  |
はてなキーワード:Coolとは
これは「1話公開時はこういうウマ娘になるんだろなと思ってたけど期待を裏切られた」という話です。
まず1話公開時は笠松（カサマツトレセン学園）の面々はトレーナーの北原以外はオグリキャップに好意的ではなかった。
笠松のエースである「フジマサマーチ」はどちらもオグリキャップに危ないから帰れと、レースは命がけだと拒絶する態度をとっていた。
そこをスタート地点としてオグリキャップとベルノライトが北原チームの一員になり、ノルンエース・ルディレモーノ・ミニーザレディも交えて7人で知恵を出し合って結束を重ねて
装蹄師のベルノライトにオグリキャップが希望を伝えてボロ靴とボロジャージしか持っていなかったオグリキャップが徐々に武装を増やしてレースの頂点を目指すような、プリティではないウマ娘を描く作品になるんだろうなと期待していた。
初戦のフジマサマーチ戦のあと数試合を快勝していた事になっており
オグリキャップはその間、ベルノライト以外の北原チームとの交渉はしていないようで、トレセン学園の学食を半ば私物化する有り様。
ミニーザレディやルディレモーノもオグリキャップが不在なら自分達が意地を見せるような活躍の場も与えられず、ノルンエース戦含めて5試合はこなしているのにベルノライトがオグリキャップに追加の武装をする様子も無し。
柴崎に至ってはフジマサマーチを窓口にだけ北原チームと接しており、柴山という偽名以外を伝えないコミュニケーション途絶男となっている。
さらにオグリキャップによる食い尽くしが起きてしまった後に学食がオグリキャップに対して行った働きかけは、これをきっかけに辞めちまえというものではなく、さらに進めと背中を押す有り様で・・・。
それらもどうかと思うけど、オープニングがダメだなって。
この作品はウマ娘プリティダービーと同じで「みんなが知ってるあのウマ娘と同じ名前を持つバ体がアレンジされてるからみんな驚いてね」というギミックに、リアル競馬のあの馬のifで楽しんでねという二重の仕掛けになっていると思うのだけど
本編で驚かせたり毎週の話題を持続させたいからって、オープニングで「まだ観ぬ強敵達」という演出をやるのを避けてる。
結果として魅力の無いオープニングアニメーションができあがってしまった。
長々となったが結論を書くと
北原チームはオグリキャップからは踏み台程度の扱いしかされていない。
さらにオグリキャップはG1の頂点を目指す気さえも無いようで、どちらかと言うと「走れること」がCoolだという全治マインドの方に比重が寄っている。
つまり、絶対王者打倒とか考えもせず、目標レース走ったら北原チームにとっての持続性とか考えずにレースを辞めそうな奴だという事だ。
信頼や友情の積み重ねの物語を期待していたのに、実際に出されたのは親元を離れたウマ娘の飯代を学食まかせにしてバ体の消耗を回復させる都合のいい舞台装置でしかなかった。
ここからシンデレラグレイが真っ当に面白くなる事があるんだろうか？
これは「劇場公開時はこういうガンダムになるんだろなと思ってたけど期待を裏切られた」という話です。
まず劇場公開時はポメラニアンズ（ジャンク屋・カネバン有限会社）の面々は社長のアンキー以外はマチュに好意的ではなかった。
ザクのパイロットである「ジェジー・ナブ」はどちらもマチュに危ないから帰れと、クラバは命がけだと拒絶する態度をとっていた。
そこをスタート地点としてマチュとシュウジがポメラニアンズの一員になり、ニャアンも交えて7人で知恵を出し合って結束を重ねて
メカニックのケーンにマチュが希望を伝えて斧と盾しか持っていなかったジークアクスが徐々に武装を増やして
クランバトルの頂点を目指すような、戦時中ではない宇宙世紀を描く作品になるんだろうなと期待していた。
マチュはその間、アンキー以外のポメラニアンズとの交渉はしていないようで、カネバンのハロを半ば私物化する有り様。
ジェジーやナブもマチュが不在なら自分達が意地を見せるような活躍の場も与えられず、シイコ戦含めて5試合はこなしているのにケーンがジークアクスに追加の武装をする様子も無し。
シュウジに至ってはマチュを窓口にだけポメラニアンズと接しており、ハラペコムシという偽名以外を伝えないコミュニケーション途絶男となっている。
さらにシュウジによるリング禍が起きてしまった後にアンキーがマチュに対して行った働きかけは、これをきっかけに辞めちまえというものではなく、さらに進めと背中を押す有り様で・・・。
