとして女子枠が設定されているのは日本だけですか？海外で女子枠が一般的にある国を列挙してください。特にEU諸国での考え方が気になっています」
大学入学定員における女子枠の設定は、日本に限らず世界の多くの国で実施されています。ただし、その形態や規模は国によって異なります。以下に、女子枠が比較的一般的な国々を列挙し、特にEU諸国の状況について説明します。
1.インド
2.パキスタン
3.バングラデシュ
4.マレーシア
5.韓国
EUでは、高等教育における性別による直接的な割当制（クオータ制）は一般的ではありません。しかし、ジェンダー平等を促進するための様々な取り組みが行われています[1][6]。
1. 法的枠組み：EUの基本条約では、男女平等の促進が重要な価値として位置づけられています[28]。
2.ポジティブ・アクション：EUは、形式的な平等だけでなく、実質的な平等の実現を目指しています。これには、一時的な特別措置（ポジティブ・アクション）の実施も含まれます[6][31]。
3. 分野別アプローチ：特に理工系（STEM分野）における女性の参画を促進するための取り組みが行われています[28]。
1.ソフトロー：法的拘束力のない指針や勧告を通じて、ジェンダー平等を推進しています[11]。
2.財政的支援：女性の参画を促進するためのプログラムに資金を提供しています[11]。
3.データ収集と分析：European Institute forGenderEqualityなどの機関を通じて、ジェンダー平等の進捗状況を継続的に監視しています[28]。
4.企業の取締役会におけるクオータ制：一部のEU加盟国（フランス、ドイツ、イタリアなど）では、上場企業の取締役会における女性比率の目標を設定しています[10]。
日本の大学入試における「女子枠」の設定は、EUの一般的なアプローチとは異なります。日本の取り組みは、特定の分野（主に理工系）における女性の参画を直接的に促進することを目的としています[15][18]。
一方、EUでは、教育システム全体を通じてジェンダー平等を促進する包括的なアプローチを採用しています。これには、早期教育からのステレオタイプの排除、キャリア指導の改善、ロールモデルの提示などが含まれます[28]。
結論として、大学入学定員における明示的な「女子枠」の設定は、日本を含むアジアの一部の国々でより一般的であり、EUでは直接的なクオータ制よりも、包括的かつ長期的なアプローチが採用されていると言えます。
[1] spaceshipearth.jp/affirmative-action/
[2] univ-journal.jp/column/2024249156/
[3] feminist.org/news/european-court-of-justice-strikes-down-affirmative-action-law/
[4]mainichi.jp/univ/articles/20240925/ddm/010/100/018000c
[5]note.com/yourchoice_ycp/n/n644ad1296281
[6]www.jil.go.jp/institute/zassi/backnumber/2014/07/pdf/060-069.pdf
[7]eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=legissum%3Ac10935
[8]jbpress.ismedia.jp/articles/-/80117
[9]www.kaonavi.jp/dictionary/affirmative-action/
[10]ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%82%A2%E3%83%95%E3%82%A1%E3%83%BC%E3%83%9E%E3%83%86%E3%82%A3%E3%83%96%E3%83%BB%E3%82%A2%E3%82%AF%E3%82%B7%E3%83%A7%E3%83%B3
[11] ehne.fr/en/encyclopedia/themes/gender-and-europe/gender-citizenship-in-europe/european-union-gender-equality-policies-1957
[12]www.keinet.ne.jp/teacher/media/guideline/backnumber/23/0203/shiten3.pdf
[13]www.gender.go.jp/kaigi/kento/positive/siryo/pdf/po02-2.pdf
[14] revistaidees.cat/en/la-unio-europea-a-lavantguarda-de-les-politiques-digualtat/?pdf=12310
[15]www.yomiuri.co.jp/kyoiku/kyoiku/daigakunyushi/20240308-OYT1T50053/
[16] waseda.repo.nii.ac.jp/record/10032/files/Honbun-7017.pdf
[17]www.nytimes.com/1997/11/12/world/european-union-court-upholds-affirmative-action-for-women.html
[18]www.nikkei.com/article/DGXZQOCD17DER0X10C24A7000000/
[19] journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00016993231163416?icid=int.sj-abstract.citing-articles.34