それらもどうかと思うけど、オープニングがダメだなって。
この作品はガンダムSEED Destinyと同じで「みんなが知ってるあのモビルスーツと同じ名前を持つ機体がアレンジされてるからみんな驚いてね」というギミックに、1年戦争のあのキャラのifで楽しんでねという二重の仕掛けになっていると思うのだけど
本編で驚かせたり毎週の話題を持続させたいからって、オープニングで「まだ観ぬ強敵達」という演出をやるのを避けてる。
結果として魅力の無いオープニングアニメーションができあがってしまった。
長々となったが結論を書くと
ポメラニアンズはマチュからは駐車場程度の扱いしかされていない。
さらにマチュはクランバトルの頂点を目指す気さえも無いようで、どちらかと言うと「殺しができてしまうヤバいシュウジ」がCoolだという不良マインドの方に比重が寄っている。
つまり、絶対王者打倒とか考えもせず、目標金額溜まったらポメラニアンズにとっての持続性とか考えずにクランバトルを辞めそうな奴だという事だ。
信頼や友情の積み重ねの物語を期待していたのに、実際に出されたのは親元で養われている女子高生のガンダムを代わりに保管して試合をマッチングして機体の消耗を回復させる都合のいい舞台装置でしかなかった。
ここからジークアクスが真っ当に面白くなる事があるんだろうか？
マチュの事情よりもキシリア・ザビの話の方が面白くなりそうで困るんだけど・・・。
Permalink |記事への反応(43) | 23:08
| 項目 | シェルドン・クーパー（アメリカ） | 電車男（日本） |
| 登場作品 | ビッグバン★セオリー | 電車男 |
| 性格 | 天才的だが社会性に乏しく、理屈っぽくて独特なこだわりが強い | 内向的で自信がなく、恋愛に不器用だが誠実 |
| オタク属性 | 理論物理学者、SF（スター・トレック）、コミック、ゲーム（Halo） | アニメ・フィギュア収集、2ちゃんねる住人、メイド喫茶通い |
| 社会的立ち位置 | 高学歴・高収入・研究職だが社会性ゼロで浮いている | 普通のサラリーマン、陰キャ扱いで恋愛経験なし |
| 恋愛観・関係 | 科学的・理屈的にアプローチしがち。恋愛に関して極端に鈍感 | 最初は女性と話すのも苦手だが、徐々に成長していく |
| 物語の主軸 | 天才オタクたちの友情と成長、そして恋愛の珍騒動 | 非モテオタクが勇気を出して恋をして変わっていく姿 |
| オタク像の描かれ方 | コミカルで風変わりだが、徐々に人間味と魅力が描かれる | 痛々しいがリアルで、最終的に肯定される成長物語 |
| 文化的役割 | アメリカの「geekiscool」文化の象徴、知的好奇心の肯定 | 日本における「萌え文化」と「非モテ男子」救済の象徴 |
| 社会的評価 | コメディ的に受け入れられ、人気キャラとして定着 | 一種の伝説的存在で、多くの非モテに勇気を与えた |
So,the Expo 2025is actually happening,like, rightnow.Itstarted a week ago. They'vegot this massive woodenringstructure that's apparently thebiggest inthe world orsomething. Looks kind ofcool in the pictures, I guess,likesomethingout of an old temple buthuge.
The themeis "Designing FutureSociety for Our Lives". Sounds ambitious. Lots oftalk about saving lives, empowering lives, connecting lives...all thatjazz. They wantit to be a "People's Living Lab" where they show off new tech for thingslikecarbon neutrality andnext-gen mobility.Over 160 countries are supposed tobe there, showing off their ideas forthe future.
But honestly? I keep reading about problems. Heard thetest runs had massive lines, which soundslike a nightmare, especially worrying about heatstroke insummer. Ticket sales seemed slow beforeit opened, with lots of companies buying them up instead of regular people. Makesyou wonder how excited the average person reallyis. Plus, the costs ballooned, almostdouble what they first thought.
And apparently, they plan to tearmost ofit down afterwards? Seemslike ahuge amount of effort and money forsomething temporary. Though they say they'll reuse materials.Still, feels abitweird.
Willit actually be good? Or justanotherbig, expensive event that causes traffic jams? Guess we'll see. Just feelslike there's not muchbuzz compared to thelasttimeOsaka had anExpo way back when.
余
-
追記:
acool technique:
1.selectEnglish output language
2. use Discover Sources and input a query inJapanese
3. importall theEnglishPDF, YT andurls
4. turn output language back intoJapanese.
5. use q&a toget answers inJapanese or generate aJapanese Audio Overview,all basedon theEnglishinternet sources.
I useit to research theinternet in other languages -it's super useful for travel, restaurants,sports, product reviewsetcetc
----訳----
クールなテクニック:
1.英語の出力言語を選択します
2. Discover Sourcesを使用し、日本語でクエリを入力します
3.すべての英語のPDF、YT、URLをインポートします
4. 出力言語を日本語に戻す。
5. Q&Aを使用して、英語のインターネットソースに基づいて、日本語で回答を得たり、日本語のオーディオ概要を生成したりします。
私はそれを使って他の言語でインターネットを調べます -旅行、レストラン、スポーツ、製品レビューなどに非常に役立ちます
Masudaand Annie are talking in their classroom. Let's listen to them!
Annie: Good afternoon, Masuda!
A: A boy?Who areyou talking about?
M: I'm talking about a boywho wears awhite Tshirt and black jeans.
A: I can't find the boy. Whereis he?
M: Areyou sure?It's easy to findhim! Heis thebrightest person in this room!
A: Masuda, I'm asking where heis.Tell me!
M: Okey, Heis standingnext to thewhiteboard.
A: Thewhiteboard...?
M:Yes! Heis socool! I wanna behisfriend!
A: Masuda,you souldn't be thefriend of the boy.
M: What!?Why doyou say such a thing!
A: Because Idon't see anyone near thewhiteboard.
M: ...Really?
A:You canot be afriend of aghost. Shall we leave this room?
M: Of course! Idon't want tostayhere anymore!
Question1: Whatdoes Masuda see?
Question2: Whatdoes Masuda actually see?
Question4: Can Masuda really leave the classroom?
Firstdates can be exciting and nerve-wrackingallatonce.You’re meetingsomeone new, learning about their interests, and trying to figureout if there’schemistrybetweenyou. And then there’s flirting, that delicate dance of showingsomeoneyou’re interested withoutbeing too forward or awkward.
Flirtingdoesn’t have to be a high-pressuresituation. Infact,it can bethe mostfun part ofgetting to knowsomeone. Whetheryou're meetingsomeoneonMixerDates orany other platform,the most important thingis to be genuine,staycalm, and let theconnection developnaturally.
Ifyou’ve everfoundyourself wondering how to flirton a firstdate withoutfeeling uncomfortable,you’re notalone. Everyonehas their awkwardmoments, but themoreyou understand theart of flirting, the easierit becomes. In thisarticle, we’llbreak down how to flirt in a way thatfeelsnatural, exciting,and authentic towhoyou are. So, let'sdive in and learn how tomakethe most ofyour firstdate experience—withoutoverthinkingit.
Whenit comes to flirting, confidenceiskey. But whatdoesit really mean to be confidenton a firstdate? Confidencedoesn’t meanyouneed to be perfect, or evenoutgoing—it simply meansbeing comfortable inyour ownskin and showing upasyour authentic self.