[20]news.tv-asahi.co.jp/news_society/articles/000341947.html
[21]www.eigo-net.jp/easy_readings/easy_readings-3403
[22]note.com/wakari_te/n/n8e298c2e524c
[23] eic.obunsha.co.jp/file/exam_info/2024/1108.pdf
[25]www.gender.go.jp/policy/positive_act/pdf/positive_action_011.pdf
[26]www.gender.go.jp/research/kenkyu/ishiki/kekka53.html
[27] corp.miidas.jp/assessment/10794/
[28]commission.europa.eu/document/download/965ed6c9-3983-4299-8581-046bf0735702_en
[29]mainichi.jp/articles/20240426/k00/00m/040/090000c
[30]www.hosei.ac.jp/diversity/publication/newsletter/vol3-1/?auth=9abbb458a78210eb174f4bdd385bcf54
[31]www.era-comm.eu/oldoku/SNLLaw/04_Positive_action/116DV06_Selanec_EN.pdf
[32] admissions.titech.ac.jp/admissions/admission/admission/international
アメリカの大学における女子枠の状況は、日本とは大きく異なります。
アメリカでは、1972年の平等機会法（Equal OpportunitiesAct）以降、人種間の不平等是正を目的としたアファーマティブ・アクションが実施されてきました[4]。しかし、近年では性別に基づく優遇措置に対して批判が高まっています。
1. 法的問題：性別に基づく入学枠の設定は、教育改正法第9編（タイトル・ナイン）に違反する可能性があるとして、多くの苦情が申し立てられています[3]。
2.男性への不利益：現在の大学では、むしろ男性が不利な状況にあるという主張があります[3]。
3.違憲判断：2023年6月、最高裁判所がハーバード大学とノースカロライナ大学のアファーマティブ・アクションを違憲と判断しました[5]。
多くの大学が、性別に基づく優遇措置を廃止する動きを見せています：
アメリカの大学、特にトップスクールでは、男女比がほぼ半々になっています。例えば、スタンフォード大学のコンピュータサイエンス専攻では、3人に1人が女子学生です[2]。
このように、アメリカでは明示的な「女子枠」ではなく、長期的かつ包括的なアプローチによってジェンダーバランスの改善を図ってきた結果、現在の状況に至っています。
[1]note.com/wakari_te/n/n8e298c2e524c
[3] forbesjapan.com/articles/detail/47454
[4] ipdi.w3.kanazawa-u.ac.jp/cdl/houkoku/doc/090317ppt.pdf
[5] x.com/LazyWorkz/status/1816616538717454751
[6]www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/kyoiku/89/4/89_683/_pdf/-char/ja
[7]twitter.com/mph_for_doctors/status/1722428813601345935
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=9DBBqK1XmdU
Beautifulcity. Instantly notice how thin everyoneis and howcleanthe streets are. Lookslike whatLondon,Paris and Berlin used to be beforeglobalismgot them
美しい街だ。みんな痩せていて、通りもきれいなのが一目で分かる。グローバリズムに呑まれる前のロンドン、パリ、ベルリンみたいだ。
Import the third world, become the third world. Keepout the third world.
第三世界を呼び入れたら、第三世界になる。第三世界を締め出そう。
Budapest, Vienna, Bratislava, Warsaw, Prague belgradeetc have this old world vibe aboutit that Ilove.It`s beautiful withoutbeing pretentious.
ブダペストやウィーン、ブラチスラヴァ、ワルシャワ、プラハやベルグラードなんかは昔ながらの世界って雰囲気があって好きだ。大袈裟じゃなく、美しいよ。
beautiful, kind,smart,pure, strong country. some day i wantgo there
美しく、親切で、賢く、純粋で、強い国だ。
いつか行きたい。
Truly European ❤️
本当にヨーロッパらしい❤️
ーーー
ヒエ〜〜ッwwwww
わりとこんな感じのコメントが多くて、それがいいねを集めてもいる。
ハンガリー国民の書き込みというより、ヨーロッパの他の国の人らが多そうな雰囲気。