Haveyou ever noticed how people are drawn to thosewho radiate self-assurance?It’s not aboutbragging or dominating the conversation—it’s about presentingyourself with ease. Ifyoufeelgood aboutyourself,itwillnaturally show. A greatsmile,good posture, and eye contact cango a long way in making agoodfirst impression.
For instance, think about thelasttimesomeone walked into a room and immediately caughtyourattention—not because they werethe mostattractive person in the room, but because of their energy. They were confident, they were present, and theymadeyoufeelat ease. That’s the kind of confidenceyou want to projectonyourdate.
Whenyou're confident,you're not worried about saying the perfect thing. Instead,youfocuson enjoying themoment, making the other personfeel comfortable, and letting theconnection happennaturally. That’s themagic of confidence—itallowsyou to be present,fun, and,most importantly,yourself.
Let’s faceit—noonewants tofeellike they’rebeing “worked” or put through a game. That’swhy subtletyis such a powerfultool whenit comes to flirting.It'sall about showing interest withoutbeingover-the-top or too obvious.
Flirtingdoesn’talways mean complimentingsomeone non-stop or using cheesy pickup lines. Infact,the most successful flirtingis the kind that happens behind the scenes—subtle, playful, andlighthearted. Think about thelittlemoments,like a teasing comment about how theyalways order the same thingat a restaurant or the wayyou laughat a silly joke theymake.
Thekeyis to find a balance. Asimplesmile or a playful comment can convey interest withoutbeing too much. For example, ifyourdate tellsyou theylove hiking but theytend togetlost easily,you could saysomethinglike, “So,you’re telling meyouneed a personal guide? I couldget behind that!”It’slighthearted, humorous, andmost importantly,it keeps the conversationfun without putting too much pressureon thesituation.
By keepingit subtle,youallowyourdate tofeelat ease.Ittakes the pressure off them to be perfectand allows both ofyou to enjoy the interactionmorenaturally. Flirtingdoesn’tneed to be a performance—it’s about creating an environment where both ofyou canfeel comfortableand authentic.
Now,let’stalk aboutsomething incredibly important in the flirting game:active listening. When we’reon adate, we oftenget caught up in thinking about what to saynext, how we’re coming across, or if we’rebeing interesting enough. But the best way tomake animpression? Truly listening toyourdate.
Active listening meansyou’re fullyengaged in the conversation, givingyourdateyour fullattention and responding thoughtfully.It’s about showing thatyou care about what they’re saying and thatyou’re genuinely interested ingetting to know them better. Whenyou listenactively,you’re also giving them space toopen up, and that can create an immediateconnection.
For example, ifyourdate mentions they recently traveled toJapan, instead of simply saying, “That’scool!”you could follow up withsomethinglike, “Whatwasthe most memorable experienceyou had there?” This shows thatyou’re not just hearing their words but are genuinely curious and invested in their experiences.It’s a great way to build rapport and let them knowyou’re not just there toimpress them—you’re there toconnect.
Whileyour words are important,body language often speaks louder thananythingyou can say. Whetheryourealizeit or not,yourbodyis constantly communicating howyoufeel. Howyousit, stand, andmove tellsyourdate whetheryou’rerelaxed,engaged, or distracted.
Small gestures cango a long way in flirting. Alight touchon thearm, a subtle lean in when they’re speaking, or maintaininggood eye contact—all thesebody language cues helpsignalyour interest. Andthe great thingis, whendonenaturally, these cues can be justas effectiveas words.
For example, ifyou’resittingat a caféonyourdate andyou lean in slightly when they’re sharing afunnystory,you’re not just showing thatyou’re interested—you’re inviting them intoyour space.It’s aninvitation toconnect further. And when they respondby leaning in too, that’s when themagic happens—the unspokenconnection that tellsyou both that there’s potential formore.
Flirting throughbody languagedoesn’t mean making grand gestures orbeingoverly touchy.It’s aboutbeing present and showing thatyou’reengagedwith yourdate in a subtle, but meaningful way.
It’s easy toget caught up inoverthinking how to flirt or trying to figureout ifyourdateis intoyou. Buthere’s asecret—whenyou letgo of the pressureand allowyourself to havefun,everything flows muchmorenaturally. Flirtingon a firstdatedoesn’tneed tofeellike atest or anassignment.It’s supposed to be afun,lighthearted experience that sets the stage formore greatdates ahead.
Whenwas thelasttimeyou had a genuinelyfundate?Wasit whenyou were trying too hard toimpress, or whenyou were both laughing, chatting, and enjoying each other's company? Flirting becomes effortless whenyou're present, enjoying themoment, and letting theconnection grownaturally.
Sometimes,it's the smallmoments—like sharing a laugh or swapping embarrassing stories—thatmake a firstdate truly special. Whenyoufocuson havingfun,you create an environment where both ofyou canrelax, flirt, and let thechemistry grow. That’s thesecret to a greatdate.
One of the best things about using a platformlikeMixerDatesis thatittakes the guessworkout of the equation.Byconnecting withsomeonewho already sharesyour interests and values,you’vegot a head starton making a realconnection.No more swiping through countless profiles hoping for aspark—onMixerDates,you already know there’ssomething incommon.
Whenyou’re alreadyon the same pagewith yourdate, flirting comesmore easily. There’s less of that awkward, “Are we evenon the same wavelength?”feeling, andmore of thefun, “Wow, we reallyclick!” vibe. Whetheryou’retalking aboutfavorite hobbies, movies, orlifegoals, the conversation flowsnaturally, making the flirtingfeel effortless.
Ifyou're looking for a place to meetlike-minded people and build genuineconnections,MixerDatesis the perfect platform.It's a great place to findsomeonewho appreciatesyou forwhoyou are andwhoyou cannaturally flirt with, without the stress.
Flirtingon a firstdateisall about confidence,connection, andfun. Whenyou letgo of the pressure andfocuson enjoyingthe experience, thechemistrywillnaturally follow. Remember, the best way to flirtisbybeingyourself—letyour personalityshine through, listen with intention, and embrace themoment.
And ifyou’re ready to meetsomeone new,who’s justas interested in making aconnectionasyou are,MixerDatesis the perfect place to start. Sogo ahead,take theleap, and see whereit leads.Who knows?Yournext greatconnection might be just aclickaway.
Sign up forMixerDatestoday and startyourjourney to exciting firstdates and meaningfulconnections!
Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
Please consider the histroy ofhumanity from biologicalperpsecitve and currentknown fact in nearbyuniverse, whichexpo-planet (from theSol systemperspective)ismostlikely to have civlizaedsociety? Pleaseaddpercentagenext toit in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanetcivilizationlikelihoodを28 秒行う
OK, I’mlookingatthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon an exoplanet within ourSolar System.I’ll consider biologicalhistory and current space knowledge,aiming to identifythe most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from ourSolar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard'sStar, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1,focusingon their habitablezonesand available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilizedsocietylikelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m notingkey exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which haveEarth-like characteristicsand are in habitablezones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advancedcivilizations.
I'm gathering infoonplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, consideringfactorslikemagneticfields,atmospheres, and proximity to G-typestars for their potential to support advancedcivilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despitebeing closeand around ared dwarfstar, might supportlife ifithas amagneticfieldand atmosphere. This makes me think aboutits potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimatingcivilization probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculativepercentagesbasedon the Drake equation and the lack ofevidence for intelligentlife.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names andcivilizationlikelihoodpercentages, grounded in the longtimeline oflife'sevolution, despite the speculativenature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering theirstar types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advancedcivilizations from oursolar system'sviewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due toits closeness and observational potential, despite concerns aboutitsflarestar dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'mfocusingon exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, andK2-18b,aiming to chart theirlikelihood of hosting a civilizedsocietybasedon current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilizedsociety, consideringEarth's long biologicalhistory.
Refining odds
I'm considering theastronomicaltimeline for intelligentlifeonEarth,leading me toassign evenlower speculative odds for exoplanetslike Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrarypercentages, clearly noting the speculativenature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience'sbasic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrarypercentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculativenature, and ensuring the datais accessible foryoung audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating amarkdowntable with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of civilizedlifeon exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoreticalnature and considering the understandinglevel of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mappingout amarkdown chart with speculativepercentages forthe likelihood of a civilizedsocietyon exoplanets, mindful of thecomplexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecingtogethermarkdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b'sreduced civilizedlife chance due to thered dwarf's activity. This inclusionhighlights the speculativenature of the analysis.
Piecingtogether speculative odds
I’m detailing amarkdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanetlikelihoods, considering environmental challengesand adding a disclaimer about the speculativenature and lack ofevidence.
Piecingtogether
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b forits proximity and silentstar, butI’lladd a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advancedcivilizations' hypotheticallikelihood.
Assessingcivilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligentlifeonEarth, which suggests that the odds ofany habitableplanet developing acomplexcivilization might beaslowas a fewpercent.
Belowis a very speculative chart that—basedon what we know aboutEarth’s long, windingpath fromsimplelife to a “civilizedsociety” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives somefun,made‑uppercentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists havenot yetfoundany proof oflife (let alone advancedcivilizations)onany exoplanet. Thesenumbers are just playful estimates to helpyou think about theideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an AdvancedCivilizationon Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet EstimatedLikelihood of a CivilizedSociety
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
HowDid We (Very Roughly) Guess TheseNumbers?
Earth’s Example:
OnEarth,life beganassimple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that builtcomplex societies. This longjourney suggests that—even if aplanetis in the “habitablezone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilizedsociety might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
Thisis the closest exoplanet to us. Even thoughitsstar (Proxima Centauri)is ared dwarf that sometimes sendsout strongflares (which might harmlife),its closeness makesitone of ourmost interesting candidates. That’swhy we giveit a slightly higher guess (~2%).
Theseplanets are part of agroup orbiting a verycoolstar. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaningone sidealwaysfaces thestar), so the chance of acomplex, advancedcivilization might be abitlower.
LHS 1140 b:
Thisplanetis promising in some ways butis alittle fartherawayand around a dimmerstar, so our playful estimateis evenlower.
All of thesepercentages are extremely rough guessesbasedon whatlittle we understand about the conditions forlife andintelligence. Scientists useideaslike the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concreteevidence, thesenumbers remain just forfun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring theseideas—and remember, spaceis full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equationitself and see if this euqationis acculate ormore opition in the equationyouwill use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation'svalue
OK, let me see. The Drake Equationisn't a precise formula;it'smore of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluatingits conceptualnature,its uncertain parameters, andits criticism to concludeonits reliabilityas an accurate predictivemodel.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mappingout the Drake Equationas a conceptual guide, detailingits parameters, which are oftenbasedon estimates or opinions, to evaluateits reliability for predicting extraterrestrialcivilizations.
The Drake Equationis a famous formula thatwas created to help scientists think about the manyfactors involved in estimating thenumber of detectable extraterrestrialcivilizations in ourgalaxy. However, when welookat the equation closely, we see thatitismore of a conceptualframework or heuristictool than a precise, predictive formula.Let’sbreak downwhy:
The equationis usually writtenas:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The averagerate ofstar formationper year in ourgalaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of thosestars that haveplanetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The averagenumber ofplanets that could potentially supportlifeperstar withplanets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of thoseplanets wherelife actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction ofplanets withlife where intelligentlife evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction ofcivilizations that develop technology that releases detectablesignals into space.
𝐿
L: The length oftime suchcivilizations release detectablesignals.
Why the Drake EquationIsMore of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction ofstars withplanets), have become better known through modernastronomy.
The parameters related to the development oflife andintelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—arebasedon very limited data. For example,Earthis theonlyplanet we know wherelifehas developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for thesefactors. This means that thevalues chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of PossibleValues:
Because many of thesefactors are not well-constrained, ifyouchangeone of themore uncertain parameters even slightly, thefinal estimate for
𝑁
N (thenumber ofcivilizations) can varyby many orders ofmagnitude. This wide range shows that the equation canlead to very differentoutcomesbasedonpersonal or theoreticalassumptions.
The Drake Equationwas never meant to provide a preciseanswer. Instead,it servesas a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrialcivilizations.It encourages discussion about the relative importance of differentfactors andhighlights where our scientific knowledgeis limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate orMore Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In thesense ofbeing a strict mathematicalmodel with well-defined inputs and predictableoutputs, the Drake Equationis not accurate.Its accuracyis limitedbythe extreme uncertainties in several ofitskey parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning theevolution oflife andintelligence, arebasedon opinion, interpretation, and the single example ofEarth. Therefore, while thestructure of the equationis logical, thenumbersyou put intoit (and hence thefinal result) are oftenmore reflective of our current opinionsand assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equationis a valuabletool for framing the question of extraterrestriallife.It helps scientists and enthusiastsbreak down acomplex problem into smaller,more manageable questions. However, because several ofitsfactors are highly uncertain and subject topersonal interpretation,itismore of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of thenumber of extraterrestrialcivilizations.
Insummary, while the Drake Equationis useful for thinking about the variousfactors that mightlead to the emergence of acivilization,itsoutputs should betakenas highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the longhistory ofSol system and nearbyplanets and see if thereisany possiblites that inonetime intelligentlife emerged in nearbyplanets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-humanintelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-humanintelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligentlife forms in theSol system and neighboringplanets, and how this mightfactor into the equation.
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligentlife, possiblyonMars orEuropa, into the Drake Equation for theSol system and neighboringplanets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligentlife emergingonMars orVenus, thoughEarth remains theonly knownlife-supportingplanet in thesolar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligentlife could have emergedonplanetslikeMars,Venus, orEuropa, and how thispossibility alignswith the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligentlifeonMars orVenus could intersectwith theassumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems tofocussolelyonEarth-basedevolution.
I’m piecingtogether the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligentlife in thesolar system.Mars,Venus, and Titan present challenges, butEuropa and Enceladus might harbor microbiallife.
うちの妻が近年セックス好きになってきたんだけど、おれ当てはまるわ。
欧米人ほどではないけど、まあまあの長さいし、若いころの早漏気味よりかなり長くピストンできるようになったし、子育てしてからキレなくなってcoolになった。
全部当当てはまるわ〜
結論なんてとっくに出てる。
女はある程度のセックスを積み重ねると奥がとてつもなく気持ちいいんだ。
でも日本人の男は短小が多くてそこまで届かないやつがとても多い。
理由はわからないけど感情的に高まりやすい人間が多いのが原因のような気がする。
キレやすさ？とかに通じるものがあるけれど日本人ってcoolがだいぶ足りてない。
チンチンの長さが足りてないことと早漏であること、coolでないこと。
この3つがセットになると、女はセックスで満足することがない。
わたしや交際するうえでは日本人の男のほうが好きだがセックスに関しては欧米の男が断然気持ちがいい。
奥まできちんと届くチンコで長く責められたときのあの気が狂う感覚は日本人に味あわせてもらったことがない。
なかなかこんな本音を書くことは匿名に近いネット空間ですらないけど本音を書けばそういうこと。
チンチンが短いのを前戯とかで埋め合わせるタイプの男もいるが、あの奥までチンチンがとどく感じを再現することは絶対にできない。
そのような性具はあるが、チンチンに突かれることとは程遠い感覚だ。
あの長いチンコでcoolに責められるのを経験したときに始めてセックスは気持ちがいい、と思えたのを今でも思い出す。
本音を書けばそういうこと。
だからさらに本音を言うと少しでも交際相手の女のほうがセックスに興味がなさそうな素振りを見せるなら勝手にオナニーして処理して欲しい。
あなたとセックスしたくないのは全然気持ちが良くないからです、とは面と向かって言えないでしょ？
そういうのは察して欲しい。
だって考えて？人間が気持ちの良いことをやりたがらないわけないじゃない？なんだかんだ言ってセックスに消極的なのは気持ちが良くないから。
その理由は
短小であること
coolさが足りて無くて感情的に絶頂に達しやすいことが原因。
以上。
瞑想野菜睡眠女は下方婚しないエビデンス弱者男性フェミニスト倫理ちゃんと逮捕歴ある人俺に聞かんでくれ論破藁人形すいすいすいようび政治陰謀論財務省安倍英雄アベノミクスなどなかった飛鳥ＤＳブクマもらえないＡＩに書かせたわスクリプトはてな本社弱者弱者弱者男性の巣窟巣窟弱者の巣窟共産赤旗街の劇団生活保護Ｂ型通ってても稼げないおはようこんにちはこんばんは弱者弱者弱者ＤＳってダークシュナイダーのことだよな・・・？男女LGBTQ+自死自殺練炭エプシュタインアインシュタインフランケンシュタイン北京ベルリンダブリンリベリア日本は時代遅れ中国大爆発草ｗｗｗ草に草生やすな折部やすな俺より目立つな目立て目立て目立て歌えよ郷太！俺は正常だ嫌なら辞めていいなんて無責任なこと言うなだったら鬱陶しいこと書くな生活保護の方が俺より稼いでる青が棲んでいる今でもアホが住んでいる結局胴元が勝つように出来てるんだよ胴元兄弟Hey!みんな元気かい!HEYHEYHEYwannacool we areハマタ岡村松本は実質負けてるwなんで蓮舫あんな人気ないん？やっぱHIKAKINってつええわＶ豚w人を傷つけるようなことばかり書いているこのサイトは閉鎖すべきうんちウンコチンチンパキケファロ高層マンションタワマン７８階建て一戸建て年収三千万だけど俺って勝ち組？負け組だよ寝て半畳起きて一畳のハンジョーハンジョーのイッツミー逸見政孝です。素晴らしいですねぇ。それではさよなら、さよなら、さよーなら！米津玄師lemon唐揚げにlemon掛けとくね夢ならばどれほどよかったでしょうカラカラに揚がったあなたを夢に見るヒックヒッチコック俺のはビッグコックお前のはエースコックじゃなくてブタメンが良いところだろ豚キム！豚キム！木村のにいやんってＤＶで離婚したんだっけやっぱり男はクソ！女は最高！今夜は最高！チンチン マンマン チンチラ マンチカン どげんかせんといかん マンゴー 栗饅頭個室ルームツアー マンドリル みなさんもしんどいことがあったら「しんどーい！」って言うようにしましょうね エベレスト 俺の人生のベスト１０選 １０選もねえよ ５選もねえよ 六文銭もねえよ 俺達さぁもう２６だぜごめんな友よ俺は先に店から出るよ出世払いだよ全員集合！あの頃がよかったよなって言ってる奴はもう立派なジジイだよね食う寝るところに住むところに困ってるから生活保護も受けてるし精神障害も診断してもらってんだろうがパーイポパイポよりもガンジャに感謝ナンジャラモンジャあのスポンジ剣でぶん殴るのはスポーツチャンバラチャンバラ魂よ魂よ今燃えろよシャンバラを往く者物々しいモノテンソウメツ入れた入れた入れた長究命のあなたの恋人になりたい長助
世界一かっこいいはずのドイツ人ですら「ナチIstcool！」だったからね。
でも気づいたら軍隊オタクは格好悪くてキモくてニキビ面でカードショップみたいな臭いがする連中って扱いになっていった。
それこそバブルが弾けるようにあまりにも突然にそれはやってきたんだよ。
他にも「皇族・王族好き」や「ヤクザ好き」といったブームがあったけど、完全にキモくてダサくてどうしようもなく時代遅れななにかへと変わった。
アニメ好きといえば言語化能力に障害があって死ぬまでバージンの憐れな生き物だった。
それがいまや「アニメが好きなのが普通。未だにアニメを叩いてるような老害って太陽の季節でセンズリしてるような奴らでしょ？」って扱いだ。
つまり、このバブルが弾けるまでのタイムリミットも早いってことだよ。
１０年は持つと思う。
２０年後、怪しいよね。
３０年後、多分きっとおそらくもう駄目だろう。
